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Review of 2010 School Grade and AYP Calculations

Review of 2010 School Grade and AYP Calculations. Dr. Karen Schafer July, 2010 Adapted from Florida Association of MIS Conference presentation by Ed Croft. Components and Measures. Eight Components Four components based on current-year FCAT performance in four subjects:

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Review of 2010 School Grade and AYP Calculations

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  1. Review of 2010 School Grade and AYP Calculations Dr. Karen Schafer July, 2010 Adapted from Florida Association of MIS Conference presentation by Ed Croft

  2. Components and Measures Eight Components Four components based on current-year FCAT performance in four subjects: Reading, Math, Writing, and Science Four components based on learning gains (LG): - LG in Math for all students - LG in Reading for all students - LG in Math for the lowest quartile - LG in Reading for the lowest quartile 2

  3. Components and Measures 3

  4. Performance Components (50% of FCAT-Based Components) How is current-year performance measured? 4

  5. Performance Components How is performance measured? Points = percentage of tested/eligible students scoring at proficient or above on the FCAT by subject. 5

  6. Performance Components Which Students Are Included? “Eligible students” for performance components are full-year-enrolled, standard-curriculum students as well as hospital-homebound, speech-impaired, and gifted students, plus English-language-learners with more than 2 years in an ESOL program. 6

  7. Performance Components How is proficiency determined? FCAT reading, math, and science = score at FCAT Level 3 or higher. FCAT Writing = a score of 3.5 or higher on the essay component. (With only one reader assigned to each essay, we will measure the school-wide percent proficient by averaging the percent scoring at 3 or higher with the percent scoring at 4 or higher.) 7

  8. Learning Gains Components (50% of FCAT-Based Components) * Florida Alternate Assessment (FAA) scores (for students with disabilities [SWDs]) will also be used in the overall learning gains measures for SWDs with no FCAT scores, beginning in 2009-10. 8

  9. Defining Learning Gains(Based on Current Year vs. Prior Year FCAT Results) Three Ways to Make Learning Gains: 1) Move up by one or more achievement levels. 2) Maintain a proficient achievement level. 3) For students who remain at FCAT level 1 or 2, demonstrate more than one year’s worth of growth on the FCAT developmental scale. The FCAT developmental scale is a continuous scale score applied across grade levels. 9

  10. Bonus Points for High Schools FCAT Retakes in Grade 11 and 12 • High schools earn ten (10) bonus points when half of all 11th and 12th graders retaking the FCAT meet the graduation requirement. 10

  11. Components and Measures:Additional Requirements • Adequate Progress Requirement for Lowest Performing 25% in Reading and Math • At least 50% of the low performers must show learning gains in reading or math, or the school must show adequate annual improvement in that percentage. • “Percent Tested” Requirement • 90% must be tested to receive a regular grade in lieu of an “I”. 95% must be tested for a school to be eligible for an “A.” 11

  12. Grading Scale(For Elementary & Middle Schools in 2009-10) • Based on 800 possible points: A = ≥ 525 points B = 495-524 points C = 435-494 points D = 395-434 points F = < 395 points 12

  13. School Grade Resources Online reports, downloadable files, and a link to the School Grade Technical Assistance Paper: http://schoolgrades.fldoe.org/ 13

  14. Overview of High School Grading: Non-FCAT Components 14

  15. Changes to High School Grading for 2009-10 • Florida law (Section 1008.34, F.S.) adds new requirements to school grades for high schools. • Beginning in 2009-10, fifty percent of a school’s grade will be based on the existing FCAT-related components and fifty percent will be based on non-FCAT-based components. 15

  16. New (non-FCAT) Components for High School Grading (2009-10) • Graduation rate. [200 points] • Graduation rate of at-risk students. [100 points] • Accelerated curriculum participation (AP, IB, Dual Enrollment, AICE, Industry Certification) [200 points] • Accelerated curriculum performance [100 points] • Postsecondary readiness of students as measured by the SAT, ACT, or the CPT. [100 points, Math; 100 points, Reading] • Growth or decline in the data components of these measures from year to year. - Additionally, to receive an “A”, a school must demonstrate that at-risk students in the school are making adequate progress. 16

  17. Graduation Rate [200 pts. (double-weighted)] For 2009-10 and 2010-11, Florida will use the National Governors’ Association four-year graduation rate. Which students are included in the cohort? Answer: All students who entered grade 9 for the first time in year 1 of the cohort (i.e., four years prior to the year for which the rate is reported), plus any incoming transfers who were 9th graders in year 1 of the cohort, 10th graders in year 2, 11th graders in year 3, and 12th graders in year 4. This cohort is then adjusted to remove students who transferred out to attend another public or private high school, a home education program, or an adult education program. Deceased students are also removed from the calculation. The resulting count is the adjusted cohort (denominator) of the graduation rate calculation. 17

  18. Graduation Rate QUESTION: Who counts as graduates? Answer: Standard diploma recipients and special diploma recipients (for SWDs). QUESTION: Who counts as non-graduates? Answer: All students in the adjusted cohort who did not receive a standard diploma or special diploma, including . . . • Dropouts • Certificate recipients • GED diploma recipients • Students who are still enrolled but haven’t yet graduated. 18

  19. Graduation Rate (Summary Info) 19

  20. Graduation Rate for At-Risk Students [100 pts.] Denominator = a subset of the adjusted cohort for the graduation rate. Includes all students from the adjusted cohort who scored at level 2 or lower on the grade 8 FCAT in both math and reading. Numerator = students in the denominator who received a standard diploma or a special diploma (for SWDs). Uses same criteria as for the overall graduation rate. If a school does not have at least 10 students in the at-risk subgroup, the school’s overall graduation rate will be substituted for this measure. 20

  21. Accelerated Curriculum: Participation(2009-10) To receive credit for participation in AP, IB, and/or AICE, the student must take the applicable subject area exam(s). (Results are determined by exam participation rather than course enrollment.) For dual enrollment, a student must earn a grade in the course for a school to receive credit for participation. For industry certification, a student must have taken an industry certification exam on the SBE approved “Industry Certification Funding List” for the year. 21

  22. Acceleration Curriculum ParticipationWeighting FormulaIn the formula, schools earn weighted credit for the number of exams/courses a student takes. Below is the weighting system to accommodate multiple exams or dual enrollment courses taken each student in the numerator: • No cap is proposed for participation. That is, following the logic above, schools will earn an increasing amount of credit for those students who take increasing numbers of accelerated courses/ exams. For example, the student who takes 7 exams/courses will be weighted at 1.6; a student who takes 8 will be weighted 1.7; and so on. 22

  23. Acceleration Participation– EXAMPLEJohn Doe completes 3 Dual Enrollment courses; 2 AP exams; and 1 industry certification exam. Here are his results: 23

  24. Performance in Accelerated Coursework 24

  25. Performance in Accelerated Coursework Measure is based on credits earned. Depending on their score on AP, IB, and/or AICE exams, students will receive weight in the formula based on the number of postsecondary courses for which the student earns credit as determined by the Articulation Coordinating Committee’s Credit-by-Exam Equivalencies List. (http://www.fldoe.org/articulation/pdf/ACC-CBE.pdf) Successful completion (a “C” or higher) of a Dual Enrollment course leads to students earning credit in one course. Successful passage of an Industry Certification exam. 25

  26. Performance in Accelerated Coursework Successful Outcomes are defined as: 26

  27. Acceleration Performance WeightingIn the formula, schools would earn weighted credit for the number of successful outcomes each student earns. Here is the weighting system to accommodate multiple successes by students: • No cap is proposed for performance. That is, following the logic above, schools will earn an increasing amount of credit for those students who successfully complete increasing amounts of accelerated coursework. For example, the student who earns 7 successful outcomes will be weighted at 1.6; a student who earns 8 will be weighted 1.7; and so on. 27

  28. Acceleration Performance– EXAMPLEJohn Doe takes 3 Dual Enrollment courses; 2 AP exams; and 1 industry certification exam. Here are his results: 28

  29. Postsecondary Readiness Separate Measures for Reading and Math. If student takes multiple tests (ACT, SAT, or CPT), the student’s highest score by subtest is used. The scores used to define “ready” are set in State Board of Education Rule 6A-10.0315, F.A.C. This measure will be based on all on-time standard high school graduates beginning no later than 2011-12. 29

  30. Annual Growth or Decline in Components Schools earn an escalating number of points based on the magnitude of their improvement. Additional points would be awarded based on the number of points the school improved (growth from prior year); up to 20 additional points (up to 40 points for double-weighted measures). Schools will lose 5 points if a component declines by at least 10 percentage points. Growth/decline points are applied to each component prior to weighting, as applicable. EXAMPLES GROWTH: A school’s acceleration performance improves from 25% to 32%; the school earns an additional 7 points resulting in a total of 39 points (32 + 7). DECLINE: A school’s acceleration performance declines from 30% to 20%; the school would lose an additional 5 points resulting in a total of 15 points (20 – 5). 30

  31. Additional Requirement: At-Risk Graduation Rate Law stipulates that in order for a school that earns enough points for an “A” to be awarded an “A”, the school’s at-risk graduation rate must meet a certain threshold to ensure “adequate progress.” Threshold: 75%; or 1 percentage point improvement over the prior year if percentage is within 10 points of the target 5 percentage point improvement over the prior year if percentage is beyond 10 points of the target This requirement is akin to the current learning gains requirement for the Low 25%. 31

  32. Additional Considerations Minimum cell size = 10 for the new components (denominators). If a high school does not meet the minimum cell size criterion for any of the new components (except the at-risk grad rate), the high school receives a grade based solely on the traditional FCAT measures. If a high school meets the minimum cell size for all the new components except for the at-risk grad rate, the overall grad rate percentage is substituted for the at-risk grad rate. Combination schools that serve high school grades receive a grade that re-weights the FCAT measures and the new high school measures: Grade K-12 schools are weighted 80% on the FCAT measures, and 20% on the non-FCAT measures (vs. 50/50 for regular high schools. Grade 6-12 and 7-12 schools are weighted 70% on the FCAT measures, and 30% on the non-FCAT measures. 32

  33. New High School Grade Scale 33

  34. FCAT Components (50% of the High School Grade) PLUS 11th and 12th grade retakes for possible bonus points (10) – High schools earn ten bonus points when half of all 11th and 12th graders retaking the FCAT meet the graduation requirement. 34

  35. New High School ComponentsNEW 50% (with points possible) • All components are percentages. Those components weighted twice as much as others reflect a calculated percentage that is doubled (e.g., School X has a 75% graduation rate – School X earns 150 points (75*2) for that component). • All component values are capped at their maximum values. That is, if a school earns points in excess of the total for a particular component – through the growth adjustment or the escalating weights in the acceleration components – the school will receive the maximum points for that component. 35

  36. Grading Combination Schools(K-12, 6-12) • Combination schools will receive more weighting for the traditional FCAT-based components vs. the new high school grading components. • Combination schools that serve a grade range of K-12 will have grade points weighted 80% for the FCAT-based components and 20% for the new HS grade components. • Combination schools that serve a grade range of 6-12 will have grade points weighted 70% for the FCAT-based components and 30% for the new HS grade components. • All combination schools will be assigned a weighting of 80/20 or 70/30 depending on their grade configuration. • Combination schools will be graded using 1600-pt. scale for high schools. (The traditional 800-pt. scale could also be used.) 36

  37. Grading Combination SchoolsExample Combination School X accumulates 625 points on the FCAT-based measures and 480 points on the new measures. It serves grades K-12. Weighting = 80/20. 625 x .80 = 500 480 x .20 = 96 To calculate on 800-pt. scale: 596 points = Grade “A” For 1600-pt. scale: 596 x 2 = 1192 = Grade “A” 37

  38. New Components for High School Grading: Provisions for Data Review • Districts will have the opportunity to review the new types of data included for the revised high school grades prior to reporting of the final grades. • A Web-based application will be developed for districts to use for reviewing data, similar to a current Web application for assessment records review and updates. 38

  39. School Grading and AYP Technical Assistance PapersAvailable AFTER Current Release • School Grades TAP: http://schoolgrades.fldoe.org/pdf/0809/2009SchoolGradesTAP.pdf (Will be updated for 2009-10 to include new section on high school grades.) • AYP TAP: http://schoolgrades.fldoe.org/pdf/0809/2009AYPTAP.pdf • Alternative School Ratings TAP: http://schoolgrades.fldoe.org/pdf/0809/2009SIRTAP.pdf • Links to the latest versions of these guides will also be available near the bottom of the Web page at http://schoolgrades.fldoe.org/. 39

  40. Overview of 2009-2010 AYP 40

  41. Adequate Yearly Progress (AYP) Overview • 39 Components: 4 measures (percent-tested in math [95% required]; percent tested in reading [95% required]; percent proficient in math*; percent proficient in reading*) x 9 subgroups = 36 subgroup-based components * Must meet annual proficiency targets in each subject. Plus 3 school-wide components: * graduation rate * writing proficiency * school grade For a “Yes” on AYP, a school must not fail to meet the AYP criteria for any component. 41

  42. AYP Subgroups, 2009-10 American Indian* Asian* Black (African American)* Hispanic* White* Economically Disadvantaged English Language Learners Students with Disabilities Total (All Students) * Current racial/ethnic group reporting categories. 42

  43. Reporting Race/Ethnicity for AYP • The new federal ethnicity reporting criteria will not be applied to AYP until the 2010-11 school year. Further, we expect no changes to the current racial/ethnic subgroups that we currently are reporting for AYP. 43

  44. AYP Reading and Math: Percent Tested and Proficiency by Subgroup Percent Tested (AYP, reading & math) = percent of students enrolled during Survey 3 who were tested (not counting students who withdrew after Survey 3 but before testing) Proficiency for AYP determined via 3 possible ways: • Percent scoring at or above proficient level on assessments in the current year • Safe Harbor (requires 10% or greater annual reduction in the percent of non-proficient students – for example, if percent non-proficient = 80% in prior year, required reduction is 10% of 80% = 8%; so percent non-proficient in current year must be 72% or less) • Growth Model(determines percent of students “on track” to be proficient on a 3-year trajectory, based on comparison of baseline-year test scores and succeeding year scores) 44

  45. Annual Proficiency Targets (AYP Percent-Proficient Targets) 45

  46. Schoolwide Components 3 schoolwide components & criteria: - Graduation rate 85%, or shows at least 2%* annual improvement. - Writing percent proficient (3.0 and higher)  90%, or shows at least 1% annual improvement. - School grade D or F. * New for 2009-10, per U.S. DOE grad- rate peer review. 46

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