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Making Sense of the Jewish Vote

Making Sense of the Jewish Vote. Historical Perspective: Jewish Vote in Presidential Elections. Exit polls have reported that the Democratic presidential candidate has received between 64 and 80 percent of the Jewish vote since 1972 Average Democratic vote share: 70 percent.

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Making Sense of the Jewish Vote

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  1. Making Sense of theJewish Vote

  2. Historical Perspective:Jewish Vote in Presidential Elections Exit polls have reported that the Democratic presidential candidate has received between 64 and 80 percent of the Jewish vote since 1972 Average Democratic vote share: 70 percent Source: Exit poll data

  3. 2010 Mid-Term Election Results Source: 2010 exit polls, Democracy Corps election night poll , J Street election night poll

  4. Impact of the Jewish Vote Source: 2008 exit polls

  5. Impact of the Jewish Vote:Florida Case Study = = Source: 2008 exit polls show Jews were 4 percent of FL vote; there was no Jewish result reported in FL , 74-26 result cited here is the national Jewish result in the 2008 exit polls

  6. Understanding Recent Data and Trends:Jewish Party Identification Source: Pew Research Center

  7. 2012 Vote – Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney +34 +43 Source: Gallup

  8. What Drives the Jewish Vote:Shared Values

  9. What Drives the Jewish Vote:Shared Values on Social / Economic Issues Driving the Debate

  10. What Drives the Jewish Vote:Intense Jewish Opposition toward Republicans We would like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a very warm, favorable feeling; zero meaning a very cold, unfavorable feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold Source: PRRI March 2012 poll ; Tea Party and Beck Results from J Street National Survey of American Jews, July 2011

  11. What Drives the Jewish Vote:Vote Priorities Below is a list of issues facing our country today. Please mark which two of these issues are the most important for you in deciding your vote for Congress in November. Source: J Street National Election Night Survey of American Jews November 2010

  12. Broad Support for Active U.S. Involvement in the Arab-Israeli Conflict Do you support or oppose the United States playing an active role in helping the parties to resolve the Arab-Israeli conflict? Source: J Street National Survey of American Jews July 2011

  13. Public Disagreement Supported; Singling Out Israel Causes Major Decline Would you support or oppose the United States playing an active role in helping the parties to resolve the Arab-Israeli conflict if it meant the United States publicly stating its disagreements… +34 -12

  14. 2010 IL9 Case Study:Criticism of Schakowsky Largely Unknown Have you read or heard about any criticism of Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky's positions on Israel? Source: J Street Survey of Registered Jewish Voters in IL9, October 2010

  15. 2010 IL9 Case Study:Those who Hear Criticism Move Toward Schakowsky (If they have heard criticism of Rep. Schakowsky’s positions on Israel) Did this criticism make you more likely to support Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky, more likely to support her opponent Joel Pollak or make no difference? Source: J Street Survey of Registered Jewish Voters in IL9, October 2010

  16. Criticism Moves Small Numbers: Republicans Toward Pollak,Democrats and Independents Toward Schakowsky (If they have heard criticism of Rep. Schakowsky’s positions on Israel) Did this criticism make you more likely to support Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky, more likely to support her opponent Joel Pollak or make no difference? Source: J Street Survey of Registered Jewish Voters in IL9, October 2010

  17. Donors Contributed to Obama Over McCain 4-to-1 In the 2008 Presidential election, did you make a financial contribution to the campaign of Barack Obama or the campaign of John McCain? Source: J Street National Survey of American Jews July 2011

  18. High and Comparable Level of Return Donors for Obama and Republicans Thinking about the 2012 Presidential election, will you make a financial contribution to… Barack Obama's campaign? (Among those who contributed to Obama’s campaign) a Republican candidate's campaign? (Among those who contributed to McCain’s campaign)

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