exports and productivity link in manufacturing micro evidence from croatia by gorana lukinic cardic
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EXPORTS AND PRODUCTIVITY LINK IN MANUFACTURING : MICRO EVIDENCE FROM CROATIA: by Gorana Lukinic Cardic. Comments of Oleh Havrylyshyn For YES presentation June 23, 2010, Dubrovnik,. WHAT IS MOST INTERESTING AND USEFUL ?. VERY GOOD USE OF A LARGE MICRO-DATA BASE

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exports and productivity link in manufacturing micro evidence from croatia by gorana lukinic cardic

EXPORTS AND PRODUCTIVITY LINK IN MANUFACTURING : MICRO EVIDENCE FROM CROATIA:by Gorana Lukinic Cardic

Comments of Oleh Havrylyshyn

For YES presentation

June 23, 2010, Dubrovnik,

what is most interesting and useful
WHAT IS MOST INTERESTING AND USEFUL ?
  • VERY GOOD USE OF A LARGE MICRO-DATA BASE
  • IMPORTANT QUESTION ASKED : DO FIRMS EXPORT BECAUSE THEY HAVE HIGHER PRODUCTIVITY ? (self-selection SS) or DO FIRMS IMPROVE PRODUCTIVITY BY EXPORTING ? (learning by exporting : LBE); or BOTH ?
  • UNCONVENTIONAL CONCLUSION: NOT STRONG EVIDENCE OF SS; BETTER EVIDENCE OF LBE
some unanswered questions
SOME UNANSWERED QUESTIONS
  • DESPITE SEVERAL GOOD ROBUSTNESS TESTS ONE STILL WONDERS IF MORE TESTS NEEDED; e.g. AS AUTHOR NOTES IN LAST PARAGRAPH: TFP; LONGER TIME-PERIOD, ETC.
  • WHY IS CONCLUSION ALMOST OPPOSITE OF EARLIER STUDIES , AS IN Sec. 4 Lit. review? IS THERE A UNIQUENESS TO CROATIA, AND IF SO WHAT IS IT?
robustness
ROBUSTNESS
  • GIVEN CONCLUSION IT IS ESP. IMPORTANT TO BE COMFORTABLE WITH ROBUSTNESS
  • ONE OF THE MOST OBVIOUS : WHY NOT DO TFP INSTEAD OF LABOR PRODUCTIVITY ?
  • RESULTS MAY BE PARTICULAR TO THE TIME PERIOD: TRANSITION, NORMALIZING POST-YUG. TRADE RELATIONS – IS THERE PRE-1990 DATA?
  • OTHER POSSIBILITIES MENTIONED IN LAST PARAGRAPH OF PAPER (WHICH ITSELF SUGGESTS AUTHOR ALSO NOT FULLY COMFORTABLE WITH ROBUSTNESS)
is croatia unique how
IS CROATIA UNIQUE?HOW?
  • MUST EXPLAIN RESULT , AT LEAST SPECULATE WHY HR DIFFERENT
  • IF EXPORT DECISION NOT DUE TO HIGHER PRODUCTIVITY , WHAT IS THE REASON?
  • COULD IT BE RANDOM? POSSIBLE THEORETICALLY, BUT IMPLAUSIBLE
  • HISTORICAL INERTIA? FIRMS THAT EXPORTED TO OTHER YUG. BEFORE 1990 RESTART EXPORTS? CLUE ON p.4-exports intensified to neighbors!! (N.B. FSU AFTER 2000 SIMILAR)
  • CAN AUTHOR GIVE US SOME OTHER POSSIBLE EXPLANATIONS?
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