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Presentation to Public Hearing on IRP 2010 Rev 2. Hilton Trollip Senior Research Associate Economic Governance Programme Idasa. Reference to international experience. Explanation / justification of approach Implementation of chosen approach Engagement Interactive vs one-way processes

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Presentation to public hearing on irp 2010 rev 2

Presentation to Public Hearing on IRP 2010 Rev 2

Hilton Trollip

Senior Research Associate

Economic Governance Programme

Idasa


Reference to international experience
Reference to international experience

  • Explanation / justification of approach

  • Implementation of chosen approach

  • Engagement

    • Interactive vs one-way processes

    • Definition of stakeholders

    • Formulation of objectives

  • Passive vs active attitude to information

    • interests

    • expertise

  • Regulatory capture


Eedsm
EEDSM

  • History of IRP

  • “may only scratch the surface”

  • Modelling

  • Linkages


Transmission and distribution
Transmission and distribution

  • Effects of transmission not being adequately incorporated

  • Effects of distribution not being incorporated

    (both on)

    • Assessment of alternatives


Linkages
Linkages

  • Linkages with South African economic policy

  • Macro-economic allocation

    • Differential economic cost/benefit

  • Socio-economics

  • Other policy / planning process

    • DoE processes

    • Other Government processes

    • Information in public domain

  • International context



MCDF

  • What does reported process reveal ?

    “These preferences are by nature subjective, but by including numerous stakeholders in the workshops determining these preferences a broad and inclusive approach to the values can be determined.”

    “This process should include a broad range of stakeholders to capture all the preferences.”


Alternative scenarios
Alternative scenarios

  • GHG , renewable energy

  • Generation cost estimates

    • all relevant technologies

  • Quantification / modeling…

  • What confidence does the process inspire that an adequate range of relevant alternative scenarios have been explored?


Next steps
Next steps

  • Information behind timelines

  • Risks


Combined impacts
Combined impacts

  • EEDSM

  • Transmission

  • Distribution

  • Interactive engagement

  • Definition of stakeholders

  • Generation costs

  • Economic linkages


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