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Skills Assessments

Skills Assessments. East Renfrewshire December 2016. Introduction. An Introduction to Skills Assessments Key Data for East Renfrewshire Implications for Skills Investment Planning. An Introduction to Skills Assessments. What are Skills Assessments?.

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Skills Assessments

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  1. Skills Assessments East Renfrewshire December 2016

  2. Introduction • An Introduction to Skills Assessments • Key Data for East Renfrewshire • Implications for Skills Investment Planning

  3. An Introduction to Skills Assessments

  4. What are Skills Assessments? • A single, agreed evidence base on which to base future investment in skills, built up from existing datasets • Partnership between Skills Development Scotland, Highlands and Islands Enterprise, Scottish Enterprise, the Scottish Funding Council (SFC) and the Scottish Local Authorities Economic Development Group • Purpose: • Support SFC, Regional Colleges, Strategic Bodies and College Boards in negotiating Regional Outcome Agreements (ROAs) for Academic Years 2017-2020 • Provide a framework for aligning SDS investment in individuals and businesses • Assist partners in planning their strategic investment in skills • Highlight gaps in national and regional skills evidence

  5. Why are they important for skills planning? • They provide a high quality and consistent source of evidence about economic and skills performance delivery at various spatial levels. • They can be used to identify strengths and any issues or mismatches arising, and so inform thinking about future planning and investment. • They are accessible online to support all partners in their planning. • They provide a core evidence base to support the Scottish Skills Planning Model.

  6. Scottish Skills Planning Model

  7. What do they cover? • Economic Performance, Profile of the Workforce, People and Skills, Education and Training (MAs, Schools, FE and HE), Other Economic Activity, Skills Mismatches and Forecasting • Underpinned by the 2016 data matrix of 7 workbooks, containing data on over 100 social and economic indicators • With data at various spatial levels: Regions; City Region Deal; Local Authority • The matrix only draws upon official datasets (including APS, BRES, UKCES, UK Business Counts, Census, Scot Gov datasets) and partner data (SFC, SDS, SE, HIE). • The data matrix is found here: https://www.skillsdevelopmentscotland.co.uk/what-we-do/partnerships/regional-skills-assessments/ • This slidepack provides a summary of the data for this area

  8. Local Authority Overview • Overall, East Renfrewshire has above average levels of economic activity and employment rates • However, it is dependent to a large extent on the wider regional economy ( i.e. Glasgow City) and the public sector as a source of employment • Pockets of persistent deprivation exist (e.g. Barrhead and Neilston) • The long term reduction of the working age population raises potential issues for sustained growth

  9. Business Trends

  10. Workforce Trends Note: Data on total employment relates to 2014, having been prepared in advance of 2015 BRES release.

  11. Population and Projections • Total population set to increase by 3,357 (+4% compared to +9% nationally) • Working age population set to decline in East Renfrewshire by 11% during this period

  12. Employment and Unemployment

  13. Qualifications and Earnings

  14. Modern Apprenticeships Schools Education and Training

  15. Further and Higher Education HE/FE data is available at regional level only. Data relates to enrolments at FE and HE Institutions in East Dunbartonshire, East Renfrewshire and Glasgow, not residents unless otherwise stated. Data provided by SFC and HESA

  16. Jobs and Skills Changes (1) Total employment (jobs) is forecast to increase by 0.4% on average each year from 2016 to 2024, an equivalent rate of 0.2% growth is expected for Scotland as a whole. This growth equates to 500 additional jobs in the region by 2024. The construction sector is expected to have growth of 300 jobs whilst administrative and support activities and professional, scientific and technical activities are expected to experience growth of 200 jobs each over the forecast. However such gains will be offset by falling employment within the public and education sectors both of which are expected to fall by 200 over the forecast along with a decrease in the manufacturing sector (100 jobs). Total Employment Growth East Renfrewshire Employment % annual average change Change in total jobs (‘000s), 2016-2024 Note: chart uses total employment (jobs) rather than total employment (people). The former figure will be higher as a person can have more than one job. Source: ONS / Oxford Economics

  17. Jobs and Skills Changes (2) Replacement demand will result in 12,700 openings within East Renfrewshire over the forecast period. Expansion demand is expected to grow by 300 openings between 2016-2024. Together with replacement demand, this will result in 13,000 openings over the period. Most openings will be in professional and caring, leisure and other service occupations, driven by replacement demand. The total requirement for workers in elementary and associate professional and technical occupations is also expected to rise significantly over the 2016-24 period, driven largely by replacement demand. • Notes: • table uses total requirement (people) • totals may vary from previous slide due to rounding within the body of the table • Source: Oxford Economics

  18. Implications for Skills Investment Planning

  19. East Renfrewshire: Key Implications (1) .

  20. East Renfrewshire: Key Implications (2) .

  21. East Renfrewshire: Key Implications (3) .

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