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Will we see real reform?. Tom MacInnes , New Policy Institute. Did the changes have to happen? . Previous system far from perfect Very complex -would not be anyone’s design Very high “tax” rates for some Universal credit aimed to deal with these flaws Introduces its own complexity

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will we see real reform

Will we see real reform?

Tom MacInnes, New Policy Institute

did the changes have to happen
Did the changes have to happen?
  • Previous system far from perfect
  • Very complex -would not be anyone’s design
  • Very high “tax” rates for some
  • Universal credit aimed to deal with these flaws
  • Introduces its own complexity
  • Not clear what problems other changes are solving
will changes make work pay
Will changes “make work pay”?
  • The point of UC is to do so
  • £ for £ addresses some of these problems
  • Mainly for workless families to move into work
  • Less so for single earners becoming two earners
who has been most affected
Who has been most affected?
  • Disabled people, by both disability related cuts and cuts in general
  • Last year, 300,000 families were affected by three cuts
  • 1.5m people were affected by two cuts, around 900,000 by one cut
  • These changes have happened before UC has even started
will uc really happen
Will UC really happen?
  • Some of it is already happening - “culture change” around conditions, sanctions
  • Change in payment of HB could happened regardless
  • Entirely new system needs designing, will be very expensive
  • This is a loss and a shame – a good opportunity wasted
  • Could see local variants, along the lines of CTS in England, shift risks to local level
  • Scotland and Wales may be different, depends on decisions of government
will the changes be a success
Will the changes be a success?
  • Very much depends on your definition
  • So far we have not seen any reform – only cuts
  • But the losses are huge – holes in the safety net, arbitrary local differences, a sanctions system in disrepute