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Break-Out Scenario Proposition

Break-Out Scenario Proposition

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Break-Out Scenario Proposition

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  1. Break-Out Scenario Proposition Marcus Franzen

  2. Purpose • 3-day • Strategic implications have unpredictable, immediate and long-term effects. • Make better leaders through scenario driven events that leaders can fall back on if ever placed within a real-word experience.

  3. Scenario (Act 1) • UN and NATO have combined to create a special committee and are having a special meeting to discuss with international leaders how actions of the Caucasus Region state leaders affect the international community. • The recent actions of the regional states have created an instable regional political environment and downtrodden corporate economic benefits. • States must announce non-secretive/open communications must to lift them out of this long-term crisis to affect regional stability and economic growth for better standing with NATO, UN, and the international Community. • Using Regional and Strategic assessments, each state will brief this special committee on their way forward.

  4. Scenario (Act 2) • The environment will fast-forward 6 months to a year and the white cell will present a new scenario based off our monkey wrench and the participants way forward. • Using Updated Regional and Strategic assessments, each state will brief this special committee on their adjusted way forward.

  5. Scenario (Act 3) • The environment will fast-forward 6 months to a year and the white cell will present a new scenario based off the participants way forward. (end of training) • Conduct AAR to show how we must incorporate our thoughts into the Civil-Military Arena

  6. Generic Timeline • DAY 1: • Intro and Breakdown into player roles • Overview of read-ahead Packet • States work on way ahead • Day 2: • States brief way ahead • Immediate feedback from international community • Break • ACT 2 • Monkey wrench given to participants while we fully evaluate implications of the states way ahead • States re-evaluate way ahead after receiving updated packet • Day 3: • States brief adjusted way ahead • Immediate feedback from international community • Break • ACT 3 • States work on their portion of AAR while we fully evaluate implications of the states adjusted way ahead • States submit AAR (3 good/3 Bad) • AAR, distribute AAR to participants and evaluators and dismissal

  7. Teams: • Committee (class members) • Committee Chair • International committee (# vary) • Secretary/recorder (x 2) • Advisors to the states (class members) • States (Participants) • NATO and/or UN Diplomat (can be split if enough people) • Leader of the state • Minister of State (Secretary of State equivalent) • Minister of Defense (Secretary of Defense equivalent) • Auxiliary Cabinet/Ministry members • Players (50 people) • Break-out class (20) • Participants (30) • Rest of JSOMA • Various atendees • States • Georgia • Russia • Azerbaijan • Armenia • Iran • US • Turkey

  8. Deliverables for elective • Read ahead packet • Regional assessments • Strategic assessments • Way Forward Shell • Scenario • Updated Scenario • Evaluated Way Forward • Catastrophic/cataclysmic monkey-wrench (e.g. Turkey affects region by immediate Civil War/Government overthrown) • Evaluated Adjusted Way forward • AAR • Deliverables for participants • Way Forward ( 1 slide MIN to distribute, 3 slides MAX) • Adjusted Way forward • 3 good/3 bad for AAR • Can move to a SOF flavor scenario instead of a diplomatic/state run scenario. • Lead through the military if we use influence of Kurdish people from “Kurdistan”