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ITU Informal Forum Summit

ITU Informal Forum Summit. Dr. Bernd Eylert UMTS Forum Chairman Geneva, 3. - 4. December 2001. What is the UMTS Forum?. A global organisation with over 260 members from more than 40 countries world-wide: Mobile, fixed and satellite operators, suppliers, consultants, regulatory bodies, and

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ITU Informal Forum Summit

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  1. ITU Informal Forum Summit Dr. Bernd Eylert UMTS Forum Chairman Geneva, 3. - 4. December 2001 www.umts-forum.org

  2. What is the UMTS Forum? • A global organisation with over 260 members from more than 40 countries world-wide: • Mobile, fixed and satellite operators, • suppliers, • consultants, • regulatory bodies, and • IT and media content providers. • Mission: • Committed to a successful global commercial deployment of UMTS / 3G services.

  3. U M T S F o r u m GBA WMF UIPA Our partners today Building bridges around the world

  4. Licensing FrameworkSource: Thomas SidenbladhVice-Chairman UMTS Forum,Chairman Regulatory Aspects Group www.umts-forum.org

  5. ? S. KOREA FRANCE BELGIUM SINGAPORE LIECHTENSTEIN SLOVENIA NEW ZEALAND HONG KONG SPAIN TAIWAN AUSTRALIA DENMARK GREECE SOUTH AFRICA SWITZER- LAND THAILAND GERMANY NORWAY UK ÅLAND PORTUGAL CZECH REP SWEDEN POLAND NETHERLANDS ITALY FINLAND JAPAN AUSTRIA IRELAND ISLE OF MAN 1999 2000 2001 2002 Where and when 3G Licences: www.umts-forum.org

  6. What happened with licence prices in many countries? 200 180 UK 160 D 140 120 100 E F Euros/pop, 2x15 MHz 80 60 I NL 40 N A 20 AUS PL CH 0 NZ 0 20 40 60 80 100 Population in millions

  7. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Local players 50% Regional players 40% Global players 30% 20% 10% 0% Big Small country Big Small country Categories of Licence holders Beauty contest Auction

  8. Spectrum IssuesSource: Krister Björnsjö Chairman UMTS Forum’s Spectrum Aspects Group www.umts-forum.org

  9. Operator Frequencies [MHz] 1) Scenario Radio Cell Factor for UMTS Service Paired(FDD) Unpaired(TDD) Layers Traffic Capacity Capability 1 2 x 5 - 1 2 2 x 5 5 2 1 – 2 Limited 3 2 x 10 - 2 4 2 x 10 5 3 Some 2 – 3 5 2 x 15 - 3 restrictions 6 2 x 15 5 4 7 2 x 20 - 4 3 – 4 Full 2) 8 2 x 20 5 5 Minimum spectrum for a UMTS operator in the initial phase 1) Traffic capacity factor = 1 corresponds to a calculated traffic requirement of 6 Mbps/ km² during the busy hour. The overall radio capacity is higher, it goes up with the MHz per Operator. It is used to fulfill QoS requirements and to cover traffic peaks. 2) Optional 10 MHz for more capacity Ref: UMTS Forum Report #5

  10. ITU WARC 1992 • The World Administrative Radio Conference 1992 in Malaga-Torremolinos identified 230 MHz for IMT-2000 (FPLMTS)

  11. ITUWRC 2000 • The • World Radiocommunication Conference, May 2000 in Istanbul • identified additional spectrum for IMT-2000(including the bands used for 2G)

  12. Additional bands identified by WRC 2000 800 900 960 806 IMT in bands allocated to mobile service on a primary bases, difffers between countries. (S5.XXX + Res [COM5/25]) 470-862 MHz: Broadcasting E-GSM  GSM  E-GSM  GSM  862 880 890 915 925 935 960 1 600 1 700 1 800 1 710 IMT-2000. (S5.AAA + Res [COM5/24]) GSM  1 710 1 785 1 800 1 900 2 000 1 980 2 010 1 885 IMT-SAT(S5.389A) IMT-2000. (S5.AAA + Res [COM5/24]) IMT-2000. (S5.388 + Res 212) UMTS TDD UMTS FDD  UMTS SAT DECT GSM  1 805 1 880 2 010 1 900 1 920 1 980 2 100 2 200 2 110 2 170 2 010 2 025 IMT-SAT(S5.389A) IMT-2000. (S5.388 + Res 212) IMT-2000(S5.388 + Res 212) UMTS TDD UMTS FDD  UMTS SAT 2 010 2 025 2 110 2 170 2 500 2 600 2 700 2 520 2 670 2 690 IMT-2000. (S5.AAA + Res [COM5/24]) IMT-SAT IMT-SAT)

  13. 3G Market Study Results:Structuring theService Revenues OpportunitiesSource: Paola TonelliChairperson UMTS Forum’s Operators Group and Project Manager of this Market Study www.umts-forum.org

  14. Highlights • About $320 billionin revenues in 2010 • Cumulative revenues of about$ 1 trillion from now until 2010 • In 2010 the average 3G subscriber will spend about $30 per month on 3G data services • Non-voice service revenues will dominate voice revenues by year 3 and comprise 66% of 3G service revenues by 2010 • Asia Pacific represents the single largest total revenue opportunity - reaching $120B in 2010 • Europe and North America will provide the highest annual revenue per POP.

  15. Long-term revenue growth to 2010 Source: UMTS Forum August 2001

  16. Long-term revenue opportunities for operators • Customised Infotainment will be the largest revenue opportunity for the consumer segment • Mobile Intranet/Extranet Access is the largest revenue opportunity for the corporate sector • MMS is the second largest revenue opportunity for the business sector: • Managed corporate services will serve to retain customers, but will not be a significant revenue stream • Location-based services may not be a significant revenue opportunity for operators

  17. Long-term revenue opportunities for operators (cont'd) • For both sectors "simple" voice will remain a vital component of operators’ service portfolio: • In 2010 subscribers using a 3G device will generate $88bn revenues from simple voice services, compared to $237bn for all other services • From now to 2010 3G subscribers will generate around one trillion dollars of additional revenue: • The study estimates – conservatively – that in 2010 28% of all mobile users will be served by 3G networks

  18. Revenue comparison by services by region - 2010 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 Services Revenue ($M) $20,000 $10,000 $0 Asia Pacific Europe North America Rest of World $42,705 $27,601 $6,220 $9,253 Customised Infotainment $17,460 $16,377 $20,921 $5,905 Mobile Intranet/Extranet Access $6,857 $6,081 $2,867 $2,011 Consumer MMS $3,805 $3,767 $4,229 $2,353 Mobile Internet Access $8,825 $8,624 $4,656 $2,937 Business MMS $2,440 $3,321 $3,769 $397 Location-Based Services $4,864 $7,054 $8,000 $915 Rich Voice (Enhanced) $33,712 $26,488 $18,082 $9,559 Rich Voice (Simple) Revenue comparison by service by region - 2010

  19. Market Representation • The UMTS Forum was the first Market Representation Partner (MRP) • competent to bring a consensus view of market requirements within the 3GPP scope • MRP Reports to 3GPP Project Co-ordination Group (PCG) • GSM move into 3GPP and 2G to 3G roadmap • Global circulation and Terminal validation • IMT-2000 Spectrum (WRC-2000 results) • ITU relationship (R Sector, 3GPP and terminology for “systems beyond IMT-2000”)

  20. Reports • Latest Reports • Support of 3G Services Using UMTS in a Converging Network Environment • Key Components for 3G Devices • 3G Portal Study • UMTS Third Generation Market Study Update • Reports under study • Identification of both the benefits and drawbacks of using new TLD names within the UMTS environment (expected Spring 2002) • Further more • Position Papers on different subjects (continuing)

  21. UMTS Forum:Committed to the global success of UMTS / 3rd Generation Mobile Communication www.umts-forum.org

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