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3.1.4 Models…

Note : The models of growth will be discussed later. Use this PPT to learn about Population Pyramids and stages of growth. . http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:World-Population-1800-2100.png. 3.1.4 Models…. Model : a simplified structuring of reality Malthusian Boserup UN Statistics

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3.1.4 Models…

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  1. Note: The models of growth will be discussed later. Use this PPT to learn about Population Pyramids and stages of growth.

  2. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:World-Population-1800-2100.pnghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:World-Population-1800-2100.png 3.1.4 Models… • Model: a simplified structuring of reality • Malthusian • Boserup • UN Statistics • U.S. Census Bureau • Age/Sex Pyramids • DTM • Only as good as the data inputted • Boundary conditions • Easier to understand • Useful for predictions

  3. http://www.fordham.edu/halsall/mod/lect/malthus.gif 3.1.1 Malthusian Theory • Thomas Malthus An Essay on the Principle of Population (1798) • Food is the limiting factor • Exponential population growth vs. arithmetic food growth • Refers to environmental limits • The Club of Rome (NGO) is neo-Malthusian • Limitations of Malthusian theory • Ignores the poor (most affected; likely distribution problems) • Agrarian technology – football pitch produces for 1000 people • Globalization – import/export

  4. http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/7/74/Graph_boserup.JPGhttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/7/74/Graph_boserup.JPG 3.1.1 Boserup’s Theory • Esther Boserup, Danish economist (1965) • Increasing population → increasing food production (technology) • “necessity is the mother of invention” • Refers to cultural & tech issues • Limitations of Boserup’s theory • Like Malthus, infers “closed” system (immigration/emigration) • Globalization – import/export • Overpopulation can lead to unsustainable farming

  5. 3.1.3 Age/Sex Pyramids • Shows living individuals in different, 5-year cohorts (groups) in a country for a given year • Split into male/female • Population on x-axis, age groups on y-axis • Shape indicates stage of development in a country at a particular time. CHINA AUSTRALIA

  6. Retrieved on 03-11-2011 from: http://geographyfieldwork.com/Pop4.gif 3.1.3 Age/Sex Pyramids(cont’d)

  7. http://www.geogonline.org.uk/as_g2popdtm.htm 3.1.3 Demographic Transition Model

  8. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:DTM_Pyramids.svg Indicators in Development

  9. Retrieved 12-12-2012 from: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/11/World_population_(UN).svg/300px-World_population_(UN).svg.png 3.1.4 Predictions • BBC: 7 000 000 000 People

  10. 3.1.4 Predictions

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