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Why Breakout?

This breakout session will focus on the results obtained from breakout sessions, forming the core content for a 5-year strategic plan. It will identify priority research, modeling, and synthesis activities to predict climate-related impacts on fish and wildlife populations in the Arctic.

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Why Breakout?

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  1. Why Breakout? Breakout session results will form the core content for a 5-year strategic plan that identifies the priority research, modeling, and synthesis activities needed to predict climate-related impacts to fish and wildlife populations in the Arctic

  2. Sideboards/Scope • Terrestrial and Freshwater Systems of the North Slope • Coastal Processes - Will affect some spp

  3. Focal Issues • Change in relative abundance and distribution of habitat types • Change in structural or physical characteristics of habitat • Change in trophic systems, phenology, and forage/prey availability

  4. ClimateScenarios Hydrologic Processes Ecosystem Change Pathways BreakoutSession I What species are sensitive indicators of hypothesized changes in habitat availability? What species/parameters are sensitive indicators of hypothesized changes in habitat availability?

  5. Coastal Barrens – Tidal/Deltaic Moist Sedge- Shrub Coastal Barrens – Salt-killed Riverine Tall Alder-Willow Shrub Deep Lake (> 1.5m) Wet Sedge Coastal Wet Sedge Riverine Sedge, Low/Dwarf Shrub Shallow Lake (< 1.5 m) Tussock Tundra Riverine Barrens Lacustrine Marsh (Arctophila) Shrubby Tussock Tundra Low Birch- Willow Shrub Lacustrine Marsh (Carex) Birds - Summer Solar Radiation Precipitation Temperature Climate Permafrost  Thermokarst Active layer Coastal Erosion  Storm frequency Sea-level rise Hydrologic Water Balance Surface storage Physical Processes Freshwater Terrestrial Marine Coastal Water – Lagoon Riverine Waters Bird Habitat Availability/Suitability

  6. Upland Tussock Tundra shift to Upland Shrubby Tussock Tundra

  7. Species or Species Group Projected Change in Habitat Availability Parameter (e.g., growth rate, distribution, abundance, etc.) Positive or Negative Effect Rationale for Strong Predicted Effect Red Phalarope and Pectoral Sandpiper Less lowland wet sedge due to drier summer condition Distribution, breeding density, breeding success Negative Breeding habitat association with wet sedge. Loss of habitat would limit distribution & abundance; lower invertebrate productivity could reduce breeding success.

  8. Managers’ BreakoutSession • Discuss collaboration among research and resource agencies • Develop collaborative process

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