The Demand Response Baseline Alberta Electric System Operator – Demand Response Working Group December 9, 2008 Kenneth D. Schisler Senior Director, Regulatory Affairs and Public Policy. EnerNOC: Overview.
The Demand Response Baseline Alberta Electric System Operator – Demand Response Working GroupDecember 9, 2008Kenneth D. SchislerSenior Director, Regulatory Affairs and Public Policy
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*As of 9/30/08
**As of 6/30/08
Baseline must provide customers with credit for no more and no less than their actual curtailment.
Baseline calculations must not encourage nor be influenced by manipulation.
Baseline and performance calculations must be simple enough for all stakeholders to calculate.
Baseline design must facilitate performance in line with goals and the interests of all stakeholders.
AlignmentBaseline Qualities – Finding the Right Balance
Consider a regression calculation:
When considering different approaches, an effective baseline methodology must balance the four key qualities.
While baseline calculations include a wide range of potential components, we believe the following three are most important:
AlignmentBaseline Shape – What We’ve Learned
Profile baselines represent the true shape of a customer’s demand curve while appropriately balancing accuracy, integrity, simplicity and alignment.
Applying Exclusion Rules at the individual customer level is critical.
1 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, “Estimating Demand Response Load Impacts: Evaluation of Baseline Load Models for Non-Residential Buildings in California”, January 2008, page 25
Event from 2-4pm, anticipatory action reduces performance from 700kW to less than 100kW
Upward adjustments prevent the perverse outcomes associated with downward corrections for day-of demand conditions.
AlignmentRecommended Baseline Methodology – A Curtailment Service Provider’s Perspective
The balance between accuracy, integrity, simplicity and alignment in a baseline methodology is critical to the success of a DR program.
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