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WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal

NEAREST. WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal. FFCUL Rachid Omira Maria Ana Baptista Miguel Miranda. Berlim 8-9 October 2008. WP7.1 Collation of the new Bathymetric Data (merge data not complete). WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal.

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WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal

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  1. NEAREST WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal FFCUL Rachid Omira Maria Ana Baptista Miguel Miranda Berlim 8-9 October 2008

  2. WP7.1 Collation of the new Bathymetric Data (merge data not complete) WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal WP7.2 Implementation of a Numerical Tsunami Model for SW Portugal WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the “Boca do Rio” area WP7.4 Production of Inundation Maps for Lagos-Sagres WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation

  3. COMCOT code (CornellUniversity) Tsunami SimulationCodeBasedonShallowWaterEquations Leap-frogscheme Nested grid system Moving boundary scheme WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation COMCOT _ LX Adopted from COMCOT(Cornell University, Liu et al., 1994) CGUL changes: COMCOT – Lx Surferformat input / output Output Inundation / Flowdepths

  4. WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation Nested grid system NEAREST AREAS TRANSFER AREAS

  5. WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation Benchmark testing (collab.with TRANFER project) • #1 – RUNUP ONTO A PLANE BEACH

  6. Fault Plane Strike / Dip / Rake: 340 / 45 / 90 Fault centre Lat / Lon: 37.0N / 9.75W (SW Lisbon) L = 210 km, W = 75 km, D = 13.6 m WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the “Boca do Rio” area The model earthquake - Lisbon event

  7. WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the “Boca do Rio” area

  8. WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami along Algarve Does Inundation correlate well to sedimentological evidence?

  9. CASABLANCA TEST SITE

  10. (Johnston,1996) (Zitellini, 2001, 2003) (Gutscher, 2002,2006) (Baptista, 1998) WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca (Omira et al, 2007) to be sub. To Natural Hazards Modelled Run up correlates well slip (Okal & Synolakis, GJInt., 2004 et al)

  11. WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca Vunerability study

  12. Casablanca Harbourareabuilding stock Building Survey by Rachid April 2007

  13. WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment

  14. WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas On going… Modelling tsunami impact in the study Areas using WP1 +TRANSFER & ERSTA Zones

  15. WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas On going… Modelling tsunami impact in the study Areas using WP1 +TRANSFER & ERSTA Zones Miranda JM, Baptista MA, Terrinha P, Matias, L. 31st ESC Crete Sept 2008

  16. Initial displacements using heterogeneous slip (SCC (Geist & Domovska ,1999)) ts INVESTIGATION OF THE EFFECT IN INNUNDATION MAPS ON GOING

  17. CONTRIBUTION TO IOC-NEAMTWS

  18. For each scenario Maximum wave elevation + Energy radiation + Travel time

  19. WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas Red line First arrival to the coast Less 30 minutes Computed maximum wave height , energy direction and tsunami travel time for the tsunami scenarios in the Golf of Cadiz

  20. WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas Warning time 15 min =Arrival Time – Detection time Priority tsunameter location Tsunami travel time + Radiation pattern + bottom topography

  21. WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas NEXT STEPS Tune Model for Flow Depth Velocity Produce FDVelocity maps Ouput of TRANSFER: standards for Inundation maps (next week Messina ) DoW 27 – Month 29

  22. Next steps Improvement of inundation results with new data GEOSUB August 08 survey

  23. publications Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment of Casablanca-Morocco using Numerical Modelling and GIS tools R. Omira,M. A. Baptista,J. M. Miranda,C. Catita, E. Toto Subm to Natural Hazards (may 2008, under revision) REVISION OF THE PORTUGUESE CATALOGUE OF TSUNAMIS M. A. Baptista, J. M. Miranda (subm NHESS, accept with minor revision) REVISION OF THE MOROCCO TSUNAMI CATALOGUE F. Kaabouben, M. A. Baptista, A. Iben Brahim, A. Toto, A. Elmouraouah Ready for submission to NHESS ?

  24. TRANSFER WP1 DATABASE WP1.1 - INGV - Database for paleotsunamis Euro-Mediterranean area (boulders or sediments) TRANSFER web site The DB can be visited and updated through the web interface (http://paleotsunami.rm.ingv.it/) and data can be downloaded in a format ready to be included in the TRANSFER GIS DB.

  25. WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal

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