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NEAREST. WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal. FFCUL Rachid Omira Maria Ana Baptista Miguel Miranda. Berlim 8-9 October 2008. WP7.1 Collation of the new Bathymetric Data (merge data not complete). WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal.

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Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

NEAREST

WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal

FFCUL

Rachid Omira

Maria Ana Baptista

Miguel Miranda

Berlim 8-9 October 2008


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

WP7.1 Collation of the new Bathymetric Data (merge data not complete)

WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal

WP7.2 Implementation of a Numerical Tsunami Model

for SW Portugal

WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the “Boca do Rio” area

WP7.4 Production of Inundation Maps for Lagos-Sagres

WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

COMCOT complete)code (CornellUniversity)

Tsunami SimulationCodeBasedonShallowWaterEquations

Leap-frogscheme

Nested grid system

Moving boundary scheme

WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation

COMCOT _ LX

Adopted from COMCOT(Cornell University, Liu et al., 1994)

CGUL changes: COMCOT – Lx

Surferformat input / output

Output Inundation / Flowdepths


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation complete)

Nested grid system

NEAREST AREAS

TRANSFER AREAS


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation complete)

Benchmark testing (collab.with TRANFER project)

  • #1 – RUNUP ONTO A PLANE BEACH


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

Fault Plane Strike / Dip / Rake: 340 / 45 / 90 complete)

Fault centre Lat / Lon: 37.0N / 9.75W (SW Lisbon)

L = 210 km, W = 75 km, D = 13.6 m

WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the “Boca do Rio” area

The model earthquake - Lisbon event



Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami along Algarve Rio” area

Does Inundation correlate well to sedimentological evidence?



Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in casablanca

(Johnston,1996) Rio” area

(Zitellini, 2001, 2003)

(Gutscher, 2002,2006)

(Baptista, 1998)

WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca

(Omira et al, 2007) to be sub. To Natural Hazards

Modelled Run up correlates well slip (Okal & Synolakis, GJInt., 2004 et al)


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in casablanca1
WP7 Rio” areaModelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca

Vunerability study


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

Building Survey by Rachid April 2007


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in casablanca2
WP7 Rio” areaModelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca

Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

WP7 Rio” areaModelling of tsunami impact in test areas

On going…

Modelling tsunami impact in the study Areas using WP1 +TRANSFER & ERSTA Zones


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

WP7 Rio” areaModelling of tsunami impact in test areas

On going…

Modelling tsunami impact in the study Areas using WP1 +TRANSFER & ERSTA Zones

Miranda JM, Baptista MA, Terrinha P, Matias, L. 31st ESC Crete Sept 2008


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

Initial displacements using heterogeneous slip (SCC (Geist & Domovska ,1999))

ts

INVESTIGATION OF THE EFFECT IN INNUNDATION MAPS

ON GOING


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

CONTRIBUTION TO IOC-NEAMTWS & Domovska ,1999))


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

For each scenario & Domovska ,1999))

Maximum wave elevation

+

Energy radiation

+

Travel time


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

WP7 & Domovska ,1999))Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas

Red line

First arrival to the coast

Less 30 minutes

Computed maximum wave height , energy direction and tsunami travel time for the tsunami scenarios in the Golf of Cadiz


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

WP7 & Domovska ,1999))Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas

Warning time 15 min =Arrival Time – Detection time

Priority tsunameter location

Tsunami travel time

+

Radiation pattern

+

bottom topography


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

WP7 & Domovska ,1999))Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas

NEXT STEPS

Tune Model for Flow Depth Velocity

Produce FDVelocity maps

Ouput of TRANSFER: standards for

Inundation maps (next week Messina )

DoW 27 – Month 29


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

Next steps & Domovska ,1999))

Improvement of inundation results with new data

GEOSUB

August 08 survey


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

publications & Domovska ,1999))

Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment of Casablanca-Morocco using Numerical Modelling and GIS tools

R. Omira,M. A. Baptista,J. M. Miranda,C. Catita, E. Toto

Subm to Natural Hazards (may 2008, under revision)

REVISION OF THE PORTUGUESE CATALOGUE OF TSUNAMIS

M. A. Baptista, J. M. Miranda (subm NHESS, accept with minor revision)

REVISION OF THE MOROCCO TSUNAMI CATALOGUE

F. Kaabouben, M. A. Baptista, A. Iben Brahim, A. Toto, A. Elmouraouah

Ready for submission to NHESS ?


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

TRANSFER WP1 DATABASE & Domovska ,1999))

WP1.1 - INGV - Database

for paleotsunamis Euro-Mediterranean area (boulders or sediments)

TRANSFER web site

The DB can be visited and updated through the web interface (http://paleotsunami.rm.ingv.it/) and data can be downloaded in a format ready to be included in the TRANSFER GIS DB.


Wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

WP7 & Domovska ,1999))Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal