The icp 2011 round
Download
1 / 30

The ICP 2011 Round - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 137 Views
  • Uploaded on

Presented by: Michel Mouyelo-Katoula Global Manager International Comparison Program World Bank. The ICP 2011 Round. Outline. 2. Part I Introduction & objectives for the 2011 round. 3. Part II Lessons learned from the 2005 round: Innovations and Improvements. 5.

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about 'The ICP 2011 Round' - felcia


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
The icp 2011 round

Presented by:

Michel Mouyelo-Katoula

Global Manager

International Comparison Program

World Bank

The ICP 2011 Round



The icp 2011 round

Part I

Introduction & objectives

for the 2011 round

3


The icp 2011 round

Part II

  • Lessons learned from the 2005 round: Innovations and Improvements

5


What worked in icp 2005

Where improvements can be made

What worked in ICP 2005

  • Defining respective roles in governance

  • UNSC, Global Office, Executive Board and TAG

    • Respective roles of the UNSC, Global Office,Executive Board, and Technical Advisory Group

  • Agreements with regions/countries more explicitly define requirements for submitting regional and ring data

  • More explicitly define policies on data access and sharing

  • Define process to determine methodology for regional results and linking

  • Strengthen ties between ICP and Eurostat-OECD

    • Separate agreement

    • Mutual representation in regional workshops

  • Encourage more partnering arrangements

  • Determine protocol with countries when data collected by regional or global consultants

  • Limit on what countries can do at a time

  • Role of the ICP Executive Board

  • Role of the Technical Advisory Group

  • Role of the regional coordinators

  • Regional workshops with countries, global workshops with regions

  • Partnering arrangements between national statistical offices and regions/global office

    • Australia, Canada, France, Russia, the UK


Lesson learnt from 2005
Lesson learnt from 2005

Review Survey Tools

Effective

Quality of 2005 Method

Improve Method

Deploy

To be improved

Not effective

Apply 2005 Method

Develop

Survey Tools

Research


Innovations
Innovations

  • Outreach focus

  • An ICP quality assurance framework

  • Statistical capacity building

  • An ICP Book titled “Measuring the Size of the World Economy”

  • A National Accounts framework for ICP

  • A system of economic validation of price and expenditure data

  • Linking Regions through Global Core List Approach


Methodological improvements
Methodological Improvements

  • A 600-item Global Core List for household consumption, equi-representative of all the regions

  • Global core list for household consumption included in regional lists

  • All countries in the world price the global core list items

  • Equipment list equally representative across the regions and OECD-Eurostat countries

Most Robust Linking Method

Improved Quality of National Accounts & Prices

  • New National Accounts framework

  • Improved GDP expenditures

  • Field prices expected to be more consistent with national-accounts-embedded prices

  • A comprehensive quality assurance framework being finalized

Improvements in other areas

  • Improved methods for health and education

  • A new method being designed for construction

  • A 10-topic research agenda being pursued


The icp 2011 round

Part III

Institutional arrangements

10


The icp 2011 round

UNSC

ICP

Governance

Structure

Executive Board

World Bank

Global Office:

Global Manager

+

Staff

Regional Advisory

Boards

TAG

OECD-EUROSTAT

OECD

E/STAT

AfDB

ADB

CIS

ECLAC

ESCWA

Countries

11


Country participation and flow of data
Country Participation and Flow of Data

Global PPPS

ICP Global Office at World Bank

CORE

PRICES +

REGIONAL

PPPs

OECD -EUROSTAT

PPPS + CORE PRICES

OECD

EUROSTAT

AfDB

ADB

CIS

ECLAC

ESCWA

PRICES &

GDP EXP.

PRICES &

GDP EXP.

PRICES &

GDP EXP.

PRICES &

GDP EXP.

PRICES &

GDP EXP.

PRICES &

GDP EXP.

48 Countries

52 Countries

28 Countries

9 Countries ?

33 Countries

14 Countries

More than 180 Countries


The icp 2011 round

Part IV

Countries’ activities

13


National accounts framework for the icp
National Accounts Framework for the ICP

Derived from SNA-1993

The Framework

Set of tables and forms

Step-by-step guidelines

Piloted in 5 countries

Division of work

National Accountants

Price Experts

N.A. Activities

Main List Prep.

Housing

Main price survey

Public Education

Private Education

Public Health

Private Health

Comp. Of Empl.

Equipment

Construction Exp.

Constr. pricing

Other pricing

Expenditures – Price Consistency


The icp 2011 round

Input Vs Output Methods

15


The icp 2011 round

Price Surveys in 2011

400-800 Household Items

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

5-10 Housing Services

Q3

100 Health goods & Services

Intra Country Validation

Annual National Average Prices

Q2

5-20 Education Services

Q4

20 Government Occupations

Q4

100 Equipment

Q3

20 Construction Items

Q4

16


The icp 2011 round

Country Activities: Estimation of GDP Expenditures

100 Household Cons. Basic Headings [BH]

Identify Data Sources

Review GDP Classification

Housing BHs

Health BHs

Carry out N.A. work for comparison resistant areas

Implement Commodity Flows where possible

Education BHs

NPISH BHs

Government BHs

Develop vector of 2011 GDP expenditures

Estimate GDP & Main Aggregates

Equipment BHs

Construction BHs

Other GDP components BHs

17


The icp 2011 round

Part V

PPP aggregation & linking

18


The icp 2011 round

Regional Level: PPP Computation

All countries in a region

All countries in a region

Household

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

All countries in a region

Housing

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Health

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Education

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Regional Aggregated PPPs

Government

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Equipment

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Construction

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Regional Basic Heading PPPs

Annual National Average Prices

19


The icp 2011 round

Global Core List Approach

All countries in the world

All countries in the world

All countries in the world

Household

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

….

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Calibration Factors

Construction

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Global Basic Heading PPPs

Annual National Average Prices for Global Core Items

All countries in the world

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Global PPPs

Regional Basic Heading PPPs

20


The icp 2011 round

Part VI

  • ICP data uses

21


The icp 2011 round

Major Uses of PPP

  • Major uses of the PPP results at international and regional levels include:

    • International poverty headcount index (World Bank)

    • Comparing relative sizes of economies and estimating weighted averages of regional growth rates (IMF)

    • Allocation of structural and cohesion funds (European Commission)

    • Human Development Index (UNDP)

    • Gender empowerment measures (UNDP)

    • Health inequality assessment (World Health Organization)

    • Assessing per capita expenditures in education (U.N. Educational, Scientific & Cultural Organization)

    • Monitoring the welfare of children (U.N. Children’s Fund)

    • Designing effective aid programs (International Organizations)

  • Other uses include:

    • Analysis of an economy’s comparative advantage on prices and expenditures of goods or services (Policy Makers)

    • Evaluation of investment costs and industry growth potential across countries.

    • PPP adjusted cost of living allowances (Multinational Corporations, Non-Government Organizations, International Development Agencies)

22


The icp 2011 round

Part VII

ICP 2011:

methodological development

& timeframe

23


The icp 2011 round

Methodological Development

24


Timetable for the development of product lists
Timetable for the Development of Product Lists

August

Sept.

Oct.

2010

July

Submission of Country’s Input on GCL

15

Submission of Matrix of Importance of GCL Items

15

Submission of Consolidated Regional Lists

15

Submission of Matrix of Importance of Regional Items

30


National accounts timetable
National Accounts Timetable

2011

2012

2013

2010

Major aggregates for latest year possible

J

N

J

N

BH details for final cons. aggregates for latest year possible

J

Values for all BHs

N

J

Preliminary data for 2010

J

Major aggregates for 2011

J

O

M

BH values for 2011

J

O

M

M= May; J= July; O= October; N=November


Overall timetable
Overall Timetable

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

1. Meetings

2. Quality Assess.

3. Methodologies

4. Survey Prep.

5. Survey Implement.

6. Nat. Accounts

7. Regional Results

8. Global Results


The icp 2011 round

Part VIII

The Way Forward

28


October 2010 meetings in washington dc
October 2010 Meetings in Washington DC


The icp 2011 round

The Way Forward

  • A report to the United Nations Statistical Commission [UNSC] on country readiness for field and desk activities. The report will be prepared in November and discussed at the  42nd session of the Statistical Commission in New York in February-March 2011

  • The main surveys for household consumption items will start in all the regions in the first quarter of 2011

  • The 4th meeting of the ICP Executive Board will take place in April 2011 to review preliminary regional reports on the launch of the main surveys in the countries and decide any remedial measures where necessary


The icp 2011 round

Thanks

THANKS