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Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia. GoranPejanovic. WMO RA VI-Europe RCC Network SEEVCCC :. ● Climate Data Node. Lead: KNMI/Netherlands (consortium member SEEVCCC/RHMS-Serbia). South East European gridded model datasets for 1961-1990 (ready). ● Climate Monitoring Node .

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slide2

WMO RA VI-Europe RCC Network SEEVCCC :

● Climate Data Node

Lead: KNMI/Netherlands (consortium member SEEVCCC/RHMS-Serbia)

South East European gridded model datasets for 1961-1990 (ready)

● Climate Monitoring Node

Lead: DWD/Germany (participate SEEVCCC/RHMS-Serbia)

  • collecting data from the stations (monthly, 400-500 stations; main source for data KNMI-ECA&D, other climate bulletins NCDC)
  • mean temperature and accumulated precipitation,
  • temperature anomaly and precipitation percent of normal,
  • all available monthly/three-monthly

● Long Range Forecast Node

Lead: Météo-France & ROSHYDROMET (participate SEEVCCC/RHMS-Serbia)

Once a month ensemble run of a regional long range forecast - 7 months ahead:

dynamical downscaling ECMWF 41 ensemble with RCM-SEEVCCC

slide3

Long Range Forecast Node

●RCM-SEEVCCC LRF (Long Range Forecast–Seasonal Forecast)

  • regional dynamical downscaling using fully coupled atmosphere-ocean
  • Regional Climate Model
  • model start: 16th of each month
  • forecast duration: 7 months (~215 days)
  • model resolution: ~35km atmosphere ; ~20km ocean
  • model domain: Euro - Mediterranean region extended toward Caspian Sea
  • 41 ensemble members
  • initial and boundary conditions: ECMWF, resolution:125km
  • results prepared for South East European region
  • Next step: adding into LRF:
    • Dust component
    • Mineral fractions (Fe, P)
slide4

Operational dust forecast: DREAM

● DREAM8: Dust Regional Atmospheric Model with 8 categories for particle sizes

  • model runs: 12UTC start ; +72h forecast
  • model resolution: 1/3 degrees (~35km)
  • models: DREAM8 and DREAM8-assim (assimilation using ECMWF dust aerosol analysis based on MODIS)
  • daily dissemination of DREAM8-assim products to the Spanish Centre for model intercomparison

DREAM8

DREAM8 – assim

slide5

Assimilation of satellite

information

on mineral dust

ECMWF dust aerosol analysis

assimilated in initial field.

slide6

Mineral composition of arid soils

  • important impacts on: human health, ocean bio-productivity, cloud formation

GMINER30: High-resolution global dataset on surface mineralogy in arid areas

- data on mineral fraction for 9 most common minerals in arid regions

- minerals are sorted by size in clay and silt populations

- dataset is global on 30 arc-seconds resolution (~ 1 km)

+ phosphorus

- available to SDS-WAS community at:http://www.seevccc.rs/GMINER30/

slide7

Atmospheric iron transport modeling

- Development of DREAM-Iron model

Example of mineral database application

In accordance with the GESAMP WG38

Recommendation (March 2011) –

a joint SDS-WAS and GESAMP activity

slide8

110mi

leading edge

slide9
DUST SIMULATION – 6-km model

10m WIND MAGNITUDE

Simulation of the Phoenix haboob

With 3.7 km resolution NMME-Dream8

Phoenix

Phoenix

NASA Applied Science support led

to this high-resolution forecast &

simulation capability

W.A.Sprigg, S. Nickovic, G. Pejanovic, A. Vukovic

slide10

Other international activities:

Fennec Project: Dust Forecast

slide11

SEEVCCC Earth Climate Modeling System: NMMB

Results obtained with

NMMB in SEEVCCC:

global forecast

Future plans:

NMMB

● SEEVCCC perform

10 days (global) forecast

● testing model on regional

and local scales

● coupling with ocean,

aerosols, hydrology

● perform seasonal forecast

● climate projections

● ……

ECMWF