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Genetic Algorithms. Evolution. Here’s a very oversimplified description of how evolution works in biology Organisms (animals or plants) produce a number of offspring which are almost, but not entirely, like themselves Variation may be due to mutation (random changes)

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evolution
Evolution
  • Here’s a very oversimplified description of how evolution works in biology
  • Organisms (animals or plants) produce a number of offspring which are almost, but not entirely, like themselves
    • Variation may be due to mutation (random changes)
    • Variation may be due to sexual reproduction (offspring have some characteristics from each parent)
  • Some of these offspring may survive to produce offspring of their own—some won’t
    • The “better adapted” offspring are more likely to survive
    • Over time, later generations become better and better adapted
  • Genetic algorithms use this same process to “evolve” better programs
genotypes and phenotypes
Genotypes and phenotypes
  • Genes are the basic “instructions” for building an organism
  • A chromosome is a sequence of genes
  • Biologists distinguish between an organism’s genotype (the genes and chromosomes) and its phenotype (what the organism actually is like)
    • Example: You might have genes to be tall, but never grow to be tall for other reasons (such as poor diet)
  • Similarly, “genes” may describe a possible solution to a problem, without actually being the solution
the basic genetic algorithm
The basic genetic algorithm
  • Start with a large “population” of randomly generated “attempted solutions” to a problem
  • Repeatedly do the following:
    • Evaluate each of the attempted solutions
    • Keep a subset of these solutions (the “best” ones)
    • Use these solutions to generate a new population
  • Quit when you have a satisfactory solution (or you run out of time)
a really simple example
A really simple example
  • Suppose your “organisms” are 32-bit computer words
  • You want a string in which all the bits are ones
  • Here’s how you can do it:
    • Create 100 randomly generated computer words
    • Repeatedly do the following:
      • Count the 1 bits in each word
      • Exit if any of the words have all 32 bits set to 1
      • Keep the ten words that have the most 1s (discard the rest)
      • From each word, generate 9 new words as follows:
        • Pick a random bit in the word and toggle (change) it
  • Note that this procedure does not guarantee that the next “generation” will have more 1 bits, but it’s likely
a more realistic example part i
A more realistic example, part I
  • Suppose you have a large number of (x, y) data points
    • For example, (1.0, 4.1), (3.1, 9.5), (-5.2, 8.6), ...
  • You would like to fit a polynomial (of up to degree 5) through these data points
    • That is, you want a formula y = ax5 + bx4 + cx3 + dx2 +ex + f that gives you a reasonably good fit to the actual data
    • Here’s the usual way to compute goodness of fit:
      • Compute the sum of (actual y – predicted y)2for all the data points
      • The lowest sum represents the best fit
  • There are some standard curve fitting techniques, but let’s assume you don’t know about them
  • You can use a genetic algorithm to find a “pretty good” solution
a more realistic example part ii
A more realistic example, part II
  • Your formula is y = ax5 + bx4 + cx3 + dx2 +ex + f
  • Your “genes” are a, b, c, d, e, and f
  • Your “chromosome” is the array [a, b, c, d, e, f]
  • Your evaluation function for one array is:
    • For every actual data point(x, y), (I’m using red to mean “actual data”)
      • Compute ý = ax5 + bx4 + cx3 + dx2 +ex + f
      • Find the sum of (y – ý)2over allx
      • The sum is your measure of “badness” (larger numbers are worse)
    • Example: For [0, 0, 0, 2, 3, 5] and the data points(1, 12) and (2, 22):
      • ý = 0x5 + 0x4 + 0x3 + 2x2 +3x + 5 is 2 + 3 + 5 = 10 whenxis1
      • ý = 0x5 + 0x4 + 0x3 + 2x2 +3x + 5 is 8 + 6 + 5 = 19 whenxis2
      • (12 – 10)2 + (22 – 19)2 = 22 + 32 = 13
      • If these are the only two data points, the “badness” of [0, 0, 0, 2, 3, 5] is 13
a more realistic example part iii
A more realistic example, part III
  • Your algorithm might be as follows:
    • Create 100 six-element arrays of random numbers
    • Repeat 500 times (or any other number):
      • For each of the 100 arrays, compute its badness (using all data points)
      • Keep the ten best arrays (discard the other 90)
      • From each array you keep, generate nine new arrays as follows:
        • Pick a random element of the six
        • Pick a random floating-point number between 0.0 and 2.0
        • Multiply the random element of the array by the random floating-point number
    • After all 500 trials, pick the best array as your final answer
asexual vs sexual reproduction
Asexual vs. sexual reproduction
  • In the examples so far,
    • Each “organism” (or “solution”) had only one parent
    • Reproduction was asexual (without sex)
    • The only way to introduce variation was through mutation (random changes)
  • In sexual reproduction,
    • Each “organism” (or “solution”) has two parents
    • Assuming that each organism has just one chromosome, new offspring are produced by forming a new chromosome from parts of the chromosomes of each parent
the really simple example again
The really simple example again
  • Suppose your “organisms” are 32-bit computer words, and you want a string in which all the bits are ones
  • Here’s how you can do it:
    • Create 100 randomly generated computer words
    • Repeatedly do the following:
      • Count the 1 bits in each word
      • Exit if any of the words have all 32 bits set to 1
      • Keep the ten words that have the most 1s (discard the rest)
      • From each word, generate 9 new words as follows:
        • Choose one of the other words
        • Take the first half of this word and combine it with the second half of the other word
the example continued
The example continued
  • Half from one, half from the other:0110 1001 0100 1110 1010 1101 1011 01011101 0100 0101 1010 1011 0100 1010 01010110 1001 0100 11101011 0100 1010 0101
  • Or we might choose “genes” (bits) randomly:0110 1001 0100 1110 1010 1101 1011 01011101 0100 0101 1010 1011 0100 1010 01010100 0101 0100 101010101100 1011 0101
  • Or we might consider a “gene” to be a larger unit:0110 1001 0100 1110 1010 1101 1011 01011101 0100 0101 1010 1011 0100 1010 01011101 1001 0101 101010101101 1010 0101
comparison of simple examples
Comparison of simple examples
  • In the simple example (trying to get all 1s):
    • The sexual (two-parent, no mutation) approach, if it succeeds, is likely to succeed much faster
      • Because up to half of the bits change each time, not just one bit
    • However, with no mutation, it may not succeed at all
      • By pure bad luck, maybe none of the first (randomly generated) words have (say) bit 17 set to 1
        • Then there is no way a 1 could ever occur in this position
      • Another problem is lack of genetic diversity
        • Maybe some of the first generation did have bit 17 set to 1, but none of them were selected for the second generation
  • The best technique in general turns out to be sexual reproduction with a small probability of mutation
curve fitting with sexual reproduction
Curve fitting with sexual reproduction
  • Your formula is y = ax5 + bx4 + cx3 + dx2 +ex + f
  • Your “genes” are a, b, c, d, e, and f
  • Your “chromosome” is the array [a, b, c, d, e, f]
  • What’s the best way to combine two chromosomes into one?
    • You could choose the first half of one and the second half of the other: [a, b, c, d, e, f]
    • You could choose genes randomly: [a, b, c, d, e, f]
    • You could compute “gene averages:”[(a+a)/2, (b+b)/2, (c+c)/2, (d+d)/2, (e+e)/2,(f+f)/2]
      • I suspect this last may be the best, though I don’t know of a good biological analogy for it
directed evolution
Directed evolution
  • Notice that, in the previous examples, we formed the child organisms randomly
    • We did not try to choose the “best” genes from each parent
    • This is how natural (biological) evolution works
      • Biological evolution is not directed—there is no “goal”
    • Genetic algorithms use biology as inspiration, not as a set of rules to be slavishly followed
  • For trying to get a word of all 1s, there is an obvious measure of a “good” gene
    • But that’s mostly because it’s a silly example
    • It’s much harder to detect a “good gene” in the curve-fitting problem, harder still in almost any “real use” of a genetic algorithm
probabilistic matching
Probabilistic matching
  • In previous examples, we chose the N “best” organisms as parents for the next generation
  • A more common approach is to choose parents randomly, based on their measure of goodness
    • Thus, an organism that is twice as “good” as another is likely to have twice as many offspring
  • This has a couple of advantages:
    • The best organisms will contribute the most to the next generation
    • Since every organism has some chance of being a parent, there is somewhat less loss of genetic diversity
genetic programming
Genetic programming
  • A string of bits could represent a program
  • If you want a program to do something, you might try to evolve one
  • As a concrete example, suppose you want a program to help you choose stocks in the stock market
    • There is a huge amount of data, going back many years
    • What data has the most predictive value?
    • What’s the best way to combine this data?
  • A genetic program is possible in theory, but it might take millions of years to evolve into something useful
    • How can we improve this?
shrinking the search space
Shrinking the search space
  • There are just too many possible bit patterns!
    • 99.9999% of these don’t even represent valid programs
  • An incredible improvement would result if we could somehow restrict the search space to only valid (even if nonsensical) programs
    • We can do this!
  • Programs, as you should know by now, can be represented as trees
    • Internal nodes are operators: +, *, if, while, ...
    • Leaves are values: 2.71818, "AAPL", ...
programs as trees
Programs as trees
  • Given a program represented as a tree, we can mutate it by changing one of its operators (or one of its values), or by adding or removing nodes
  • Given two trees, we can form a new tree by taking parts of its two parents
  • The next big problem: How do we evaluate program trees that are (initially) nothing at all like what we want?
  • I realize this is all very vague—I just wanted to give you the general idea
concluding remarks
Concluding remarks
  • Genetic algorithms are—
    • Fun! They are enjoyable to program and to work with
      • This is probably why they are a subject of active research
    • Mind-bogglingly slow—you don’t want to use them if you have any alternatives
    • Good for a very few types of problems
      • Genetic algorithms can sometimes come up with a solution when you can see no other way of tackling the problem