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Renewable Energy Opportunities in South East Europe

Explore the potential for renewable energy in South East Europe and learn about investment opportunities in the region. This project aims to promote the use of renewable energy sources and energy efficiency in residential and public buildings, as well as foster scientific and business cooperation for sustainable energy development. Join us in building a greener future!

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Renewable Energy Opportunities in South East Europe

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  1. RES OPPORTUNITIES IN SOUTH EAST EUROPEDr. Dimitris PapastefanakisDirector of Division of Development Programs CRESdpapas@cres.grVasilis PapandreouMech. EngineerDivision of Development Programs CRESvpapandr@cres.gr

  2. The common USAID-HellenicAid SYNENERGY project • Kicked Off: May 2008 • Duration: 24 months • Budget: 8 million € (Hellenic Aid 50%, USAID 50%) • Nine E.C. Countries: Albania, Bosnia Herzegovina, Croatia, FYROM, Moldavia, Montenegro, Serbia, Georgia, Ukraine • Implementing bodies: IRG, CRES

  3. The common USAID-HellenicAid SYNENERGY project Objectives • Promotion of the use of RES for electricity and heat production • Promotion of Energy Efficiency in residential and public buildings • Promotion of scientific and business cooperation for RES and E.E. • Support for the development of institutional and legislative framework for supporting RES and EE investments • Development and strengthening of regional RES and EE technologies and services market

  4. The common USAID-HellenicAid SYNENERGY project Four areas of activity: • Activity 1: Regional assessment of RES • Activity 2: E.E. in residential and public buildings • Activity 3: Strategic planning for RES and E.E. • Activity 4: Capacity building and institutional network development

  5. Task 1 Analysis of existing legal, institutional and financing framework for RES TASK 4 Identification of investment opportunities – feasibility case studies TASK 3 Assessment of economical RES potential Task 2 Assessment of natural and technical RES potential Activity 1 – RES assessment

  6. The Region • Albania • Bosnia & Herzegovina • Croatia • FYROM • Moldova • Montenegro • Serbia

  7. The Region - Statistics Source: World Bank

  8. RES Status – Electricity Production Source: IEA. Data for 2005. All figures in GWh. 1 Data from various sources (GWh); 2 Estimates

  9. RES Status – Heat Production Source: IEA. Data for 2005. All figures in PJ

  10. Electricity Demand Forecast • Annual growth rates from 4% to 17% • Growth rates may be more moderate due to • Energy Efficiency measures • Fuel switch for heating in residential sector • Still demand is growing so are the needs for sustainable electricity production All figures in GWh

  11. RES Strategies

  12. Kyoto Protocol Source: UNFCC as of 13/05/2008

  13. RES - Albania • No wind installations - No reliable data • Promising site along the Adriatic coast: • average speed 4-6 m/sec (10m height) • 400 GWh/year envisaged in the future • Hydro : Large hydro produce 98% of total electricity • SHPP: • Existing Capacity 14 MW (83 plants – 45 private) • 41 new sites ~140 MW • Biomass : No modern installations – no reliable data • ~ 6 Mtoe of wood • ~130 toe agricultural residues • ~340 toe biogas form animal waste

  14. RES - Bosnia & Herzegovina • No wind installations – No complete wind atlas • Preliminary estimates: • 2000MW technical potential • 600 MW economic viable • Ongoing measurements • 18 locations at the south west • average speed 6-7 m/sec • Capacity factor up to 32% • SHPP : Economic potential estimated at 5,6 GW (!) • Existing Capacity 31 MW • Over 280 MW planned. Some already under construction • Biomass : No installations • Over 1 million tonnes wood residues • Over 3.8 million tonnes agricultural residues

  15. RES - Croatia • ~ 45 MW of wind turbines in operation • Wind atlas under preparation (CARDS) • Good wind potential along the Adriatic Coast • Preliminary data: 1300 MW technical potential (new estimates up to 4 GW) • Target of 400 MW wind by 2030 • SHPP : Economic potential estimation 177 MW (77 locations) • Existing Capacity 33 MW (13 plants) • Over 280 MW planned. Some already under construction • Biomass : 512 MW industrial heating – 2 MW electricity (as of 2005) • Total potential 11 TWh (BIOEN)

  16. RES - FYROM • No wind installation – No data • Wind atlas under preparation (?) • SHPP : Great interest (400 requests !) • Existing Capacity 30 MW • Potential capacity 258 MW (study 1982) • Concession for 41 locations (2007) • Calls every 6 months (30-40 plants) • Biomass: • No data on potential • Some industrial uses for heating exist • A CDM project under preparation (Biomass to Energy)

  17. RES - Moldova • No wind installations – Lack of reliable data • Early studies did not show wind potential - New studies indicate locations with average speed ~7m/sec at 50 m • SHPP : Significant potential ~200 GWh/a • Existing Capacity 141 kW • Some 22 MW are readily available • Target to 2010 is 36 MW • Biomass: • Estimated potential ~820 ktoe wood & wood waste • Only small scale projects

  18. RES - Serbia & Montenegro • Wind: No wind installations – No wind atlas • Ongoing measurements from private companies - indication of locations with average speed 6-7 m/sec (10 m) • Estimated wind potential figures range from 1 to 11 GW • SHPP : Significant potential – over 900 possible locations ~ 500 MW potential (!) • Existing Capacity ~ 5MW • 21 SHPP ready for concession in early 2009 – more to follow • Feasibility studies needed • Biomass: High priority RES • Estimated wood potential ~1 Mtoe • Estimated potential from agriculture ~1.5 Mtoe • Pellet production ~ 1 million tones of wood residues

  19. RES Development Barriers • Lack of complete - reliable data • Not defined RES targets and strategies (in some countries) • Inadequate regulatory – legislative framework • Inadequate implementation of existing RES strategies and plans • Administrative issues (complicated licensing procedure) • Grid access • Lack of skilled personnel (in some countries) • Delays on Kyoto mechanisms implementation • Insufficient funding mechanisms • Uncertain investment environment

  20. RES Opportunities • Excellent potential for small hydro and biomass, promising for wind • Green certificates (for eligible countries) • Kyoto mechanisms (for eligible countries) • Athens Treaty – binding political targets for E.C. member countries • Interconnection • Environmental protection • RES development • More stable economic – political environment • Creation of special energy funds • RES market in its beginning – Time for dynamic entry

  21. SYNENERGY project contribution • Stocktaking report on RES (Dec. 2008) • Presentation of report to country representatives and stakeholders (Jan. 2009) • Identification of priority areas for each country • In depth assessment of priority areas (technical - economic potential) • Feasibility case studies for specific RES investments • Regulatory and legislative recommendations and support • Capacity building and institutional network development • Dissemination through workshops • Follow up project (?)

  22. THANK YOU Further Communication: Center of Renewable Energy Sources 19th km Marathonos Av., 19009 Pikermi www.cres.gr – cres@cres.gr Vasilis Papandreou Mech. EngineerDivision of Development Programs CRESvpapandr@cres.gr SYNENERGY web-site available soon

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