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Neutrino Masses from LSS Neutrino Masses from the CMB (III) The Dark Energy Survey. Ofer Lahav University College London. Concordance Cosmology. SN Ia CMB LSS – Baryonic Oscillations Cluster counts Weak Lensing Integrated Sachs Wolfe Physical effects: * Geometry

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Ofer lahav university college london

Neutrino Masses from LSS

Neutrino Masses from the CMB

(III) The Dark Energy Survey

Ofer Lahav

University College London


Concordance cosmology
Concordance Cosmology

  • SN Ia

  • CMB

  • LSS – Baryonic Oscillations

  • Cluster counts

  • Weak Lensing

  • Integrated Sachs Wolfe

    Physical effects:

    * Geometry

    * Growth of Structure


Massive neutrinos and cosmology
Massive Neutrinos and Cosmology

* Why bother? – absolute mass, effect on other parameters

* Brief history of ‘Hot Dark Matter’

* Limits on the total Neutrino mass from cosmology within CDM

M < 1 eV

* Mixed Dark Matter?

* Non-linear power spectrum and biasing – halo model

* Combined cosmological observations and laboratory experiments


Brief history of hot dark matter
Brief History of ‘Hot Dark Matter’

  • *1970s : Top-down scenario with massive neutrinos (HDM) –

  • Zeldovich Pancakes

  • *1980s: HDM - Problems with structure formation

  • *1990s: Mixed CDM (80%) + HDM (20% )

  • * 2000s: Baryons (4%) + CDM (26%) +Lambda (70%):

  • But now we know HDM exists!

  • How much?


Globalisation and the new cosmology
Globalisation and the New Cosmology

  • How is the New Cosmology affected by Globalisation?

  • Recall the Cold War era:

    Hot Dark Matter/top-down (East)

    vs. Cold Dark Matter/bottom-up (West)

  • Is the agreement on the `concordance model’ a product of Globalisation?

OL, astro-ph/0610713


From great walls to neutrino masses
From Great Walls to Neutrino Masses


Ofer lahav university college london

Neutrinos decoupled when they were still relativistic, hence they wiped out structure on small scales

k > knr = 0.026 (m /1 eV)1/2m1/2 h/Mpc

Colombi, Dodelson, & Widrow 1995

CDM

CDM+HDM

WDM

Massive neutrinos mimic

a smaller source term


Neutrino properties
Neutrino properties hence they wiped out structure on small scales

Thenumber of neutrino species Nn affects

the expansion rate of the universe, hence BBN.

BBN constraints Nn between 1.7 and 3 (95% CL)

(e.g. Barger et al. 2003).

From CMB+LSS+SN Ia, N =4.2+1.2-1.7(95% CL)

(Hannestad 2005)

We shall assume Nn =3

Electron, muon and tau neutrinos

Eigen states m1, m2, m3

112 neutrinos per cm3

Wnh2 = Mn/(94 eV)


Neutrino mass hierarchy
Neutrino Mass Hierarchy hence they wiped out structure on small scales


Absolute masses of neutrinos
Absolute Masses of Neutrinos hence they wiped out structure on small scales

Based on

measured

squared mass

differences

from solar and

atmospheric

oscillations

Assuming

m1 <m2 <m3

E & L, NJP 05




Ofer lahav university college london

D EnergyP(k)/P(k) = -8 Wn /Wm

Not valid on useful scales!

Kiakotou, Elgaroy, OL 2007, astro-ph 0709.0253


Weighing neutrinos with 2dfgrs
Weighing Neutrinos with 2dFGRS Energy

  • Free streaming effect:

  • Wn/Wm< 0.13

    Total n mass M< 1.8 eV

  • 0.001 < Wn < 0.04

    (Oscillations) (2dF)

  • a Four-Component Universe ?

Wn= 0.05

0.01

0.00

Elgaroy , Lahav & 2dFGRS team,

astro-ph/0204152 , PRL


What do we mean by systematic uncertainties
What do we mean by Energy‘systematic uncertainties’?

  • Cosmological (parameters and priors)

  • Astrophysical (e.g. Galaxy biasing)

  • Instrumental (e.g. ‘seeing’)


Degeneracy of neutrino mass
Degeneracy of neutrino mass Energy

n= 0.9

n=1.0

Prior 0< Wm<0.5

n= 1.1


Biasing vs neutrino mass
Biasing vs. neutrino mass Energy

Pg(k) = b2(k) Pm(k)

b(k) = a log(k) + c

a

---- SAM for

L>0.75 L*

Total neutrino mass

Elgaroy & Lahav , JCAP, astro-ph/030389


Weak lensing is promising
Weak Lensing is promising Energy

M

Abazajian & Dodelson (2003)

also Hannestad et al. 2006


Non linear p k with massive neutrinos
Non-linear P(k) with massive neutrinos Energy

Abazajian et al. (astro-ph/0411552)

modeled the effects of neutrino infall

into CDM halos

and incorporated it in the halo model.

The effect is small: P(k)/P(k) » 1%

at k » 0.5 h/Mpc for M» 1 eV

Future work : high-resolution simulations

with CDM, baryons and neutrinos


Cmb with massive
CMB with massive Energy

M =0.3, 0.9, 1.5, 6.0 eV

Fixed cdm = 0.26

E&L 2004


Neutrinos masses and the cmb
Neutrinos masses and the CMB Energy

If znr > zrec

 h2 > 0.017 (i.e. M > 1.6 eV)

Then neutrinos behave like matter -

this defines a critical value in CMB features

* Ichikawa et al. (2004 )

from WMAP1 alone  M < 2.0 eV

* Fukugita et al. (2006)

from WMAP3 alone  M < 2.0 eV


Normalization vs neutrino mass using wmap alone concordance model
Normalization vs neutrino mass Energy using WMAP alone + concordance model


Is cmb polarisation useful for neutrino mass
Is CMB polarisation useful Energyfor neutrino mass?

Fukugita, Ichikawa,

Kawasaki, OL, astro-ph/0605362

Not directly,

but reduces degeneracy with

the reionization optical depth



Deriving neutrino mass from cosmology
Deriving Neutrino mass from Cosmology Energy

All upper limits 95% CL, but different assumed priors !


Forecasting neutrino mass from cosmology
Forecasting Neutrino mass from Cosmology Energy

Note different error definitions and assumed priors !


Combined cosmology terrestrial experiments
Combined Cosmology Energy& Terrestrial Experiments

Fogli et al.

Hep-ph/0408045


Ofer lahav university college london

Combining KATRIN+CMB Energy (Host, OL, Abdalla & Eitel 2007) =>> Ole’s talk


Neutrinos summary
Neutrinos - Summary Energy

* Redshift surveys (+ CMB) Mn < 0.7-1.8 eV

Ly- (+ CMB+LSS) Mn < 0.17 eV

* Within the L-CDM scenarios, subject to

priors.

* Alternatives: MDM ruled out.

* Future: errors down to 0.05 eV

using SDSS+Planck,

and weak gravitational lensing of background galaxies and of the CMB.

Resolve the neutrino absolute mass!



Imaging surveys

Survey Energy

Filters

Depth

Dates

Status

Sq. Degrees

CTIO

75

1

shallow

published

VIRMOS

9

1

moderate

published

COSMOS

2 (space)

1

moderate

complete

36

4

deep

complete

DLS (NOAO)

Subaru

30?

1?

deep

observing

2005?

170

5

moderate

observing

CFH Legacy

2004-2008

830

3

shallow

approved

RCS2 (CFH)

2005-2007

VST/KIDS/

VISTA/VIKING

1700

4+5

moderate

2007-2010?

50%approved

5000

4

moderate

proposed

DES (NOAO)

2008-2012?

Pan-STARRS

~10,000?

5?

moderate

~funded

2006-2012?

LSST

15,000?

5?

deep

proposed

2014-2024?

1000+ (space)

9

deep

proposed

JDEM/SNAP

2013-2018?

Imaging Surveys

proposed

moderate

5000?

4+5

2010-2015?

VST/VISTA

proposed

moderate

2+1?

DUNE

20000? (space)

2012-2018?

Y.

Y. Mellier


Dune dark universe explorer
DUNE: Dark UNiverse Explorer Energy

  • Mission baseline:

  • 1.2m telescope

  • FOV 0.5 deg2

  • PSF FWHM 0.23’’

  • Pixels 0.11’’

  • GEO (or HEO) orbit

  • Surveys (3-year initial programme):

  • WL survey: 20,000 deg2 in 1 red broad band, 35 galaxies/amin2 with median z ~ 1, ground based complement for photo-z’s

  • Near-IR survey (J,H). Deeper than possible from ground. Secures z > 1 photo-z’s

  • SNe survey: 2x60 deg2, observed for 9 months each every 4 days in 6 bands, 10000 SNe out to z ~ 1.5, ground based spectroscopy


Photometric redshift
Photometric redshift Energy

  • Probe strong spectral features (4000 break)

  • Difference in flux through filters as the galaxy is redshifted.


Training on 13 000 2slaq generating with annz photo z for 1 000 000 lrgs megaz lrg
*Training on ~13,000 2SLAQ Energy*Generating with ANNz Photo-z for ~1,000,000 LRGsMegaZ-LRG

z = 0.046

Collister, Lahav,

Blake et al.,

astro-ph/0607630


Ofer lahav university college london

Baryon oscillations Energy

Blake, Collister, Bridle & Lahav; astro-ph/0605303


The dark energy survey
The Dark Energy Survey Energy

Blanco 4-meter at CTIO

  • Study Dark Energy using

    4 complementary techniques:

    I. Cluster Counts

    II. Weak Lensing

    III. Baryon Acoustic Oscillations

    IV. Supernovae

    • Two multi-band surveys

    5000 deg2g, r, i, z

    40 deg2 repeat (SNe)

    • Build new 3 deg2 camera

    and data management system

    Survey 2010-2015 (525 nights)

    Response to NOAO AO

300,000,000 photometric redshifts


The des collaboration
The DES Collaboration Energy

Fermilab: J. Annis, H. T. Diehl, S. Dodelson, J. Estrada, B. Flaugher, J. Frieman, S. Kent, H. Lin, P. Limon, K. W. Merritt, J. Peoples, V. Scarpine, A. Stebbins,

C. Stoughton, D. Tucker, W. Wester

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign: C. Beldica, R. Brunner, I. Karliner, J. Mohr, R. Plante, P. Ricker, M. Selen, J. Thaler

University of Chicago:J. Carlstrom, S. Dodelson, J. Frieman, M. Gladders,

W. Hu, S. Kent, R. Kessler, E. Sheldon, R. Wechsler

Lawrence Berkeley National Lab: N. Roe, C. Bebek, M. Levi, S. Perlmutter

University of Michigan: R. Bernstein, B. Bigelow, M. Campbell, D. Gerdes, A. Evrard, W. Lorenzon, T. McKay, M. Schubnell, G. Tarle, M. Tecchio

NOAO/CTIO: T. Abbott, C. Miller, C. Smith, N. Suntzeff, A. Walker

CSIC/Institut d'Estudis Espacials de Catalunya (Barcelona):F. Castander, P. Fosalba, E. Gaztañaga, J. Miralda-Escude

Institut de Fisica d'Altes Energies (Barcelona):E. Fernández, M. Martínez

CIEMAT (Madrid): C. Mana, M. Molla, E. Sanchez, J. Garcia-Bellido

University College London: O. Lahav, D. Brooks, P. Doel, M. Barlow, S. Bridle, S. Viti, J. Weller

University of Cambridge:G. Efstathiou, R. McMahon, W. Sutherland

University of Edinburgh:J. Peacock

University of Portsmouth: R. Crittenden, R. Nichol, R. Maartnes, W. Percival

University of Sussex: A. Liddle, K. Romer

plus postdocs and students


Ofer lahav university college london

The Dark Energy Survey UK Consortium Energy

(I) PPARC funding:

O. Lahav (PI), P. Doel, M. Barlow, S. Bridle, S. Viti, J. Weller (UCL),

R. Nichol (Portsmouth), G. Efstathiou, R. McMahon, W. Sutherland (Cambridge)

J. Peacock (Edinburgh)

Submitted a proposal to PPARC requesting £ 1.7M for the DES optical design.

In March 2006, PPARC Council announced that

it “will seek participation in DES”.

PPARC already approved £220K for current R&D.

(II) SRIF3 funding:

R. Nichol, R. Crittenden, R. Maartens, W. Percival (ICG Portsmouth)

K. Romer, A. Liddle (Sussex)

Funding the optical glass blanks for the UCL DES optical work

These scientists will work together through the UK DES Consortium.

Other DES proposals are under consideration by

US and Spanish funding agencies.


Des forecasts power of multiple techniques

DES Forecasts: Power of Multiple Techniques Energy

w(z) =w0+wa(1–a) 68% CL

Assumptions:

Clusters:

8=0.75, zmax=1.5,

WL mass calibration

BAO:lmax=300

WL:lmax=1000

(no bispectrum)

Statistical+photo-z

systematic errors only

Spatial curvature, galaxy bias

marginalized,

Planck CMB prior

Factor 4.6 improvement over Stage II

DETF Figure of

Merit: inverse

area of ellipse


Des z 0 8 photo z shell
DES z=0.8 photo-z shell Energy

Mn 

0.0 eV

0.4

0.9

1.7

Back of the envelope: improved by sqrt (volume) => Sub-eV from DES

(OL, Abdalla, Black; in prep)


Ofer lahav university college london

DES and a Dark Energy Programme Energy

  • * 4-5 complementary probes

  • * Survey strategy delivers substantial DE science after 2 years

  • * Relatively modest (~ $20-30M), low-risk, near-term project with high discovery potential

  • *Synergy with SPT and VISTA on the DETF Stage III timescale

  • * Scientific and technical precursor to the more ambitious Stage IV Dark Energy projects to follow: LSST and JDEM


Some outstanding questions
Some Outstanding Questions Energy:

* Vacuum energy

(cosmological constant, w= -1.000 after all ?)

* Dynamical scalar field ?

* Modified gravity ?

* Why /m = 3 ?

* Non-zero Neutrino mass < 1eV ?

* The exact value of the spectral index: n < 1 ?

* Excess power on large scales ?

* Is the curvature zero exactly ?