slide1 n.
Download
Skip this Video
Loading SlideShow in 5 Seconds..
Washington State Climate Change Impacts Assessment: HB 1303 Preliminary Findings PowerPoint Presentation
Download Presentation
Washington State Climate Change Impacts Assessment: HB 1303 Preliminary Findings

Loading in 2 Seconds...

play fullscreen
1 / 19

Washington State Climate Change Impacts Assessment: HB 1303 Preliminary Findings - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 116 Views
  • Uploaded on

Washington State Climate Change Impacts Assessment: HB 1303 Preliminary Findings. UW Climate Impacts Group. JISAO/CSES Climate Impacts Group University of Washington Washington State University Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. Climate science in the public interest.

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about 'Washington State Climate Change Impacts Assessment: HB 1303 Preliminary Findings' - karan


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
slide1

Washington State

Climate Change

Impacts Assessment:

HB 1303 Preliminary Findings

UW Climate Impacts Group

JISAO/CSES Climate Impacts Group

University of Washington

Washington State University

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Climate science in the public interest

warmest thanks
WARMEST THANKS!!
  • The Washington State Legislature.
  • The Dept. of Ecology and the Dept. of Community, Trade and Economic Development.
  • The leadership group at the expanded CIG: Co-P.I. Dennis Lettenmaier; Coordinators: Marketa McGuire Elsner, Jeremy Littell and Lara Whitely Binder.
  • To the leaders and members of the ten sub-groups.
  • We are honored!
warmest thanks cont d
WARMEST THANKS, cont’d.

To the

  • Bullitt Foundation;
  • WA. Dept. of Ecology;
  • King County;
  • The NOAA Climate Program Office;

(Our Conference Sponsors)

overview
Overview
  • What climate is and what climate change means
  • What climate change puts at risk
  • Why climate change is a fact
  • Project description & team organization
  • What is significant about the project?
  • Overview of assessment (how assessment was conducted)
  • Relationship with the Preparation and Adaptation Working Groups (PAWGs)
what climate is what climate change means
What climate is & what climate change means

[Source: Holdren 2008]

Climate is the pattern of weather, meaning averages,

extremes, timing, spatial distribution of…

  • hot & cold
  • cloudy & clear
  • humid & dry
  • drizzles & downpours
  • snowfall, snowpack, & snowmelt
  • zephyrs, blizzards, tornadoes, & typhoons

Climate change means altered patterns.

[Changes in globally averaged temperature are one measure of GCC. Other measures will include items listed above. Small changes in the index  big changes in the patterns.]

what climate change puts at risk
What climate change puts at risk

[Source: Holdren, 2008]

Climate governs (so climate change affects)

  • availability of water
  • productivity of farms, forests, & fisheries
  • prevalence of oppressive heat & humidity
  • formation & dispersion of air pollutants
  • geography of disease
  • damages from storms, floods, droughts, wildfires
  • property losses from sea-level rise
  • expenditures on engineered environments
  • distribution & abundance of species
why climate change is a fact
Why Climate Change is a Fact
  • The earth is getting hotter, both land and ocean.
  • Atmospheric circulation patterns are changing.
  • Permafrost is thawing.
  • Arctic summer sea ice is thawing.
  • Surface melting on Greenland is expanding.
  • Sea level is rising.
  • All of the above are forced by human emissions of Green House Gases (GHG) over last 250 years (IPCC, 2007).

Source: Holdren. 2008.

background
Background
  • Evaluate current and proposed actions to reduce CO2 emissions
  • Make recommendations on improved preparedness and adaptation, including climate change impacts assessment in cooperation with UW Climate Impacts Group
collaboration with state agencies
Collaboration with State Agencies

Funding Source: Clean Air/Clean Fuels House Bill 1303

Answers to FAQ regarding HB 1303 from the Washington State Legislature website:

http://apps.leg.wa.gov/billinfo/default.aspx

slide10

Objectives of the Impacts Assessment

Evaluate impacts of climate change for the 21st century

  • use IPCC 2007 climate scenarios
  • show regional impacts and areas of high and low sensitivity to climate change
  • characterize barriers to adaptation to these impacts (e.g., legal, institutional)
  • provide tools for policy makers and user groups
  • collaborate with Governor’s Climate Change Challenge team
slide11

Project Team

  • Forests
  • (D. McKenzie, J. Littell)
    • CIG, UW, USFS, Univ. ID
  • Coasts
  • (D. Huppert)
    • CIG, UW
  • Urban Stormwater Infrastructure
  • (A. Steinemann, D. Booth)
    • UW, Stillwater Sciences, King Co. Water and Land Resources Div., Northwest Hydraulic Consultants
  • Human Health
  • (R. Fenske)
    • UW, WSU, Institute for Chemical Process and Envir. Tech. - Canada, CA Air Resources Board
  • Adaptation
    • (L. Whitely Binder)
    • CIG, UW
  • Scenarios
  • (E. Salathé, P. Mote)
    • CIG, UW, PNNL
  • Hydrology and Water Resources
  • (D. Lettenmaier, M. Elsner)
    • CIG, UW
  • Energy – Hydropower
  • (A. Hamlet)
    • CIG, UW
  • Agriculture & Economics (Stockle, Scott)
    • WSU, USDA ARS, PNNL
  • Salmon
  • (N. Mantua)
    • CIG, UW
what is significant about this project
What is Significant about This Project?
  • Large scope & sector diversity. (Atmosphere, ocean, mountains, water, fish, trees, wheat, potatoes, apples, people and their $ all in a single package).
  • Very high level of integration achieved.
  • Use of ensemble of 20 climate models narrows uncertainty to considerable extent.
  • Projected ranges of impacts at different locations and in different ecosystems quantified.
  • First time data products of such fine resolution will be freely available on the internet in such an integrated fashion.
slide14
How, in general, the project was conducted:
    • downscale global climate scenarios to regional scenarios, feed those results into VIC and DHSVM, feed those results into forest, agriculture, stormwater, energy, health models)
slide15

Assessment Overview:Technical Approach

Global Climate Models

Regional Climate Change Scenarios

Precipitation, temperature

Sea Level Rise Scenarios

Hydrologic Models

Regional

Climate Models

Sectors

Urban

Stormwater

Infrastructure

Preliminary Adaptation Options

Sectors

Hydrology &

Water Management

Energy

Preliminary Adaptation Options

Sectors

Human Health

Coasts

Preliminary Adaptation Options

Sectors

Agriculture &

Economics

Salmon & Ecosystems

Forests

Preliminary Adaptation Options

slide16

Sector Objectives (1)

  • Scenarios
    • Projected changes in temperature and precipitation
  • Hydrology and Water Resources
    • Projected impacts on snowpack, soil moisture, streamflow
  • Energy
    • Projected impacts on hydropower production, heating and cooling demand
  • Agriculture & Economics
    • Projected impacts on yields of potatoes, apples, wheat
  • Salmon
    • Projected impacts on water temperature, flood and low flows
  • Forests
    • Projected impacts on tree growth, regeneration, fire, and insect outbreaks
slide17

Sector Objectives (2)

  • Coasts
    • Projected impacts on coastal homes, infrastructure, and commerce, through examination of several specific sites and physical threats
  • Urban Stormwater Infrastructure
    • Projected impacts on the capacity of stormwater facilities, or the disabling of key assets because of more severe flooding
  • Human Health
    • Projected impacts on illness and mortality related to heat and worsening air quality
  • Adaptation
    • Discussion of opportunities that enhance existing PAWG recommendations or provide additional adaptation options related to these same themes