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Predictions of Novice Drivers in Austria and Vienna (2014-2020) Using ARIMA Models

This study presents an analysis of novice drivers in Austria and Vienna, with data spanning from 2005 to 2020. Using ARIMA models, we predict the number of novice drivers based on age demographics. The research highlights the percentage of novice drivers as a part of the overall population in both regions and compares past statistics with predicted values for the years 2014 to 2020. The R-squared values for the models range from 0.804 to 0.993 for Austria and 0.336 to 0.964 for Vienna, indicating strong predictive capabilities.

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Predictions of Novice Drivers in Austria and Vienna (2014-2020) Using ARIMA Models

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  1. Numbers of novicedrivers (B) in Austria and Vienna Predictions from 2014 until 2020 Michael 3rdHasse´s Arena 14th May 2014, Helsinki, Finland

  2. Austrian data

  3. Novice drivers Austria Percentage of population: novice drivers (B) in Austria for different ages; and predicted values* from 2014-2020 ARIMA models (1,0,1); R² from .804 to .993

  4. Novice drivers Austria Absolute numbers of novice drivers (B) in Austria for different ages and age groups; 2005-2013

  5. Vienna data

  6. Novice drivers Vienna Percentage of population: novice drivers (B) in Vienna, Austria for different ages; and predicted values* from 2014-2020 ARIMA models (1,0,1); R² from .336 to .964

  7. Novice drivers Vienna Absolute numbers of novice drivers (B) in Vienna, Austria for different ages and age groups; 2005-2013

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