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Economic Indicators. Ways that Economists Measure the Health of the Economy. Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The dollar value of all final goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a given year . About $15 trillion per year in the United States. Nominal GDP.

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Economic Indicators


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economic indicators

Economic Indicators

Ways that Economists

Measure the Health of the Economy

gross domestic product gdp
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

The dollar value of all final goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a given year.

About $15 trillion per year in the United States

nominal gdp
Nominal GDP

The dollar value of all final goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a given year, but NOT adjusted for inflation

Assumes $1 in 1900 is same as $1 in 2000

real gdp
Real GDP

GDP adjusted for inflation (value of dollar is adjusted to reflect how purchasing power of the dollar has changed over time).

More useful than nominal GDP (because you can compare different time periods)

situation
SITUATION

You want to find out what the GDP was during the Great Depression.

You find a scanned image of the business section of a 1935 newspaper.

It reports the GDP is (was) $352 billion in 1934.

Is this number Real GDP or Nominal GDP?

real gdp1
Real GDP

1933 $600 Billion

1945 $1.6 Trillion

1990 $5.74 Trillion

1997 $ 8.1 Trillion

2007 $13.3 Trillion

2012 $13.7 Trillion

gdp growth rate
GDP Growth Rate

Probably the most important statistic derived from GDP, shows how much more or less a country is producing than in previous years or quarters.

The most commonly used measure of how the economy is doing.

Shows what part of the business cycle we are in.

gdp per capita
GDP per Capita

Divides GDP by number of people in the country.

Measures the average amount each person PRODUCES in a year.

Roughly shows how productive a nation is.

Good for comparing economies of different countries.

unemployment rate
Unemployment Rate

NORMAL RATE:

4-6%

Considered “healthy”

CURRENT RATE:

6.7%

The percentage of the nation’s labor force that is actively looking for work.

Computed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics polls a sample of about 50,000 families. (Which branch?)

Who isn’t counted? A: People who aren’t actively looking for work.

Examples of those NOT counted: college students; people who have given up and aren’t looking

unemployment rate1
Unemployment Rate

1934 25% September 2008 6.1%

May 2009 9.5% March 2013 7.8%

consumer confidence index cci
Consumer Confidence INDEX (CCI)

A measure of consumer attitude toward current economic conditions.

Adjusted monthly on the basis of a survey of about 5,000 households.

The index considers consumer opinion on both current conditions (40% of the index) and future expectations (the other 60%).

Normal consumer confidence: Based on a 100 score (based on 1985 data when the business cycle was not in a peak or a trough)

slide12

Last year’s CCI =

71.8

Current CCI =

82.3

consumer price i ndex cpi
Consumer Price Index (CPI)

A measure of inflation

Determined by measuring the price of a standard group of goods meant to represent the typical “market basket” of a typical urban consumer.

Expressed in percentage (what % MORE consumers are paying relative to the last measure)

Computed each month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Which branch?

slide15

Consumer Price Index (Inflation)

CURRENT CPI =

2.0% higher than last year

slide16

The number of goods and services that can be purchased with a unit of currency.

Purchasing Power

As prices go up (or wages go down), your purchasing power goes down

d iscount r ate
Discount Rate

Rate of interest that the Federal Reserve charges to loan money to other banks

Federal Reserve (the “Fed”) = the government bank that controls the supply of money

Affects how cheap or expensive it is to borrow money

Excessively high OR excessively low is BAD

actions the fed can take
Actions the Fed Can Take

The Fed can’t decide whether the government spends money. That’s the job of Congress, but…

The more money in circulation, the less the money is worth so prices seem higher (inflation). The FED can decrease the money supply to prevent inflation

The lower the interest rates, the more people will borrow. The FED can lower the discount rate to try to stimulate the economy.

slide19

Discount Rate

(Affects All Interest Rates)

poverty rate
Poverty Rate

The percentage of people in America who live in households with income below the official poverty line (insufficient income to support a family)

the poverty threshold
The “Poverty Threshold”

Persons in Family Maximum total family income

1 $10,400

2 $14,000

3 $17,600

4 $21,200

5 $24,800

6 $28,400

For each additional person, add $3,600

SOURCE:  Federal Register, Vol. 73, No. 15, January 23, 2008, pp. 3971–3972.

new housing starts
New Housing Starts

The number of new homes being built at any given time

dow jones i ndustrial average dow
Dow Jones Industrial Average(DOW)

Ameasurement of how well the stock of 30 large US companies representing various industries is doing.

income inequality
Income Inequality

The gap between the rich and poor