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Educational Attainment Executive Council Charge

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Educational Attainment Executive Council Charge

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  1. The Applied Baccalaureate& Wyoming’s Attainment GoalsWyoming Association of Community College Trustees Conference: ABCs of the Applied BaccalaureateWednesday, September 25, 2019 | Powell, WyomingDr. Stefani Hicswa, Northwest CollegeChristina Sedney, Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education

  2. Slides, Data, & Analysis provided by the National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (NCHEMS)

  3. Educational Attainment Executive Council Charge • Develop the 5- and 10-year Education Master Plans (EMPs) to achieve the educational attainment goals outlined in the Executive Orders and continued in SEA 61. • 67% of 25-64 year-olds will have a postsecondary credential by 2025 • 82% of 25-64 year-olds will have a postsecondary credential by 2040 • The goals outlined in the initial Executive Orders specifically address achievement gaps focusing on underserved populations, including first generation, low-income, minority, and adult students.

  4. Goal 1: College-Going Culture Targets • 67% of 25-64 year-olds will have a postsecondary credential by 2025 • 72% by 2030 • 82% by 2040 Goal 1a: • Of the 67% - 30% BA or higher, 37% Sub BA • Of the 72% - 33% BA or higher, 39% Sub BA • Of the 82% - 40% BA or higher, 42% Sub BA Goal 1b: • Special populations of adults, women, minorities, first generation and low-income will complete • At rates within 5% of peer group by 2025 • At the same rates as peer groups by 2040 Objective 1: High School Graduation Rate • 2016 79% • 2025 85% • 2030 92% Objective 2: College Matriculation Rate (direct from high school) • 2016 56% • 2025 60% • 2030 62% Objective 3: Adult Participation Rate • 2016 5.9% • 2025 7.5% • 2030 8.0%

  5. Goal 2: Improve Recruitment, Retention, and Completion Objective 1: Wyoming public institutions will enroll • 10% more out-of-state students by 2025 • 20% more out-of-state students by 2030 • 30% more out-of-state students by 2040 Objective 2: Wyoming will be a net importer of 25-44 with credentials by 2025 Objective 3: Credential completion • 6-year Graduation Rate – UW • 2017 58.2% • 2025 63% • 2030 66% • 3-year Graduation Rate – CCs • 2017 38.1% • 2025 45% • 2030 50% Objective 4: Time to completion • 67% of University of Wyoming graduates will be completed within 4 years Objective 5: Workplace learning opportunities for incumbent workers for 70% of high priority programs

  6. Goal 3: Workforce, Workplace & Postsecondary Program Alignment Objective 1: Wyoming’s Public Institutions will produce graduates with the necessary credentials to meet high demand/high priority workforce needs of the state’s employers • Gap between supply & demand reduced by • 50% by 2025 • 90% by 2040 Objective 2: Increase workers with a postsecondary credential will increase by • 10,000 by 2025 • 18,000 by 2030 • 30,000 by 2040 Objective 3: Increase research expenditures in priority fields • 10% by 2025 • 18% by 2030 • 30% by 2040

  7. Goal 4: Wyoming Higher Ed will be affordable to both students and taxpayers. • Objective 1 • Students at community colleges should complete without incurring debt • By 2025 – no more than $2,000/yr • By 2030 – no more than $1,200/yr • By 2040 – $0/yr • Students at UW should complete with cumulative debt of no more than $10,000 • By 2025 – no more than $4,000/yr • By 2030 – no more than $3,500/yr • By 2040 – no more than $2,500/yr • Objective 2 • Public institutions will reduce expenditures/degree by • 10% by 2025 • 15% BY 2030 • 25% by 2040

  8. Wyoming Regions

  9. Comparing the United States with Nations and Individual States in the Percentage of Young Adult Degree Attainment (Ages 25-34) Source: 2018 OECD Education at a Glance (for year 2017).*most recent data for Chile from 2015; 2017American Community Survey

  10. Percent of Residents Ages 25-64 With a High-Quality Certificate or Higher Certificate-holder data is the best available estimate based on Georgetown CEW updated calculations using SIPP 2008 Wave 12 data (2012) and IPEDS (2014). Found in Stronger Nation 2016 report; Data for percent of residents with an associates and higher from U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey; Table B15001

  11. Percent of Adults With a Bachelor’s or Higher Data for percent of residents with a bachelors and higher from U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey

  12. Adults Aged 25-64 with an Associates Degree or Higher Northwest38.6% Northeast35.2% West46.3% Central35.2% East34.6% Southwest 32.4% Southeast47.6% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013-17 American Community Survey Five-Year Estimates; Table B15001.

  13. Percent of Adults Aged 25-64 with an Associates or Higher by County, 2013-17 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013-17 American Community Survey Five-Year Estimates; Table B15001.

  14. Percent of Adults Aged 25-64 with a Bachelors or Higher by County, 2013-17 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013-17 American Community Survey Five-Year Estimates; Table B15001.

  15. Educational Attainment of Associate's Degree and Higher, Wyoming Regions Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-09 American Community Survey Five-Year Estimates; Table B15001; Wyoming Department of Administration and Information, Economic Analysis Division (http://eadiv.state.wy.us), Internet Release: August, 2019 Contact: 307-777-7504 or wenlin.liu@wyo.gov; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, CC-EST2018-ALLDATA-[ST-FIPS]: Annual County Resident Population Estimates by Age accessed 7/1/2018

  16. Attainment by Region to Meet State Goals Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-09 American Community Survey Five-Year Estimates; Table B15001; Wyoming Department of Administration and Information, Economic Analysis Division (http://eadiv.state.wy.us), Internet Release: August, 2019 Contact: 307-777-7504 or wenlin.liu@wyo.gov; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, CC-EST2018-ALLDATA-[ST-FIPS]: Annual County Resident Population Estimates by Age accessed 7/1/2018

  17. Projected Wyoming Change in Population by County, 2016-2040 18,524 -265 Source: http://eadiv.state.wy.us/pop/

  18. Wyoming Change in Population by Age Group, 2016-2040 Source: http://eadiv.state.wy.us/pop/

  19. Student Pipeline, 2016For every 100 9th graders, how many graduate from high school? Sources: U.S. Department of Education, Office of Elementary and Secondary Education, Consolidated State Performance Report, 2014–15. See Digest of Education Statistics 2016, table 219.46; WICHE, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016 (Extraction 12-28-16); NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residence & Migration Enrollment File; ef2016_c Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Retention Rate File; ef2016_d Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Graduation Rate File; gr2016 Provisional Release Data File.

  20. Percent of High School Graduates Directly Out of High School Going Directly to College, 2016 Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residency and Migration File; ef2016c Provisional Release Data File. Note: Actual high school graduate numbers for 2016 not available from NCES Common Core of Data. WICHE High School Graduate Projections for 2016 substituted.

  21. Enrollment of First Time Freshmen, Directly Out of High School, by Region 2017-18

  22. Total Enrollment by Region, 2017-18

  23. High School Graduation, College Participation & Completion (2016) Wyoming US Average Median Top 5 States Sources: Undergraduate Awards NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File. College Going Rates: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residency and Migration File; ef2016c Provisional Release Data File. High School Graduation Rate: NCES Table 219.46. Public high school 4-year adjusted cohort graduation rate (ACGR), by selected student characteristics and state: 2010-11 through 2014-15 Enrollment of Adults: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2015 Enrollment File; ef2015b Provisional Release Data File. U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

  24. Average Annual Employment by Industry, 2012-16 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample. Note: Figures aggregated for employed persons age 25-64 with positive wage earnings.

  25. Job Openings By Occupation and Education Level (In Thousands) Wyoming, 2020 Source: Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce, Recovery: Projections of jobs and education requirements through 2020; 2013. Note: The Georgetown Center describes “Some College, No Degree” as an amorphous category in which some people with high school diplomas self-report their highest level of education in the some college category. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics defines “Some College, No Degree” as the “achievement of a high school diploma or equivalent plus the completion of one or more postsecondary courses that did not result in a degree or award.” It is generally accepted that this category includes completion of 1 and 2 year certificates.

  26. Final Reflections: The BAS, Attainment, and You • How does the BAS align with your institution’s mission? • With your community’s current workforce needs? • With the type of workforce your community wants to build? • With your institution’s recruitment goals? • With your institution’s retention and completion goals? • How does the BAS align with Wyoming’s goals? • With the state’s current workforce needs? • With the type of workforce the state wants to build? • With the state’s recruitment goals? • With the state’s retention and completion goals?

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