spatial disparities of adaptation to crisis in china and its consequences n.
Download
Skip this Video
Loading SlideShow in 5 Seconds..
Spatial disparities of adaptation to crisis in China and its consequences PowerPoint Presentation
Download Presentation
Spatial disparities of adaptation to crisis in China and its consequences

Loading in 2 Seconds...

play fullscreen
1 / 26

Spatial disparities of adaptation to crisis in China and its consequences - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 144 Views
  • Uploaded on

Spatial disparities of adaptation to crisis in China and its consequences. Maria Csanádi Institute of Economics Hungarian Academy of Sciences. Outline. Hypothesis: impact of external dynamics on system transformation Analytical approach: the concept of transformation

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about 'Spatial disparities of adaptation to crisis in China and its consequences' - kato


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
spatial disparities of adaptation to crisis in china and its consequences

Spatial disparities of adaptation to crisis in China and its consequences

Maria Csanádi

Institute of Economics

Hungarian Academy of Sciences

outline
Outline
  • Hypothesis: impact of external dynamics on system transformation
  • Analytical approach: the concept of transformation
  • Adaptation pressures caused by the crisis
  • Sensitivity to adaptation pressures
  • Spatial impacts of the crisis
  • Spatial disparities in efforts to overcome the crisis
  • Long-term spatial impact of short-term interventions
hypothesis sensitivity to the impact of global dynamics
Hypothesis: sensitivity to the impact of global dynamics
  • Global growth, economic integration
    • Direct impact: macroeconomic growth
    • Indirect impact:
      • Acceleration of economic transformation
      • Increase of political legitimacy
      • Postponement of preconditions for political transformation
  • Global recession, economic integration
    • Direct impact: macroeconomic decline
    • Indirect impact:
      • Slow-down of economic transformation
      • Decline of political legitimacy
      • Formation of preconditions for political transformation
system transformation in party states
System transformation in party-states

The party-state network is retreating as a social system from politically monopolized economic, political and social sub-spheres, while

The sub-spheres of a new social system are emergingoutside of it

Order, speed, conditions of transformation of sub-fields vary according to the distribution of power in party-state networks

Directions and speed of development of one subfield may change temporary or for longer-term due to external and internal impacts

Retreating

party-state

network

Emerging

new system

uncertainties
Uncertainties
  • Time-span of prevalence of external and internal adaptation pressures
  • Sensitivity of the transformation process to adaptation pressures and to their extension in time
  • Extent of political sensitivity and adaptive reactions on the short term
  • Reversibility of the slow-down process due to changes in external and internal impacts
  • Spatial propagation of adaptation pressures and reactions
behind the scene expanding state role through the stimulus plan
Behind the scene: expanding state role through the stimulus plan

4,000,000,000,000.00 CNY

= 612,062,609,166.63 USD

= GDP 13% (2008)

Source: Economic observer On-line eeo.com.cn China's Stimulus Package: A Breakdown of Spending. 2009.03.07

spatial focus of increased fdi
Spatial focus of increased FDI

Source: ChinaData Center MU

the dynamics of output of the state owned field in the manufacturing
The dynamics of output of the state-owned field in the manufacturing

Source: ChinaData Center MU, NBS Regional Statistics

activized market field at central western regions in manufacturing
Activized market field at central-western regions in manufacturing

Source: ChinaData Center MU, NBS Regional Statistics

dynamics of the output at state owned field in the construction industry
Dynamics of the output at state-owned field in the construction industry

Source: ChinaData Center MU, NBS Regional Statistics

activized market dynamics of the market field in the construction
Activized market: dynamics of the market field in the construction

Source: ChinaData Center MU, NBS Regional Statistics

global crisis impact on system transformation
Global crisis impact on system transformation
  • Time-span of external and internal adaptation pressures
    • Global crisis exerted temporary adaptation pressures
    • Incite different adaptations that have different consequences on transformation
    • Differences in impact and reactions in space
  • Direction of transformation dynamics:
    • No simultaneous contraction of the state and market fields
  • Speed of transformation:
    • Instead of contraction, only temporary slow-down occurred
    • Reason of slow-down: the temporary decline of the market field and expansion of the state-owned field due to intervention
    • Short-term adaptation preserved political legitimacy
longer term consequences of short term intervention
Longer term consequences of short-term intervention
  • The focus mismatch of crisis and government intervention has multiple dimensions and multiple consequences
    • Regional focus of state intervention might decrease spatial disparties of development in several dymensions
    • Sectoral focus of state intervention in infrastructure compensated decline in manufacturing: growth of internal demand activates other sectors and decreases export dependency
    • Ownership focus of state intervention expanded the state sphere but also activized the market sphere
    • Size focus of state intervention also activized SMEs
questions for further research
Questions for further research
  • How do these consequences appear in
    • The spatial disparities of regional development,
    • The economic, export and labor force structures
    • Enterprise investment behavior, trade orientation and spatial strategies
    • What are the differences among those activized by state intervention and those directly impacted by the crisis
    • The temporary and longer-term migrant spatial routes, migrant motivations and bargaining capacties and living conditions and migrant gender structure
    • Economic transformation
  • Field-work in collaboration with BNU, Fudan, IE CASS