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The Concept of Global Risk Management

Supply. Demand. Supply. Demand. The Concept of Global Risk Management. Kan-ichiro Matsumura Dept.of Applied Informatics, School of Policy Studies, Kwansei Gakuin University Kiminori Gemba Graduate school of engineering, The University of Tokyo

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The Concept of Global Risk Management

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  1. Supply Demand Supply Demand The Concept of GlobalRiskManagement Kan-ichiro MatsumuraDept.of Applied Informatics, School of Policy Studies, Kwansei Gakuin University Kiminori GembaGraduate school of engineering, The University of Tokyo Yasutomi NakanoMetatechnica lab, The University of Tokyo Toshiaki IchinoseCenter for Global Environmental Research, National Institute of Environmental Studies Guoxin TAN Wuhan University Koji Yanagishima Food and Agricultural Organization ,United Nations Ryosuke ShibasakiCenter for Spatial Information Science、The University of Tokyo Our previous study “Modeling the demand and supply structure for food in Asia” forecasts that demand for food will exceed its supply in India and China by the year 2010. Both these countries comprise over 40% of the total world population. This shortage in supply will create intense competition for food imports amongst Asian countries. The increase in food demand in China will have an immeasurable influence on its neighboring countries……..

  2. mm 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2050 0 2040 1 2 2030 3 4 5 2020 6 3 7 8 2010 9 10 11 12 2 1 0 -1 -2 2050 -3 2040 1 2 2030 3 4 5 2020 6 7 8 2010 9 10 11 12 Month Year Maximum temperature changes (Unit: 0.1°C) (IPCC-CGCM1) 0.1°C Month Year Mean dailyprecipitation change (Unit: mm) (IPCC-CGCM1) BackGround 人口増加 所得と都市人口比率 Source:United Nations 地球温暖化 Source:IPCC-GCM1 It is imperative to build a Global Risk Management System (GRMS) related to especially resources such as water, food, electricity and the environment. The GRMS will be a useful educational tool not only for policy makers but also for citizens. People will be able to understand when and where food shortage is expected to take place, and will be able to think more responsibly about sustainable development.

  3. It is not only a Browser “The Earthbrowser” exists, but we are thinking of adding more information on this browser. Source:http://www.earthbrowser.com We hope this concept will lead to better understanding and more effective management of the World. we show you an example of building a strategy. The shortage in food supply and the increase in demand for food in the world will result in price increase. For Japan to prepare for this situation, it should consider 3 risks such as the export industry, improvement (or recovery) of self-sufficiency and maintaining the self-sufficiency of another country. To cope with these risks, Japan should attempt to remain competitive through the creation of an advanced and competitive industry. This concept is shown in Figure shown bellows and want to add more information on the earth browser.

  4. Thanks to….(肩書きは当時） Kan-ichiro Matsumura is an associate professor in Kwansei Gakuin University, Dept of Applied Informatics, School of Policy Studies from 2003. Previously he worked as an associate professor, University of Tokyo from 2001 to 2003. Previously he worked as the research member in the Sanwa Research Institute Corporation. Matsumura graduated from the Hokkaido University, where he received B.S.,M.S. in Geophysics in 1990, 1992. In addition, he entered doctoral course at the Global Environment Engeneering,Kyoto University in April 1995. His doctoral thesis is "Modeling the demand and food supply structure in Asia ". By this study, he earned Ph.D. in March 1998. He is publishing papers about this topic received an excellent prize from the Society of Environment Science in 1999.

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