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Key Findings from a Survey of 500 Registered Voters January 19-22, 2018

Key findings from a survey of 500 registered voters in Minnesota conducted in January 2018. The survey explores voters' perspectives on the number of accidents, physical condition, level of traffic and congestion, and funding for state roads, bridges, and highways. It also assesses support for a potential Constitutional Amendment to dedicate sales tax on auto parts towards improving infrastructure.

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Key Findings from a Survey of 500 Registered Voters January 19-22, 2018

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  1. Key Findings from a Survey of 500 RegisteredVoters January 19-22,2018 Robert Blizzard,Partner

  2. Methodology On behalf of Progress in Motion, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a survey of 500 registered voters in Minnesota. Three hundred respondents were contacted via landline and 200 were contacted via cellphone. The survey was conducted January 19-22, 2018 and has a margin of error of+4.38%. 2 MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  3. The State’sRoads, Bridges andHighways

  4. Voters don’t really believe there’s been an uptick in the "number ofaccidents." Now, thinking some more about the state's roads, bridges and highways, do you feel that each of the following has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the sameover the past fewyears? The number of accidents on state roads, bridges andhighways.^ Total By Metro Area 59% 57% 55% 23% 21% 18% 15% 13% Better 10% Better Worse Total Worse Inside (57%) Worse Outside (43%) Same Better Same Same ^Asked of Sample Bonly. 4 MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  5. There are mixed opinions on the "physical condition" of the state'sroads. Now, thinking some more about the state's roads, bridges and highways, do you feel that each of the following has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the sameover the past fewyears? The physical condition of the state's roads, bridges andhighways.* Total By Metro Area 45% 44% 43% 35% 31% 28% 25% 24% 22% Worse Total Worse Inside (60%) Worse Outside (40%) Better Same Better Same Better Same *Asked of Sample Aonly. 5 MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  6. And, by a nearly four-to-one margin, Minnesotans say the "level of trafficand congestion" has gottenworse. Now, thinking some more about the state's roads, bridges and highways, do you feel that each of the following has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the sameover the past fewyears? The level of traffic and congestion in yourarea. Total By MetroArea 62% 49% 48% 39% 39% 27% 11% Better 11% Better 11% Better Worse Total Worse Inside (59%) Worse Outside (41%) Same Same Same 6 MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  7. A strong majority of voters believe the state needs to spend moremoney to improve roads, bridges andhighways. And, do you believe that the state's roads, bridges and highways are funded adequately, or do youbelieve the state needs to spend more money to improve the state's roads, bridges andhighways? Total ByParty By MetroArea -24 -4 -28 -33 -23 -26 63% 63% 61% 60% 59% 45%49% 36% 36% 35% 35% 30% Fund adeqMore GOP (22%) Fund adeqMore Inside (59%) Fund adeqMore Total Fund adeqMore IND (43%) Fund adeqMore DEM (33%) Fund adeq More Outside (41%) 7 MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  8. A Potential Constitutional Amendment

  9. When voters are provided with somebackground about a potential ConstitutionalAmendment… Now, as you may know, Minnesotans currently pay a sales tax of six‐point‐eight‐seven percent when they purchase auto parts like tires, new wiper blades, and soon. Currently, one‐half of the revenue generated from that tax is dedicated to improving the state's roads, bridges and highways, while the other half goes directly to the state's general fund. The State Legislature is discussing a proposal toamend the State's Constitution to dedicate ALL of the money collected from the sales tax on auto parts to go toward improving the state's roads, bridges andhighways. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  10. Fully three-quarters ofMinnesotans support the potentialAmendment. If this Constitutional Amendment were on the ballot today, would you vote YES in favor of it or NO againstit? +57 76% 43% Definitely 19% Yes No Total MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  11. Voters across the state support theAmendment. If this Constitutional Amendment were on the ballot today, would you vote YES in favor of it or NO againstit? By Metro Area ByRegion +67 +52 +48 82% +72 85% +51 +66 +63 81% 80% 72% 72% 71% 55% Def 53% Def 51% Def 46% Def 39% Def 38% Def 36% Def 23% 21% 20% 13% No MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  12. Voters in every age cohort strongly support theAmendment. If this Constitutional Amendment were on the ballot today, would you vote YES in favor of it or NO againstit? By Age ByGender/Age +49 +50 +43 +63 80% +69 +42 80% +65 +54 80% 74% +67 80% 74% 72% 70% 68% 62% Def 59% Def 56% Def 53% Def 30%28% 32% Def 32% Def 29% Def20% 26% 25% Def 24% Def23% 17% 15% MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  13. Messaging

  14. We tested ten messages in SUPPORT of this Amendment, and five of these messagesmet the 35% “very convincing” threshold, including two messages whichsurpassed 40% “veryconvincing.”

  15. The top scoringmessages: % VeryConvincing Total Dedicating the salestax that people are currently payingonauto parts to the Highway TrustFundis fair because, just like thegastax and registration fees, itmeansthat those who use the state's roadsare paying forimproving theroads. 46% 84% By passingthisConstitutional Amendment, votersherein Minnesota will be makingsurethat highway dollars are protectedin a lockbox to keeppoliticiansfrom diverting the money tootherareas of governmentspending.^ 42% 75% ^Asked of Sample Bonly. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  16. The next strongestscorers: In the next two decades,Minnesota's population will increase by close toone million new residents. In order toaccommodatethis population growth, the state needsto invest now in a better transportation systemto avoid congestion and safetyproblems. The revenue collected from motorvehiclefees and taxes, including the sales taxonauto parts, should be Constitutionallydedicatedto fixing roads and bridges. Thatway,no politician in St. Paul can touchit. Dedicating all of the sales tax revenueonauto parts to the Highway Trust Fundwillprovide significantly more money withoutraising taxes on hard‐working Minnesotafamilies.* By passing thisConstitutionalAmendment, voters here in Minnesota will bemakingsure that highway dollars are protectedtokeep politicians from diverting the moneytoother areas of governmentspending.* Minnesota's roads, bridgesandhighways across the state are in badshapeand deteriorating. By passingthisConstitutional Amendment, we will finally getthededicated funding needed to invest in fixingcrumbling roads and deficientbridges. 34% 77% *Asked of Sample Aonly. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  17. These messages failed to really move theneedle: % VeryConvincing Total Improving the state'shighwaysand public transit will help reducetrafficand congestion, making it easierforpeople to get around Minnesota,andgiving families more time at home andless time waiting in theircar.^ 29% 74% In recent years, the numberofcar accidents has increasedandhighway fatalities are on the rise. Bypassingthis Constitutional Amendment, thestatecan spend more on makinghighwaysand bridges safer in Minnesota toreduce fatalities andinjuries.* 23% 61% If we don't passthisConstitutional Amendment and don't invest moreinour transportationinfrastructure, Minnesota's economy willsufferas businesses will choose not toexpandor to locate elsewhere ‐ takingtheirjobs and tax revenue withthem. 18% 51% *AskedofSampleAonly;^askedofSampleBonly. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  18. We tested nine messages AGAINST this Amendment, and none of these messages met the 35% “very convincing”threshold.

  19. The strongest messages against theAmendment: % VeryConvincing Total By passingthisConstitutional Amendment, hundreds of millionsof dollars that typically go toK‐12public schools or health careforSenior Citizens will vanish.Weshouldn't shortchange our kids' educationandthe elderly just to benefit ruralMinnesota roads.1 29% 60% By passingthisConstitutional Amendment, mostnewtransportation funding would end up going totheTwin Cities to pay for bus routes andlightrail instead of to help fixcrumblingroads and bridges outside of the metroarea.2 26% 64% The problem withtransportationfunding is really how the money is beingspent.If State Legislators would just cleanupthe inefficiencies and bureaucracy inSt. Paul, there would be a lot moremoney to spend on our state's roads,bridges andhighways.^ 25% 58% ^Asked of Sample B only; 1Asked inside Metro Area; 2Asked outside MetroArea. 31 MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  20. The rest of the oppositionmessages: Dedicating all of the motor vehicle sales taxrevenueto transportation will result in the loss ofhundredsof millions of dollars from the state's generalfundwhich means less money being spent on K‐12public education, health care for Senior Citizens, and other criticalstate services.* By passing this Constitutional Amendment,hundredsof millions of dollars would go toward buildingmore highways that are wasteful and harmthe environment. The state should invest that money in public transit options near the TwinCities.1 Dedicating all of the motor vehicle sales taxrevenueto transportation will result in the loss ofhundreds of millions of dollars from the state's generalfundwill create a huge budget hole that will give thepoliticiansin St. Paul an excuse to pass a massive tax increaseon Minnesotafamilies.^ Too much of the money being spent now onthe state's roads, bridges and highways is wasted. The last thingwe can do is trust the politicians in St. Paul to spendthis new money the rightway.* Rather than messing with the State'sConstitution,the State Legislature should increase the stategas tax instead of diverting money from the general fund tofix roads.^ This Constitutional Amendment punishesthestate's middle class who may need to buy more autopartsthan the wealthy who tend to own newer vehicles.Thus,the middle class will be paying the bulkoftransportation funding, while wealthy Minnesotans are free riders.* *AskedofSampleAonly;^AskedofSampleBonly; 1AskedinsideMetroArea. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY2018

  21. The Money Messages • The people get it. They are willing to spend more • 75% plus support a “lockbox” for this money. • The key messages move the needle. With Voters. • Legislators need not fear this vote. • WE NEED YOUR HELP. • Text “Transportation” to 52886 (do this now).

  22. Questions?www.transportationalliance.com

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