1 / 6

THE IRAQ WAR AND US-ASIA RELATIONS IN THE 21 ST CENTURY

THE IRAQ WAR AND US-ASIA RELATIONS IN THE 21 ST CENTURY. INSTITUTE FOR THE HISTORY OF NATURAL SCIENCE CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES BEIJING APRIL 4, 2003. INTRODUCTION. SINCERE THANKS: PROF LIU, IHNS, CAS, DR. NEEDHAM, FU WANGFU. TWO BROAD THEMES:

granville
Download Presentation

THE IRAQ WAR AND US-ASIA RELATIONS IN THE 21 ST CENTURY

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. THE IRAQ WAR AND US-ASIA RELATIONS IN THE 21ST CENTURY INSTITUTE FOR THE HISTORY OF NATURAL SCIENCE CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES BEIJING APRIL 4, 2003

  2. INTRODUCTION • SINCERE THANKS: PROF LIU, IHNS, CAS, DR. NEEDHAM, FU WANGFU. • TWO BROAD THEMES: • IRAQ WAR & AMERICAN DOMESTIC CONFLICT (BUSH VS. OPPOSITION). • MULTILATERAL ISSUES IN ASIA & IMPORTANCE OF US-CHINA RELATIONS. • MY VIEWS ON IRAQ WAR (CHINA: BEIDA, TV, GOVT) • US WAR VIOLATES UN CHARTER & INTERNATIONAL LAW. • WAR: HOW LONG? WHAT TACTICS? WHOSE NATIONALISM? AND WMD? • WAR IS DESTABILIZING UN, MIDDLE EAST, WORLD GEOPOLITICS.

  3. IRAQ WAR: “TWO DIFFERENT AMERICAS” • “BUSH’S AMERICA”: REPUBLICAN RIGHT & STRONG IDEOLOGY. • ROOTS: COLD WAR, JAPAN, KOREA & VIETNAM. • 1990s: ANGRY REPUBLICANS VS. CLINTON, ORGANIZATION & MEDIA. • MOMENTUM: 9/11 & HEROIC BUSH, “AXIS OF EVIL,” 2002 “BUSH DOCTRINE.” • IRAQ: “EVIL SADDAM,” DEMOCRACY/CAPITALISM, OIL, FAMILY. • WHOLE ADMINISTRATION, EXCEPT COLIN POWELL (HIS FUTURE?). • GOAL: “QUICK & CLEAN,” BOOST BAD ECONOMY, WIN 2004.

  4. “TWO DIFFERENT AMERICAS” (page 2) • “ANOTHER AMERICA” IN OPPOSITION, BOTH NOISY & QUIET. • PROTEST: VIETNAM PROTEST POWER. GLOBALIZATION TO FOCUS. • OPPOSITION: MUCH GREATER, DEPENDS ON WAR, ECONOMY, CONFIDENCE. • OBSTACLES: POST-9/11 PATRIOTISM. PRESS SELF-CENSORING. POLLS? • 2004: “DARK HORSE” CANDIDATE? REMEMBER 1968 & 1992. • ODDS ON 2004? RIGHT NOW, “0” BUT BY 2004, MAYBE “1 IN 3” • WHAT’S AT STAKE? THE FUTURE OF WORLD STABILITY. • BUSH WINS: UNILATERALISM, GLOBAL BULLYING, DESTABILIZATION. • OPPOSITION WINS: TOUGH, SENSITIVE MULTILATERALISM. US VALUES!

  5. US & ASIA IN 21ST CENTURY:ARGUMENT FOR MULTILATERALISM • US & ASIA IN 21ST C: MULTIPLE POWERS, MULTIPLE PROBLEMS. • IRAQ NOT HIGHEST SECURITY THREAT! WHAT ARE THE BIG ISSUES? • MULTILATERALISM: 1972-2000: ASIAN STABILITY & GROWTH. LEADERSHIP! • ASYMMETRICAL ASIAN POWERS: US, CHINA, JAPAN, RUSSIA, INDIA. • MULTILATERAL ASIAN SECURITY THREATS: • KOREA: KIM’S MOTIVATIONS? MULTILATERAL & BILATERAL. MIL FORCE? • INDIA & PAKISTAN: EXPLOSIVE. DOMESTIC ISSUES. US TAINTED. PRC IGNORING. • MY POINT: ISSUES INVOLVE KEY ROLES FOR BOTH US & CHINA.

  6. US & ASIA: ARGUMENT FOR MULTILATERALISM (p. 2) • US & CHINA: 21ST C. “MOST IMPORTANT RELATIONSHIP.” • CHINA’S MOMENT: ASIA’S STAR, SUCCESS & PROBLEMS, OPTIMISM. • US MOMENT: #1 SUPERPOWER, BUT FOR WHAT ENDS? • US-CHINA: POWERFUL HISTORY & YET “LOVE-HATE CYCLES.” • “NEW CHINA” & “ANOTHER AMERICA”: ASIAN STABILITY & GROWTH. • LONG-TERM: CAN WE HAVE ASIAN VISION & OVERCOME SUSPICION? • SHORT-TERM: CAN WE COPE WITH ONSLAUGHT OF UNILATERALISM?

More Related