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Firewise 2006 Staying Alive in Santa Fe During a Wildfire

Firewise 2006 Staying Alive in Santa Fe During a Wildfire. Shelley Nolde Rossbach , Santa Fe FD Chris White , Anchor Point Group Stephen Guerin , Redfish Group. City of Santa Fe Wildland Urban Interface. Wildland Fire Hazard and Risk Analysis. Prepared for: Santa Fe Fire Department

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Firewise 2006 Staying Alive in Santa Fe During a Wildfire

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  1. Firewise 2006Staying Alive in Santa Fe During a Wildfire Shelley Nolde Rossbach, Santa Fe FD Chris White, Anchor Point Group Stephen Guerin, Redfish Group

  2. City of Santa Fe Wildland Urban Interface Wildland Fire Hazard and Risk Analysis Prepared for: Santa Fe Fire Department Santa Fe, New Mexico Submitted By: Anchor Point Boulder, Colorado May 2006

  3. Flame Length – Extreme Conditions

  4. Rate of Spread – Average Conditions

  5. Rate of Spread – Extreme Conditions

  6. Crown Fire – Average Conditions

  7. Crown Fire – Extreme Conditions

  8. Agent-Based Modeling of Wildfire Evacuation Joshua Thorp, RedfishGroup, Santa Fe, NM Stephen Guerin, RedfishGroup, Santa Fe, NM Frank Wimberly, RedfishGroup, Santa Fe, NM Michelle Rossbach, City of Santa Fe Fire Department Owen Densmore, RedfishGroup, Santa Fe, NM Michael Agar, Ethknoworks, Santa Fe, NM Douglas Roberts, RTI International, Nambe, NM

  9. Modeling questions and uses • Modeling wildfire • Modeling traffic • Tool workflow and gaps • Future Directions

  10. Shelter-In-Place Controversy • Cova, T.J., Dennison, P.E., Kim, T.H., and Moritz, M.A. (2005) Setting wildfire evacuation trigger-points using fire spread modeling and GIS. Transactions in GIS, 9(4): 603-617 • Emerging Issues in Wildland Fire Protection. When Wildfire Threatens: Should Residents Stay or Evacuate? Journal of the National Fire Protection Association. Wildland Fire Management Section. October, 2004. • Lindroth, R. (2004). Community defense from wildfire, an international comparison. An applied research project submitted to the National Fire Academy as part of the July, 2004 Leading Community Risk Reduction course. • Oaks, D. (2000). Fight or Flight? Fire Chief. April 1, 2000

  11. Photo courtesy of Don Pearman Cova (2006)

  12. Modeling questions and uses • Modeling wildfire • Modeling traffic • Tool workflow and gaps • Future Directions

  13. “Time of Arrival” Map

  14. Modeling questions and uses • Modeling wildfire • Modeling traffic • Tool workflow and gaps • Future Directions

  15. Empirical Traffic Flows for Calibration

  16. Cova, T.J., and Church, R.L. (1997) Modelling community evacuation vulnerability using GIS. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 11(8): 763-784 Cova, T.J., and Johnson, J.P. (2002) Microsimulation of neighborhood evacuations in the urban-wildland interface. Environment and Planning A, 34(12): 2211-2229 Cova, T.J., and Johnson, J.P. (2003) A network flow model for lane-based evacuation routing. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 37(7): 579-604 Cova, T.J. (2005) Public safety in the urban-wildland interface: Should fire-prone communities have a maximum occupancy? Natural Hazards Review, 6(3): 99-108 Cova, T.J., Dennison, P.E., Kim, T.H., and Moritz, M.A. (2005) Setting wildfire evacuation trigger-points using fire spread modeling and GIS. Transactions in GIS, 9(4): 603-617

  17. Modeling questions and uses • Modeling wildfire • Modeling traffic • Tool workflow and gaps • Future Directions

  18. future work • Augmented reality table for sand table exercises • Collaboration with Sandia Labs - Data Analysis & Visualization Group

  19. Firewise 2006Staying Alive in Santa Fe During a WildfireAgent-Based Modeling of Wildfire Evacuation Shelley Nolde Rossbach, Santa Fe FD Chris White, Anchor Point Group Stephen Guerin, Redfish Group

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