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THE IRAQ WAR AND US-ASIA RELATIONS IN THE 21 ST CENTURY PowerPoint Presentation
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THE IRAQ WAR AND US-ASIA RELATIONS IN THE 21 ST CENTURY. INSTITUTE FOR THE HISTORY OF NATURAL SCIENCE CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES BEIJING APRIL 4, 2003. INTRODUCTION. SINCERE THANKS: PROF LIU, IHNS, CAS, DR. NEEDHAM, FU WANGFU. TWO BROAD THEMES:

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THE IRAQ WAR AND US-ASIA RELATIONS

IN THE 21ST CENTURY

INSTITUTE FOR THE HISTORY OF NATURAL SCIENCE

CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES

BEIJING APRIL 4, 2003

introduction
INTRODUCTION
  • SINCERE THANKS: PROF LIU, IHNS, CAS, DR. NEEDHAM, FU WANGFU.
  • TWO BROAD THEMES:
    • IRAQ WAR & AMERICAN DOMESTIC CONFLICT (BUSH VS. OPPOSITION).
    • MULTILATERAL ISSUES IN ASIA & IMPORTANCE OF US-CHINA RELATIONS.
  • MY VIEWS ON IRAQ WAR (CHINA: BEIDA, TV, GOVT)
    • US WAR VIOLATES UN CHARTER & INTERNATIONAL LAW.
    • WAR: HOW LONG? WHAT TACTICS? WHOSE NATIONALISM? AND WMD?
    • WAR IS DESTABILIZING UN, MIDDLE EAST, WORLD GEOPOLITICS.
iraq war two different americas
IRAQ WAR: “TWO DIFFERENT AMERICAS”
  • “BUSH’S AMERICA”: REPUBLICAN RIGHT & STRONG IDEOLOGY.
    • ROOTS: COLD WAR, JAPAN, KOREA & VIETNAM.
    • 1990s: ANGRY REPUBLICANS VS. CLINTON, ORGANIZATION & MEDIA.
    • MOMENTUM: 9/11 & HEROIC BUSH, “AXIS OF EVIL,” 2002 “BUSH DOCTRINE.”
    • IRAQ: “EVIL SADDAM,” DEMOCRACY/CAPITALISM, OIL, FAMILY.
    • WHOLE ADMINISTRATION, EXCEPT COLIN POWELL (HIS FUTURE?).
    • GOAL: “QUICK & CLEAN,” BOOST BAD ECONOMY, WIN 2004.
two different americas page 2
“TWO DIFFERENT AMERICAS” (page 2)
  • “ANOTHER AMERICA” IN OPPOSITION, BOTH NOISY & QUIET.
    • PROTEST: VIETNAM PROTEST POWER. GLOBALIZATION TO FOCUS.
    • OPPOSITION: MUCH GREATER, DEPENDS ON WAR, ECONOMY, CONFIDENCE.
    • OBSTACLES: POST-9/11 PATRIOTISM. PRESS SELF-CENSORING. POLLS?
    • 2004: “DARK HORSE” CANDIDATE? REMEMBER 1968 & 1992.
    • ODDS ON 2004? RIGHT NOW, “0” BUT BY 2004, MAYBE “1 IN 3”
  • WHAT’S AT STAKE? THE FUTURE OF WORLD STABILITY.
    • BUSH WINS: UNILATERALISM, GLOBAL BULLYING, DESTABILIZATION.
    • OPPOSITION WINS: TOUGH, SENSITIVE MULTILATERALISM. US VALUES!
us asia in 21 st century argument for multilateralism
US & ASIA IN 21ST CENTURY:ARGUMENT FOR MULTILATERALISM
  • US & ASIA IN 21ST C: MULTIPLE POWERS, MULTIPLE PROBLEMS.
    • IRAQ NOT HIGHEST SECURITY THREAT! WHAT ARE THE BIG ISSUES?
    • MULTILATERALISM: 1972-2000: ASIAN STABILITY & GROWTH. LEADERSHIP!
    • ASYMMETRICAL ASIAN POWERS: US, CHINA, JAPAN, RUSSIA, INDIA.
    • MULTILATERAL ASIAN SECURITY THREATS:
      • KOREA: KIM’S MOTIVATIONS? MULTILATERAL & BILATERAL. MIL FORCE?
      • INDIA & PAKISTAN: EXPLOSIVE. DOMESTIC ISSUES. US TAINTED. PRC IGNORING.
  • MY POINT: ISSUES INVOLVE KEY ROLES FOR BOTH US & CHINA.
us asia argument for multilateralism p 2
US & ASIA: ARGUMENT FOR MULTILATERALISM (p. 2)
  • US & CHINA: 21ST C. “MOST IMPORTANT RELATIONSHIP.”
    • CHINA’S MOMENT: ASIA’S STAR, SUCCESS & PROBLEMS, OPTIMISM.
    • US MOMENT: #1 SUPERPOWER, BUT FOR WHAT ENDS?
    • US-CHINA: POWERFUL HISTORY & YET “LOVE-HATE CYCLES.”
    • “NEW CHINA” & “ANOTHER AMERICA”: ASIAN STABILITY & GROWTH.
    • LONG-TERM: CAN WE HAVE ASIAN VISION & OVERCOME SUSPICION?
    • SHORT-TERM: CAN WE COPE WITH ONSLAUGHT OF UNILATERALISM?