slide1 n.
Download
Skip this Video
Loading SlideShow in 5 Seconds..
The Non-Future of Oil Change is the norm... Climates change Sea level rises and falls Ecosystems change Human culture ch PowerPoint Presentation
Download Presentation
The Non-Future of Oil Change is the norm... Climates change Sea level rises and falls Ecosystems change Human culture ch

Loading in 2 Seconds...

play fullscreen
1 / 13

The Non-Future of Oil Change is the norm... Climates change Sea level rises and falls Ecosystems change Human culture ch - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 150 Views
  • Uploaded on

The Non-Future of Oil Change is the norm... Climates change Sea level rises and falls Ecosystems change Human culture changes…. A huge change is coming…in your lifetime… The end of oil. Doug Smith 2003. The Non-Future of Oil.

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

The Non-Future of Oil Change is the norm... Climates change Sea level rises and falls Ecosystems change Human culture ch


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
slide1

The Non-Future of Oil

Change is the norm...

Climates change

Sea level rises and falls

Ecosystems change

Human culture changes….

A huge change is coming…in your lifetime…

The end of oil

Doug Smith 2003

slide2

The Non-Future of Oil

The following few slides are calculations of how much longer Earth will have oil to “burn.”

(or to turn into useful things like plastic)

The data are recent numbers from the DOE and DOI web resources.

slide3

How fast are we using oil?

Global consumption = 77million barrels/day

U.S. consumption = 19.65million barrels/day

So….U.S. accounts for 25% of the global usage

Department of Energy

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/iea/table12.html

slide4

What about ANWR?(Alaska National Wildlife Refuge)

ANWR has about 10.4 BBL at last estimate

10.4 BBL / 19.65 million barrels/day= 529 days or 1.45 years

(and about 8 years lagtime between drilling to “burning”)

Department of Interior

http://www.doi.gov/news/030312.htm

slide5

22

Millions of Barrels/Day

20

18

16

U.S. Oil Consumption

14

12

10

8

6

4

1973

2003

Data from… http://www.economagic.com

slide6

Millions of Barrels/Day

22

20

U.S. Oil Consumption

18

16

14

U.S. Oil Production

12

10

8

6

4

1973

2003

Data from… http://www.economagic.com

slide7

Millions of Barrels/Day

22

20

U.S. Oil Consumption

18

16

14

U.S. Oil Production

12

10

8

6

4

1973

2003

Red bar = 1.5 yr…

How long ANWR would last if used

at our current rate

Data from… http://www.economagic.com

slide8

Imports = 10 million barrels/day

100% * 10 million/19.65 million = 51%

Feeling secure yet?

But we are self dependent,

Right?

US Imports

1973

2003

slide9

What about “strategic reserves?”

We are pumping reserve oil into cavernous salt domes for later withdrawal during oil “droughts.”

We have 600 million barrels now

600 million barrels / 19.65 million barrels/day= 31 days

Feeling secure yet?

Department of Energy

http://www.fe.doe.gov/spr/exchange/index.shtml

slide10

How much oil is left on Earth?

Global reserves = 1200 billion barrels (BBL)

1200 BBL / 77 million barrels/day= 15558 days of oil left

OR

15558 days / 365 days/yr = 43 yrs left

Assuming no change in rate of use…

Department of Energy

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/international/reserves.html

slide11

Will rate of oil use remain constant with exponential population growth?

Maybe there are fewer than 43 years of oil left.

slide12

Summary

U.S. uses 25% of oil in world today.

There are 43 years worth left on your planet.

We import over 50%, and the trend is rising.

Bush admin. seeks to drill ANWR for 1.5 years worth of oil.

We have 31 days of oil tucked away for good measure.

U.S. desperately needs a sane energy strategy for national and global security

slide13

What will change without oil?

(assuming no alternative fuels emerge)

Cheap Air travel?

Individual automobiles?

Plastics?

Global food distribution?

Unemployment in a huge industrial sector?

Oil-burning thermoelectric plants?

Air quality improvement?