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Please Stand ByJohn Thomas for Macro MillionaireWednesday, September 21, 2011 The Webinar will begin at 12:00 pm EST
The Mad Hedge Fund TraderMarking Time Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund TraderSeptember 21, 2011www.macromillionaire.com
Macro Millionaire Global Strategy LuncheonsBuy tickets at www.madhedgefundtrader.com , Friday, Sept. 23, 2011 Las Vegas
Macro Millionaire Global Strategy LuncheonsBuy tickets at www.madhedgefundtrader.com Auckland, New Zealand Sydney, Australia October 10, 2011 October 11, 2011
Macro Millionaire Global Strategy LuncheonsBuy tickets at www.madhedgefundtrader.com Brisbane, AustraliaOctober 17, 2011 SingaporeOctober 18, 2011
Macro Millionaire Global Strategy LuncheonsBuy tickets at www.madhedgefundtrader.com Orlando, Florida November 10, 2011
Macro Millionaire PerformanceMonday Figures *September 16.56% MTD!*First 40 weeks of Trading+ 39.15%!!*Versus +2.0% for the S&P500since December, 2010 36 out of 41 closed trades profitable0 out of 2 open trade profitable84% success rate
The Economy *IMF downgrade bodes ill for the world economy US 2.7% down to 1.8%, Europe 1.7% to 1.1*%*Inflation Rising CPI up to 3.8%-Stagflation is the horizon*Weekly jobless claims rising over 400,000 and trending up*New home starts stuck at 571,000 one quarter peak levels*Election assures gridlock don’t count on government stimulus*All consistent with a low 2.0% GDP growth rate
Bonds *Twist is in the price, announcement could bring a (TBT) rallyTwist will have not impact on the economy*Fed is trying to force money out of bonds intothe real economy*No twist brings a 5 point pop in the (TBT)*Interest rates could be stuck at this levelfor a while. 1.85-2.35% range for 10 year*China indicated they will continue buyingat this level
StocksSearching for a bottom *Expect volatility to continue*Still stuck in the 1,000-1,230 range*The rising flag formation is bearish*Use a hedged approachbalanced “RISK ON/RISK OFF” portfoliowhile market trendless*Dead financials will prevent big up moves in indexes*Q3 earnings starts in 2 weeks cut back on “RISK OFF” exposure*Get out of the way of Fed surprises
The Dollar *Dollar break out looks set to continue*Euro looks like a layup on the short side*The new Euro 1.35-$1.40 range is setuntil the next break down*Watch Australian dollar for“RISK ON/RISK OFF” tell*Yen is still dead in the water
Energy *Watch oil for your tip off for “RISK ON”/”RISK OFF”*Summer driving season is over, creatinga drag on prices, demand is falling*Still Caught in a short term $80-$90 trading range*Trend down since April continuesupper left hand corner to lower rate*Next long term support kicks in at $75*Great trading and hedging vehicle long (TBT) versus short oil*Natural Gas threatening a total breakdown on oversupply
Precious Metals *Gold is trying to put in an intermediate term top*Action has moved on to gold stocks*Looking heavier each week*Volatility is extreme*My long term target is still $2,300*Dragged down by weak prices in other commodities*Platinum and Palladium were predicting a recoverytwo weeks ago, now predicting a slowdown
The Ags *(CORN) takes a hit on rumors of anArgentina quota relaxation*They finally got rain in Texas*“RISK OFF” keeps beating up a long termfundamental bull trend*Weakness in corn spread to the entire ag sector*An entry point is setting up
Trade SheetThe bottom line: Trade or die *Stocks-Buy the big dips, sell the big rallies*Bonds- go short, sell rallies*Commodities- buy the dips*Currencies-sell Euro rallies, buy Aussie dips*Precious Metals- go short through out of the money puts*Volatility-short the spikes over 40%*The ags – wait for a bigger dip, more news*Real estate-bouncing along a bottomNext Webinar is on Wednesday, October 5
To access my research data base or buy strategy luncheon tickets Please Go towww.madhedgefundtrader.com