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Example with Answer. Drone Delivery Exercise. 1. Future of Transportation Drone Delivery: The Process. The Basic Process Develop A Vison of the Future (Future State) How Does the Trend / Concept Affect The Future? What will it Disrupt or Change in the Market? Why Will it Matter?
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Example with Answer Drone Delivery Exercise 1
Future of TransportationDrone Delivery: The Process • The Basic Process • Develop A Vison of the Future (Future State) • How Does the Trend / Concept Affect The Future? • What will it Disrupt or Change in the Market? • Why Will it Matter? • Evaluate the Current State • What is Happening Today? • What Works, What Doesn’t? • What Issues Exist Right Now? • Develop a Gap Analysis • The Process of Analyzing the Current State and Projecting it to the Future State to Determine What is Missing or What Must be Done to Achieve the Future State
Drone Technology Infrastructure The Future of TransportationDrone Delivery 2017 First Rural Airports Look at Drone Operations (Establish Specific Areas for Drones) Small Drone Too small for Freight consolidation “Limited Range” Market Realization Rural Airports Set up Standards for Small Drone Use 2018 Increased Labor Pool Military Drawdown of Service Personnel Military Drone Rural Airports Allow Unmanned Large Commercial Drones (Limited) 2022 Evolved Avionics Freight Holding Capability Commercial Drone Creation Commercial Drone LTL or Parcel Company Establishes Regular Unmanned Operation at Rural Airport 2025 NLT 2022 Interest Develops in Large Drones Unmanned Freight Drones Unmanned Drones Leveraging Rural Airports 2025 - 2027 Commercial Drone Delivery (Rural Areas) Approves First Broad Unmanned Flight Plans 2025 Full Scale Commercial Drone LTL Pilots 2025 Time Horizon: 10-15 Years (2025 – 2030) Establishes Large Drone Air Guidelines 2022 Rural Value Proposition for Commercial Drones Develop 2023 Defines Large Drone Airspace 2018 LTL or Parcel Companies Evaluate Drones 2018 FAA Establishes Small Drone Use Early Pilots with Small Drones Fail 2016 2016 Business Model Regulation
Here some ideas about the exercise to choose one from the following
Future of Transportation:4 topic here choose one to do exercise • $90T GDP, 7.3B People, $12,195 Global GDP Per Capita • 3% Incr. 3% Incr. 0.2% Incr. 1. CONSUMER TRENDS • Global Internet Commerce • Global Middle Class Growth / Global Population Growth (Infrastructure Need) • Continued Aging Population (Potential Under-Employment) 2. SUSTAINABILITY • Improved Technology • The Northern Sea Route (Unintended Consequence) 3. TECHNOLOGY • 3D Printing • Self-Driven Vehicles 4. GEOPOLITICAL • Fuel Prices • Country Safety and Security • Emergence of Africa
Transportation Futures: Consumer Trends • Global Internet Commerce • Growth of Online Commerce • Greater Participation from Younger and Global Clients • The Trend Impacts • Creating an “Equalizing Affect” • Impacting Global Logistics and Shipping • Extending Supply Chains Beyond Normal Visibility Range • Rise of a Global Middle Class • Resource Impacts • Spending Potential Realigning Globally • Dramatic Increase in Parcel Shipping • The Middle Class of the Future is NOT the Middle Class of Today • Continued Aging Population • Potential for Under Employment • Increased Shipping Need in Healthcare • Increased Use and Focus on Home • This is a Global Phenomenon
Transportation Futures : Consumer Trend Implications • Global Internet Commerce – Is Actually A Consequence More than A Trend • Rise of a Global Middle Class • How can a Global Middle Class Be Sustainable Above 1 Billion people? • What would have to Change? What would be Different? • Are there Examples of it Happening Today? Tiny Houses? Urban Environments? Others? • Continued Aging of Global Population • What Happens to the Workforce? • Does an Aging Population Create a Wave of Innovation Due to Its Absence in the Workplace? • What Happens to Healthcare? Lifespan? • What Implication Does A Dramatic Increase In Lifespan have on the world?
Transportation FuturesSustainability: Long Term Trends to Consider • “An approach to progress which meets the needs of the present withoutcompromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs” • Long Term Sustainability Trends • Emissions and Carbon Foot Print • Non-Renewable Resources • Consumer Input as a Driving Force • Global Population Trends – Can We Support 10 Billion People? 20? • Global Water Systems • Recycle and Reclamation • Transportation Implications On: • Consumer Preference Toward Sustainability • Freight Model Shift from Freight to Global Parcel
Transportation FuturesTechnology: 3D Printing • The “MUST HAVES” of 3D Printing • A Blueprint • Printing Medium • A 3D Printer • Printing Occurs • Complete Output • Assemble-able Parts
Transportation FuturesTechnology: 3D Printing Implications • http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=3D%20Printing%20space%20station&qs=n&form=QBVR&pq=3d%20printing%20space%20station&sc=4-25&sp=-1&sk=#view=detail&mid=AAC73869C61D7B6953B8AAC73869C61D7B6953B8 • http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=3D%20Printing%20implant&qs=n&form=QBVR&pq=3d%20printing%20implant&sc=6-19&sp=-1&sk=#view=detail&mid=B623DF4AD85658678CABB623DF4AD85658678CAB • http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=3D%20Printing%20retail&qs=n&form=QBVR&pq=3d%20printing%20retail&sc=5-18&sp=-1&sk=#view=detail&mid=661B81B00604E9EF236E661B81B00604E9EF236E • Impacts of 3D Printing • Implications In Manufacturing • Implications In Shipping • Implications on Intellectual Property and Licensing • Implications on Consumer Based Consumption
Transportation FuturesTechnology: Self Driving Vehicles; Current State • Driver Safety Improvements (While In Control of Vehicle) • ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance System) • Lane Keeping Assist System (LKAS) using Sensor Cameras • Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC) using Millimeter Wave Radar • AEB (Autonomous Emergency Breaking) • Uses Sensors to Monitor Vehicles Nearby • Applies Breaking System If Sensors Identify Danger • Intelligent Vehicle Technology • LIDAR Remote Sensing (In Early Testing) • Laser Based Sensing System • Obstacle Detection and Avoidance System • California has made Testing Legal
Technology: Self Driving Vehicles • What Actually Is Required to be “Self Driving” • Vehicle Has to Act Autonomously without an Operator • Sensing Technology Has to Work In All Conditions • Vehicle Has to Be A Part of an Intelligent “Network” • Vehicle Likely Must Provide the Driver “Options” • http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=car%20of%20the%20future%201950&qs=n&form=QBVR&pq=car%20of%20the%20future%201950&sc=0-18&sp=-1&sk=#view=detail&mid=ECC82D5B4E9F9BC67CB3ECC82D5B4E9F9BC67CB3 • http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=self%20driveing%20car%20of%20the%20future%202015&qs=n&form=QBVR&pq=self%20driveing%20car%20of%20the%20future%202015&sc=0-22&sp=-1&sk=#view=detail&mid=7B4C0911821C3F4C45D47B4C0911821C3F4C45D4 • http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=self%20driveing%20car%20of%20the%20future%202015&qs=n&form=QBVR&pq=self%20driveing%20car%20of%20the%20future%202015&sc=0-22&sp=-1&sk=#view=detail&mid=E52C83DFEF0E440C06D1E52C83DFEF0E440C06D1
Technology: Self Driving Vehicle Implications • Implications • On Technology: How Ready Are We? • On Law: What Will It Take To Make It Legal? • Implication in Truck Transportation • On Liability: Define Insurance? • On Society’s Acceptance: Will We? Really?