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Stratus Consulting collaborates with USAID to develop strategies for integrating climate change in project planning, testing methods in pilot studies, and revising guidance based on lessons learned. Pilot studies in Polokwane, South Africa, and La Ceiba, Honduras involve water supplies, flooding, and coastal erosion, with implementations plans to address climate change effects.
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Incorporating Climate Change in USAID Projects Joel B. Smith Stratus Consulting Inc. 1-303-381-8218 jsmith@stratusconsulting.com Dr. Kenneth Strzepek University of Colorado Ruhiza Jean Boroto Source Strategic Focus (Pty) Ltd.
USAID Considering Ways of Incorporating Climate Change into Project Planning, Design, and Management • Stratus Consulting is working with USAID on: • Developing guidance for AID on methods for incorporating climate change • Testing methods in three pilot studies • Will revise guidance based on lessons learned
Pilot Studies • Examine incorporation of climate change in planned or ongoing USAID projects • Work with stakeholders to define objectives, identify adaptations, and review results • Use in-country analysts to conduct research • Will develop implementation plans • Pilots: • Polokwane, South Africa: Water supplies • La Ceiba, Honduras: Flooding and coastal erosion • Mali: Agriculture (specific project TBD) • I’ll briefly discuss Polokwane and La Ceiba
Polokwane, South Africa • Concern is with long-term water supplies
Polokwane, South Africa • Water is transferred to the city • Polokwane is growing • Planning has not considered climate change • Climate models indicate potential for reduced runoff and soil moisture
Polokwane Study • Use a broad suite of climate change scenarios to capture possible changes in climate • Estimate changes in water demand from population and economic growth • Examine climate change effects on runoff and demand • DWAF will examine implications and adaptations using their planning model • Will meet with stakeholders to examine results and adaptation • Will develop implementation plan with AID Mission and stakeholders
La Ceiba Scope • Concerns about flooding, poor drainage, coastal erosion • Already serious issues • We are working with municipal planners, business community, and NGOs in La Ceiba
La Ceiba Project • We’ll develop scenarios of • Sea level rise • Intense hurricanes • Intense rains • Based on increases in temperature, not model output • Working with stakeholders and regional researchers on analyzing adaptations • Will develop implementation plan