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ENVIRONMENTAL SCENARIO GENERATOR (ESG). Tom Kotz Technical Director. Purpose. Explain the Environmental Scenario Generator (ESG). Overview. What is ESG? How ESG Works ESG Products. Behaviors. Environment. Processes. Climate. Illumination. Course of Action. Weather. Flight Routes.

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Presentation Transcript
slide1

ENVIRONMENTAL

SCENARIO

GENERATOR

(ESG)

Tom Kotz

Technical Director

purpose
Purpose
  • Explain the Environmental Scenario Generator (ESG)
overview
Overview
  • What is ESG?
  • How ESG Works
  • ESG Products
what is esg

Behaviors

Environment

Processes

Climate

Illumination

Course of Action

Weather

Flight Routes

Transmittance

Natural

Line of Sight

Route Selection

Hydrologic Cycle

Visibility

Sensors

Sea State

Decision Makers

Weapon Effects

Surface and Subsurface Flows

Mobility

Acoustic Tracking

Ocean Parameters

Terrain surface and Features

The Same

Climate

Physical Parameters

Course of Action

Weather Models

Flight Routes

Route Selection

Line of Sight

Sea State

Behavior Models

Synthetic

Dynamic Terrain

Visibility

Weapon Effects

Hydrologic Modeling

Mobility

Acoustic Tracking

Ocean Models

Elevation

Features

Bathymetry

What is ESG?
what is esg5

https://esg.afccc.af.mil/

What is ESG?
  • Scenario Search Mechanism
    • Rapidly searches historical archives
    • Weapon System Impacts
    • Fuzzy-Logic Classification
    • Interactive Data Analysis
  • Produce Realistic Data Sets
    • High-Quality data and models
    • Recreate historic scenarios
    • Customized post-processing
    • Standard/Custom formats
  • Can request 14th WS support or request a user account
how esg works

Databases

  • ACMES
  • NCEP/NCAR
  • MODAS
  • WW3
  • Space Archives
  • Previous Products
  • Customer Request
  • Conditions
  • Place/Time
  • Parameters
  • Resolution
  • Format
  • Subject Matter Expert
  • (SME) Processing
  • Search for Scenario
  • Identify Data Source
  • Verify Data Output
  • Check Format
  • Scenarios in
  • Various Formats
  • SEDRIS
  • GRIB
  • Binary
  • CSV
  • PRF
  • Other
How ESG Works
  • ESG Process

“Wet and windy”

“Korea in winter”

“Temp, humidity, winds”

“40km, hourly for 3 months”

“CSV, GRIB, SEDRIS”

esg products

Environmental data (18-month atmospheric at 6-hour intervals with 1-degree resolution) helped identify effects of weather on ISR and refueling ops.

LPD-17 using authoritative atmospheric data to determine probability of raid annihilation. Ensured consistent environment for distributed simulations.

OSD(PA&E) and AF/A5XS incorporating atmospheric and ocean data into THUNDER campaign analysis simulation to analyze various Courses of Action.

Army used data to determine Grizzly antimine vehicle performed poorly in muddy conditions. Ultimately led to project cancellation saving millions in development and production costs.

Taught F-35 team member how to use ESG to generate environmental representations. Facilitates M&S testing outside the scope of live testing.

Aeronautical Systems Center (ASC) using data to determine how capable future systems are under various environmental scenarios.

ESG Products
  • Environmental Representations
    • Scenarios or Data Sets (Standard and Customer-unique)
esg products9
ESG Products
  • Environmental Representations
  • Pseudo Observations
    • Text and JMIBL formats

METAR RJCW 130006Z 26017KT 5000 -SHSN FEW007 SCT010 BKN020CB M03/M06 Q1004 RMK 2ST007 4ST010 7CB020 A2965 CB ALL QUAD

<?xml version="1.0" ?>

- <urn:JMO_obsList xmlns:urn="urn:metoc:jmcbl:jmibl">

- <urn:JMO_obs urn:horizontalDatum="WGE" urn:latitude="45.4" urn:longitude="141.8" urn:networkType="ICAO" urn:observationTime="20060213000600" urn:platformHeight="11.0" urn:platformId="RJCW" urn:reportTypeCode="FM-16" urn:securityId="1" urn:stationMode="1" urn:verticalDatum="MSL">

<urn:JMO_surfaceObs urn:airTemperature="-3.0" urn:altimeterSetting="1004.1" urn:cloudCavok="N" urn:cloudCeiling="610" urn:cloudCover="07" urn:dewPointTemperature="-6.0" urn:windConditions="N" urn:windDirection="260" urn:windMeasurementMode="4" urn:windSpeed="8.7" />

<urn:JMO_cloudLayerObs urn:cloudBaseHeight="213" urn:cloudCover="02" urn:cloudLayerId="1" urn:verticalDatum="AGL" />

<urn:JMO_cloudLayerObs urn:cloudBaseHeight="305" urn:cloudCover="04" urn:cloudLayerId="2" urn:verticalDatum="AGL" />

<urn:JMO_cloudLayerObs urn:cloudBaseHeight="610" urn:cloudCover="07" urn:cloudLayerId="3" urn:verticalDatum="AGL" />

<urn:JMO_remarks urn:remarks="2ST007 4ST010 7CB020 A2965 CB ALL QUAD;" />

<urn:JMO_visibilityObs urn:occurrenceId="1" urn:supLocationCode="S" urn:visibility="5000" urn:visibilityType="P" />

<urn:JMO_message urn:bbbStatus="I" urn:messageSequenceId="1" urn:originalMessage="METAR RJCW 130006Z 26017KT 5000 -SHSN FEW007 SCT010 BKN020CB M03/M06 Q1004 RMK 2ST007 4ST010 7CB020 A2965 CB ALL QUAD;" urn:receiptDtg="20060213001644" urn:securityId="1" />

</urn:JMO_obsList>

esg products10
ESG Products
  • Environmental Representations
  • Pseudo Observations
  • Pseudo Satellite and Radar Images
esg products11
ESG Products
  • Environmental Representations
  • Pseudo Observations
  • Pseudo Satellite and Radar Images
  • Graphics
    • Verifies data
    • Can be used as pseudo “Forecaster-in-the-loop” (FITL) products or as a source to produce them
esg products12
ESG Products
  • Environmental Representations
  • Pseudo Observations
  • Pseudo Satellite and Radar Images
  • Graphics
  • Effects
    • Environmental Hypercube
esg products future
ESG Products (Future)
  • Space Environmental Integration System (SEIS)
    • Generate space data set based on desired effects
  • TAF (Text and JMIBL)
  • GUI (Generate Data and Effects)
  • Weather and Effects Server

KFBG 090539Z 090606 16015G25KT 9999 SCT050

TEMPO 0912 3200 -SHRA BKN050 OVC100

BECMG 1214 22012KT 9999 SCT100

TEMPO 1421 8000 –SHRA BKN030

summary
Summary
  • ESG enables models and simulations (M&S) to produce effects resulting from the environment
  • Current customers include wide-ranging interests and uses
  • ESG products suited to M&S, but have other uses
  • Ongoing projects add power and versatility to ESG