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The Changing Demographics In Southeast Michigan . Xuan Liu November 13, 2008. Outline. Regional Population Trends Structural Changes of Population by Age Variations by Community Implications. Regional Population Trends. Population History.

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slide1

The Changing Demographics

In Southeast Michigan

Xuan Liu

November 13, 2008

outline
Outline
  • Regional Population Trends
  • Structural Changes of Population by Age
  • Variations by Community
  • Implications
population and annual net migration southeast michigan 2001 2035
Population and Annual Net MigrationSoutheast Michigan, 2001-2035

5,100,000

5,000,000

4,900,000

4,800,000

20,000

10,000

0

-10,000

-20,000

-30,000

2013

2001

2014

2031

2021

2009

2025

2017

2034

2011

2022

2003

2019

2029

2020

2004

2005

2016

2023

2032

2033

2035

2024

2008

2010

2026

2002

2012

2018

2028

2030

2015

2006

2007

2027

Source: SEMCOG 2035 Regional Development Forecast

slide8

Structural Change

Of

Population Age Groups

regional implications
Regional Implications

1. Dramatic increase of senior population

2. Labor shortage

3. Decline of school enrollment

2035

three groups of seniors
Three Groups of Seniors

2008

Young-Seniors (65-74)

Mature-Seniors (75+)

migration by age southeast michigan 1995 2000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

Number of Persons

0

-5,000

-10,000

-15,000

-20,000

5 - 9

10 -

15 -

20 -

25 -

30 -

35 -

40 -

45 -

50 -

55 -

60 -

65 -

70 -

75 -

80 -

85+

14

19

24

29

34

39

44

49

54

59

64

69

74

79

84

Age in 2000 (age 5 and over)

International In-Migration

Migration by AgeSoutheast Michigan, 1995-2000

Source: Census 2000

slide17

Migration by AgeSoutheast Michigan, 1995-2000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

Number of Persons

0

-5,000

-10,000

-15,000

-20,000

5 - 9

10 -

15 -

20 -

25 -

30 -

35 -

40 -

45 -

50 -

55 -

60 -

65 -

70 -

75 -

80 -

85+

14

19

24

29

34

39

44

49

54

59

64

69

74

79

84

Age in 2000 (age 5 and over)

Source: Census 2000

International In-Migration

Net Domestic Migration

slide20

Population Age GroupsSoutheast Michigan, 2005 and 2035

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

0 to 24

25 to 44

45 to 64

65 plus

2005

2035

Source: SEMCOG 2035 Regional Development Forecast

percent population 65 2000
Percent Population 65+, 2000

10% or less (109)

More than 10% to 15% (92)

More than 15% to 20% (23)

More than 20% to 25% (7)

More than 25% (2)

percent population 65 2015
Percent Population 65+, 2015

10% or less (1 vs. 109)

More than 10% to 15% (126 vs. 92)

More than 15% to 20% (79 vs. 23)

More than 20% to 25% (25 vs. 7)

More than 25% (2 vs. 2)

percent population 65 2035
Percent Population 65+, 2035

10% or less (0)

More than 10% to 15% (0)

More than 15% to 20% (27)

More than 20% to 25% (114)

More than 25% (92)

percent population 65
Percent Population 65+

2000

2035

10% or less

More than 10% to 15%

More than 15% to 20%

More than 20% to 25%

More than 25%

opportunities
Opportunities
  • Significant consumers in the market
  • Senior oriented business growth, and support of new businesses
  • Community engagement and volunteerism

“Aging in place!” Keep our seniors!

challenges
Challenges
  • Health Care – Physical and Mental
  • Housing – Availability, Affordability, Modification, and Maintenance
  • Transportation – Accessibility, Walkability, and Transit
  • Services and Safety - Public and Private
  • Quality of Life and Recreation

Build high-quality communities!

challenges34
Challenges
  • Health Care – Physical and Mental
  • Housing – Availability, Affordability, Modification, and Maintenance
  • Transportation – Accessibility, Walkability, and Transit
  • Services and Safety - Public and Private
  • Quality of Life and Recreation

Build high-quality communities!

challenges36
Challenges
  • Health Care – Physical and Mental
  • Housing – Availability, Affordability, Modification, and Maintenance
  • Transportation – Accessibility, Walkability, and Transit
  • Services and Safety - Public and Private
  • Quality of Life and Recreation

Build high-quality communities!

slide37

Get Ready!

Here they come !

additional data
Additional Data
  • Age Forecast by Community
  • Community Profiles at www.semcog.org
  • 2035 SEMCOG Forecast