Has the US “lost” or “given away” our manufacturing?

1. Standard 3Understand the fundamental concepts and interrelationships of the United States economy in the international marketplaceSS.912.E.3.3Discuss the effect of barriers to trade and why nations sometimes erect barriers to trade or establish free trade zones

2. Before we can fully understand the impact of trade barriers, we have to understand the foreign exchange market and the international flow of goods, services, currency, and capital

3. Has the US “lost” or “given away” our manufacturing? • Absolutely not, we are still world-class manufacturers • If we choose not to manufacturer, we still do a lot of designing and engineering and let others actually manufacture • Examples: Nike and McDonald’s

4. The trade sector is a growing portion of GDP Imports Exports

5. Think carefully about the ramifications • GDP = Consumption + Investment + Government Purchases + Exports – Imports • If Imports = (-18%), then the rest, 82% must come from the US! • If GDP is about $14 trillion, 82% is a LOT of domestic production!!!!!!!

6. Graph of surplus:

7. Graph of shortage:

8. The foreign exchange market coordinates all international exchanges

9. Video: Dodgeball

10. S (exports + capital inflow) Depreciationof dollar D Appreciationof dollar (imports + capital outflow) Foreign Exchange Market Dollar price(of foreign currency) P1 Quantity offoreign currency Q Dollar price (of foreign currency) = how much foreign currency you get for $1

11. Another way to think about foreign exchange • “Regular” price is an exchange rate: goods/$ • Example: exchange $3.00 for Chick-fil-A sandwich • Dollar price = foreign currency/$1 • Example: £1/$1 then £2/$1 • $1 now buys twice as much in England

12. Foreign exchange terms: • The dollar appreciates when you can buy more foreign goods with the same $1 • The dollar is referred to as strong • Americans import more, export less • The dollar depreciates when you can buy less foreign goods with the same $1 • The dollar is referred to as weak • Americans import less, export more • If the dollar appreciates against another currency, then that currency depreciates against the dollar

13. Canadian Dollar Mexican Peso

14. Japanese Yen South Korean Won

16. Key relationship: • A trade deficit (imports > exports) = inflow of capital (foreigners purchasing US financial and real assets > Americans purchasing foreign assets) • A trade surplus (exports > imports) = outflow of capital (Americans purchasing foreign assets > foreigners purchasing US assets)

17. Trade Balance Capital Inflow Capital Outflow

18. Video: Stossel 2011 Economics of trade deficits

19. Trade Barriers • Main point: Generally, any trade restriction will reduce quantity, increase consumer prices, and create a deadweight loss (elimination of gains from trade). • A tariff is a tax on imports (it raises the price so quantity demanded will fall); it reduces imports and generates revenue for the government • A quota is a limit on the physical units that can be imported; it generates no revenue

20. Video: Stossel are boycotts of sweatshop products helpful?

21. So, why does the US impose trade restrictions? • To “protect” certain groups, which gave rise to the term “protectionism” • The protected group is helped while others in the US economy are hurt

22. A country cannot simultaneously reduce imports and increase exports for an extended period of time Imports Exports

23. Huge point (that most people don’t understand): • Our imports give purchasing power to foreigners. They, in turn, purchase our exports. • If we limited imports, we would limit the income of foreigners and they wouldn’t be able to buy as many of our exports. • That’s why imports and exports are positively related

24. Here are more accurate statements about free trade: • Free trade is harmful to some Americans but is helpful to America • More people are helped by free trade than are hurt by free trade (i.e. America experiences a net gain)

25. Video: Stossel does outsourcing cost Americans jobs?

26. A study done in 2004 by Professor Matthew J. Slaughter at Dartmouth University found that outsourcing is actually a way of increasing the number of American jobs. He found that employment increased both for American firms involved in outsourcing but also for their affiliates in other countries. While employment in foreign affiliates rose by 2.8 million jobs, employment in the U.S. parent firms rose even more --by 5.5 million jobs. In other words, for every one job outsourced, U.S. firms created nearly two jobs in the United States.

27. Graph 1: Total employment has increased while exports and imports have increased Employment Imports Exports

28. Graph 2: The unemployment rate is inversely related to exports and imports Imports Unemployment Rate Exports

29. Graph 3: An increase in the trade sector has not caused inflation Imports Exports Inflation Rate

30. Graph 4: Per Capita Income has increased while both exports and imports have increased Per Capita Income Imports Exports

31. Arguments for tariffs that may, in principle, have some merit: • National security • Infant industry

32. Focus: Understanding Economics in Civics and GovernmentLesson 17 Making Trade-Offs in Policy Decisions: The Patriot Act

33. The Great Economics Mysteries BookChapter 3 Lesson 8 Why Would Mexico Want to Trade with the United States and Canada?

34. Focus: Understanding Economics in Civics and GovernmentLesson 20 Economic Freedom and Rights

35. Video: Stossel 2011 International trade-criticisms and responses