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Science Advisory Committee 22 November 2005 Huntsville, AL PowerPoint Presentation
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2006 Regional Modeling and Data Assimilation Plans. Science Advisory Committee 22 November 2005 Huntsville, AL. 2006 Regional Modeling & DA Short-term Goals. MODIS SST Assimilation Complete May 2004 Assessment (Project Columbia)—publish results

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Presentation Transcript
slide1

2006 Regional Modeling

and Data Assimilation Plans

Science Advisory Committee

22 November 2005

Huntsville, AL

slide2

2006 Regional Modeling & DA

Short-term Goals

  • MODIS SST Assimilation
    • Complete May 2004 Assessment (Project Columbia)—publish results
    • Identify Case studies in operational system for assessment
    • MAP 05 (Project Hurricane)—MODIS SST sensitivity studies?
  • AIRS Profiles in ADAS
    • Complete Jan 2004 case study—publish results
    • Collaborate with Brewster (OU) on Gulf return flow
    • Provide OU with intellectual property
slide4

Coupled Earth SYSTEM

Modeling and

Data Assimilation

System for

Earth-Sun Science

The NASA Modeling, Assimilation, and Prediction (MAP) Environment:

Integrating Earth System Modeling and Observations

2006 NASA Modeling Environment

2005 Project Hurricane

GEOS-5

fvGCM (GEOS4)

Project Columbia

JCSDA/GSI

slide5

Program or Branch #1

Program or Branch #2

Program or Branch #3

Program or Branch #N

Modeling 1

Modeling 2

Modeling 3

Modeling N

The NASA Modeling Environment Components Added as Program Evolves

MAP

Modeling

Environment

Crosscutting Themes

Focus Areas

Model, Analysis, Prediction Program / Multi-investigator proposals

ESMF

Core

Integration

Team

External

NRA

Proposals

GISS Model E

CMAI

GMI

ECCO II

slide7

External Influences on SPoRT……

  • Data Assimilation Framework
    • Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation
    • Supported by NOAA, NASA, DoD
    • FSL, NCEP, GMAO (JCSDA)
    • McCarty NASA Fellowship
  • WRF Dynamic Core & Physics
    • NCEP NMM
    • Optimal physics configuration
  • Support NASA Mission
    • MAP
    • NEWS
    • Human Space Flight
slide8

2006 Regional Modeling & DA

Longer-term

  • AIRS Radiances in GSI
    • In collaboration with GMAO/JCSDA
    • McCarty NASA Fellowship
  • Lightning Data Assimilation
    • NASA NRC Post-Doc proposal pending (Themis Chronis/UCONN)
    • CloudSat/Calipso Microphysics (Model validation/assessment)
  • Coupled WRF/LIS Implementation
    • Collaboration with GSFC (Peters-Lidard, Tao)
    • ESMF Transition Testbed (MAP Initiative?)
slide9

High-resolution (enabled by LIS):

-See small, medium, large cities

-Demonstrate impact of EOS-era observations (e.g., MODIS)

1km

NASA Land Information System

Traditional resolution (before LIS):

-See only large size urban areas

-Over predict magnitude of heat island (nonlinear averaging)

25km

slide11

Atmos.

Models

Ocean

Models

12-Hours Ahead Atmospheric Model Forecasts

LIS

LIS Impact Example: Coupling the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model

Observed

Rainfall

Without

LIS

With

LIS

Coupled Earth System Modeling

  • Interoperability with standards:
  • The Earth System Modeling
  • Framework (ESMF)
  • Assistance for Land Modeling
  • Activities (ALMA)
  • NCEP/EMC—K. Mitchell Collaboration
slide12

GMI chemistry

GMAO LSM

GMU ocean

GMAO ocean biology

LANL sea ice model

Modelers Integrate Components From Different Sources

ESMF Accelerates Development Cycle

NASA AGCM For Climate and Weather

GFDL dynamics

GMAO physics

Add In The Assimilation Components And Satellite Data  Earth Science Applications + Future Mission Design

slide13

Coupled LIS-WRF System

  • NASA Energy and Water Study
    • Land-atmosphere interactions
    • Cloud and precipitation processes
  • NASA Modeling and Analysis Program
    • Complete Jan 2004 case study—publish results
    • Feeds into Nowcasting task
  • SPoRT collaboration with GSFC Terrestrial Hydrology and Atm Dynamics Programs
  • A vision for spring 2007….