The super safety net of safe harbor
Download
1 / 27

The Super Safety Net of Safe Harbor - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 152 Views
  • Updated On :

The Super Safety Net of Safe Harbor. Peter Cincotta Office of Accountability, Research, and Testing Baltimore County Public Schools. Objectives. Overview of No Child Left Behind (NCLB) accountability process in Maryland

Related searches for The Super Safety Net of Safe Harbor

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about 'The Super Safety Net of Safe Harbor' - gita


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
The super safety net of safe harbor l.jpg

The Super Safety Net of Safe Harbor

Peter Cincotta

Office of Accountability, Research, and Testing

Baltimore County Public Schools


Objectives l.jpg
Objectives

  • Overview of No Child Left Behind (NCLB) accountability process in Maryland

  • Explanation of Safe Harbor process and how it fits into the determination of Adequate Yearly Progress (AYP).

  • Share some interesting findings on the proficiency rates needed to make AYP through Safe Harbor.


Adequate yearly progress l.jpg
Adequate Yearly Progress

  • NCLB provides flexibility to states in many areas of the law.

  • The Maryland Department of Education (MSDE) has taken advantage of these areas.


Safe harbor l.jpg
Safe Harbor

The principle behind Safe Harbor is to recognize subgroups (and/or schools) that demonstrate a significant increase in achievement even if the achievement does not reach the level of the Annual Measurable Objective (AMO).


Safe harbor6 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

AMO – 53.6%

40.3%

15%


Safe harbor7 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

  • The rule is:

    • The percentage of students scoring in the basic category (the “basic rate”) must decrease by 10% from the previous year.


Safe harbor8 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

  • Example

  • In 2004 the Special Education subgroup for Mathematics at Ann M. Wells Elementary had a proficiency rate of 8.0%.

  • Therefore, this subgroup had a basic rate of 92.0%. (100.0% – 8.0% = 92.0%)

  • This basic rate must decrease by 10%.


Safe harbor9 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

  • 10% of 92.0 is 9.2

    • That is: 10% X 92.0 = 9.2

  • Therefore, the basic rate must decrease by 9.2 percentage points.

    • 92.0 - 9.2 = 82.8 .

  • A basic rate of 82.8% would be a proficiency rate of 17.2%.

    • 100.0% - 82.8% = 17.2%


Safe harbor10 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

40.3%

AMO – 53.6%

15%


Safe harbor11 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

Ann M. Wells Elementary School

2005 AYP Mathematics

AMO – 53.6%

40.3%

17.2% - Safe Harbor Proficiency Rate target

15%

8% - Proficiency rate last year


Slide12 l.jpg

But wait.

There’s more!


Safe harbor13 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

  • MSDE asked for and received permission to use a confidence interval around the Safe Harbor Proficiency Rate target


Safe harbor14 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

  • The length of a confidence interval is dependent on the size of the subgroup.

  • Large subgroups produce small confidence intervals

  • Small subgroups produce large confidence intervals


Confidence intervals l.jpg
Confidence Intervals

Small groups have larger confidence intervals

Large groups have smaller confidence intervals

AMO is 43.8%


Safe harbor16 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

  • Let’s say there are 100 Special Education students among grades 3, 4, and 5 at the Ann M. Wells Elementary school.


Safe harbor17 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

Ann M. Wells Elementary School

2005 AYP Mathematics

AMO – 53.6%

11.0% is the lower end of the Safe Harbor CI with a subgroup size of 100 students and a proficiency rate of 8% last year.

40.3%

17.2% - Safe Harbor Proficiency Rate target

15%

8% - Proficiency rate last year


Safe harbor18 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

  • Therefore, this subgroup made AYP through the Safe Harbor provision

  • To recap, this proficiency rate was:

    • Lower than the AMO,

    • Lower than the lower end of the (AMO) CI,

    • Higher than last year’s proficiency rate, and

    • Higher than the lower end of the Safe Harbor CI.


Safe harbor19 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

  • Two strings attached

    • “All Students” must make AYP in the same subject of the Safe Harbor subgroup

    • “Other Academic Area” must improve over last year for the Safe Harbor subgroup.


Safe harbor20 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

Ann M. Wells Elementary School

2005 AYP Mathematics

AMO – 53.6%

Notice how close the lower end of the Safe Harbor CI is to last year’s proficiency rate.

40.3%

15%

8% - Proficiency rate last year


Safe harbor with a proficiency rate of 8 last year l.jpg
Safe Harborwith a Proficiency rate of 8% last year


Safe harbor22 l.jpg
Safe Harbor

  • Under some circumstances, a very small increase in the proficiency rate would be enough to make AYP through Safe Harbor.

  • Under some circumstances, even flat achievement or a decrease in the proficiency rate would be “enough” to make AYP through Safe Harbor.





Safe harbor26 l.jpg
Safe Harbor to make AYP

  • Note that Safe Harbor is determined based on two data points:

    • Proficiency rate last year, and

    • Subgroup size this year.

The AMO is not part of the calculation.


Contact information l.jpg

Contact Information to make AYP

Peter Cincotta

Office of Accountability, Research, and Testing

1940 Greenspring Drive

Timonium , Maryland 21093

(410 ) 887 – 7755 , ext. 209

Fax (410 ) 561 – 5769

E-mail pcincotta@bcps.org