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1. COMPRAM DeTombe Complex Societal Issues Dr. Dorien DeTombe (MSc. Ph.D.)
International Research Society on
Methodology of Societal Complexity
P.O. Box. 3286, 1001 AB Amsterdam,
The Netherlands, Europe
Tel: +31 20 6927526
E-Mail: DeTombe@lri.jur.uva.nl
http://www.geocities.com/doriendetombe Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen, my name is Dorien DeTombe (MSc. Ph.D. )of the
International Research Society on Methodology of Societal Complexity from amsterdam europe.
It is an honor for me to be invited by prof. dr Horii to this prestigious and important workshop on global safety.Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen, my name is Dorien DeTombe (MSc. Ph.D. )of the
International Research Society on Methodology of Societal Complexity from amsterdam europe.
It is an honor for me to be invited by prof. dr Horii to this prestigious and important workshop on global safety.
2. COMPRAM DeTombe I like to talk with you this afternoon about the field of societal complexity, that focuses on handling complex societal problems . I like to discuss with you some aspects of complex societal problems and how to handle them. Handling complex societal problem can be done based on the ideas of the method COMPRAM, which I developed some years ago especially to analyze, handle guide and evaluate complex societal problems .I like to talk with you this afternoon about the field of societal complexity, that focuses on handling complex societal problems . I like to discuss with you some aspects of complex societal problems and how to handle them. Handling complex societal problem can be done based on the ideas of the method COMPRAM, which I developed some years ago especially to analyze, handle guide and evaluate complex societal problems .
3. COMPRAM DeTombe What threatens global safety categorized by here by causes
And the effect they have on the society: local or global
we will be focusing in this workshop mainly on complex societal problems caused by a natural causes and has a local effect
not a compete overview , just some examples
Complex societal problems can also be categorized by their effects on humanity see website van alexander ?
What threatens global safety categorized by here by causes
And the effect they have on the society: local or global
we will be focusing in this workshop mainly on complex societal problems caused by a natural causes and has a local effect
not a compete overview , just some examples
Complex societal problems can also be categorized by their effects on humanity see website van alexander ?
4. COMPRAM DeTombe Some example of complex societal problemSome example of complex societal problem
5. COMPRAM DeTombe natural threats: localchicken farms fowl pest virus
6. COMPRAM DeTombe fowl pest March 2003 The Netherlands
Located: North Veluwe
April 2003 extended Southern provinces
Aspects spreading of the virus locally by
Bird droppings, shoes , schools, visitors
Possible by the firm for animal food
7. COMPRAM DeTombe fowl pest
Prevention by
killing the infected animals
by isolating the farms
700 persons active
violated by workers from one firm to another, family visitors?
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26. COMPRAM DeTombe All these complex societal problem differs much from each other
Yet they can be analyzed, handled and evaluated in the same way.
How to handle these kind of problems belongs to the field of societal complexity.All these complex societal problem differs much from each other
Yet they can be analyzed, handled and evaluated in the same way.
How to handle these kind of problems belongs to the field of societal complexity.
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33. COMPRAM DeTombe Example : why revolution gets out of hand:
Psyhology: psychopath: Pol pot, hitler
People: want a hero
Sociology: group pressure group processesExample : why revolution gets out of hand:
Psyhology: psychopath: Pol pot, hitler
People: want a hero
Sociology: group pressure group processes
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37. COMPRAM DeTombe Eldery people, the poor , the handicappedEldery people, the poor , the handicapped
38. COMPRAM DeTombe Man made causes like war and nuclear power plants
The effect even of a natural disaster is man made: building houses in vulnerable areas and avalanches : cutting down trees
Floods: streathen of rivers
Man made causes like war and nuclear power plants
The effect even of a natural disaster is man made: building houses in vulnerable areas and avalanches : cutting down trees
Floods: streathen of rivers
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40. COMPRAM DeTombe A solution for person a can be a problem for person bA solution for person a can be a problem for person b
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46. COMPRAM DeTombe In the process support are included emotions between the problem handlers and concerning the interventions in the method one has to deal with the emotions of the media people policy makers and people involved. And effectedIn the process support are included emotions between the problem handlers and concerning the interventions in the method one has to deal with the emotions of the media people policy makers and people involved. And effected
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48. COMPRAM DeTombe the facilitator is invited by the problem owner start with describing the problem roughly and inviting expert
the facilitator is invited by the problem owner start with describing the problem roughly and inviting expert
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51. COMPRAM DeTombe Compram method ahndles all phases of the problem handling process
Now we are already in phase 1.4 forming a team based on the idea which field are involved in the problem
Always policy makers: we are in the middel of the problem handlinG process never at the start
Compram method ahndles all phases of the problem handling process
Now we are already in phase 1.4 forming a team based on the idea which field are involved in the problem
Always policy makers: we are in the middel of the problem handlinG process never at the start
52. COMPRAM DeTombe (Take 6-12 months)
Only mentioning as a overview not yet discuss (Take 6-12 months)
Only mentioning as a overview not yet discuss
53. COMPRAM DeTombe The facilitator invites based on hiw mental idea of the problem the experts
Rounds of discussion The facilitator invites based on hiw mental idea of the problem the experts
Rounds of discussion
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55. COMPRAM DeTombe First apporahing as a knowledge probelem
Explain each person sees because of his/her education/ experience see nly a part of the problem
Give examples
First apporahing as a knowledge probelem
Explain each person sees because of his/her education/ experience see nly a part of the problem
Give examples
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60. COMPRAM DeTombe Description of the problem in different languages over and over again the same problem
Devils advocate role avoiding group think
Expert support groups
definition is depending of the quality of the group and the facilitator hard to avoid hidden agenda’s but be aware
There are always white sport and blind spotsDescription of the problem in different languages over and over again the same problem
Devils advocate role avoiding group think
Expert support groups
definition is depending of the quality of the group and the facilitator hard to avoid hidden agenda’s but be aware
There are always white sport and blind spots
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69. COMPRAM DeTombe Explain each actor sees because of interests and want to have an other solution Give examples
Explain each actor sees because of interests and want to have an other solution Give examples
70. COMPRAM DeTombe Description of the problem in different languages over and over again the same problem
Devils advocate role avoiding group think
Expert support groups
definition is depending of the quality of the group and the facilitator hard to avoid hidden agenda’s but be aware
There are always white sport and blind spotsDescription of the problem in different languages over and over again the same problem
Devils advocate role avoiding group think
Expert support groups
definition is depending of the quality of the group and the facilitator hard to avoid hidden agenda’s but be aware
There are always white sport and blind spots
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72. COMPRAM DeTombe Description of the problem in different languages over and over again the same problem
Devils advocate role avoiding group think
Expert support groups
definition is depending of the quality of the group and the facilitator hard to avoid hidden agenda’s but be aware
There are always white sport and blind spotsDescription of the problem in different languages over and over again the same problem
Devils advocate role avoiding group think
Expert support groups
definition is depending of the quality of the group and the facilitator hard to avoid hidden agenda’s but be aware
There are always white sport and blind spots
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76. COMPRAM DeTombe The whole process takes 6-12 monthsThe whole process takes 6-12 months
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79. COMPRAM DeTombe The compram method is manly developed from the point of how a government can manage
complex societal problems in this case disaster risks
The compram method is manly developed from the point of how a government can manage
complex societal problems in this case disaster risks
80. COMPRAM DeTombe A advices for science
1 supporting the universities in starting a interdisciplinary department/faculty/institute for field of
societal complexity in general , that can be applied on natural disasters, and healthcare, education,
environmental issues, terrorism immigration and traffic issues in order that this field can grow and students are trained.
2 training public policy makers to understand societal complexity and learn them to use the methods of this field
A advices for science
1 supporting the universities in starting a interdisciplinary department/faculty/institute for field of
societal complexity in general , that can be applied on natural disasters, and healthcare, education,
environmental issues, terrorism immigration and traffic issues in order that this field can grow and students are trained.
2 training public policy makers to understand societal complexity and learn them to use the methods of this field
81. COMPRAM DeTombe B advises for the government:
1 let ‘safety’ primarily be controlled by the state, the government. Safety is a public issue and should not be handled by private companies.
The public should have control over it and have a democratic influence on it
B advises for the government:
1 let ‘safety’ primarily be controlled by the state, the government. Safety is a public issue and should not be handled by private companies.
The public should have control over it and have a democratic influence on it
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84. COMPRAM DeTombe This is the general overall approach
prepare for a disaster as if you self would live there
let human aspects prevail on economic aspects
katrina lower dykes in poor areas than in richer areas because of the economic arguments
HIV/AIDS problem Africa: who cares if poor black people die
This is the general overall approach
prepare for a disaster as if you self would live there
let human aspects prevail on economic aspects
katrina lower dykes in poor areas than in richer areas because of the economic arguments
HIV/AIDS problem Africa: who cares if poor black people die
85. COMPRAM DeTombe - analyze the situation by a multi disciplinary team of experts along the guidelines of the COMPRAM method
- find out what are the vulnerable areas (picture The Netherlands floods or katrina
- use the knowledge and experience of people who experienced this before
- analyze the situation by a multi disciplinary team of experts along the guidelines of the COMPRAM method
- find out what are the vulnerable areas (picture The Netherlands floods or katrina
- use the knowledge and experience of people who experienced this before
86. COMPRAM DeTombe find out which parties are involved and how they will be affected
be prepared for disasters: it will happen.
make scenarios by interdisciplinary teams of public and private organizations and include the people in it: what happen if….
find out which parties are involved and how they will be affected
be prepared for disasters: it will happen.
make scenarios by interdisciplinary teams of public and private organizations and include the people in it: what happen if….
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88. COMPRAM DeTombe organization
be prepared for the moment of the disaster: know who is in charge
team of five people healthcare, firework, traffic politics communicationorganization
be prepared for the moment of the disaster: know who is in charge
team of five people healthcare, firework, traffic politics communication
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90. COMPRAM DeTombe training
train the people who will deal with the disaster in their own tasks and communication with each other
train the organizations with communication with the other teams
keep the training updated.
training
train the people who will deal with the disaster in their own tasks and communication with each other
train the organizations with communication with the other teams
keep the training updated.
91. COMPRAM DeTombe be sure technology works in times of disaster ( red cross car)
have other people and equipment available in case the fireworks, hospital or first aid people are affected
be sure technology works in times of disaster ( red cross car)
have other people and equipment available in case the fireworks, hospital or first aid people are affected
92. COMPRAM DeTombe diseases
be aware of the outbreak inflectional diseases (virus/ bacteria) after the disaster because of the contamination of the ground and water and concentration of people
diseases
be aware of the outbreak inflectional diseases (virus/ bacteria) after the disaster because of the contamination of the ground and water and concentration of people
93. COMPRAM DeTombe during the disaster
save all live first
beware of all kinds of criminal activities: robbery and the outbreak of diseases
organized public money help fund and guarantee and control that the money is well spend and transparent and understandable public controlled
avoid speculating on the local currency in case of a disaster Indonesia tsunami
during the disaster
save all live first
beware of all kinds of criminal activities: robbery and the outbreak of diseases
organized public money help fund and guarantee and control that the money is well spend and transparent and understandable public controlled
avoid speculating on the local currency in case of a disaster Indonesia tsunami
94. COMPRAM DeTombe avoid building polluted vulnerable industry in the vulnerable areas
avoid the living large concentration of people in vulnerable areas as much as possible building living areas in delta’s,
forelands, and on fault lines tectonic plates, curst of the earth if not possible to avoid then build sustainable buildings
firms and houses( see tsunami churches still stands)
avoid building polluted vulnerable industry in the vulnerable areas
avoid the living large concentration of people in vulnerable areas as much as possible building living areas in delta’s,
forelands, and on fault lines tectonic plates, curst of the earth if not possible to avoid then build sustainable buildings
firms and houses( see tsunami churches still stands)
95. COMPRAM DeTombe shortly after the disaster
keep people alive take care of physical and psychological damages
relocate people and reintegrate people houses, school work money
shortly after the disaster
keep people alive take care of physical and psychological damages
relocate people and reintegrate people houses, school work money
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