Siaya – Vihiga Survey Data Collection and Analysis

1. Siaya – Vihiga Survey Data Collection and Analysis Reminder: Baselines had been collected for 120 households in 2000 (but matching in different surveys was not perfect) so about 110 were useable. Follow up in 2002: consumption, assets, expenditure (non-food) done in April to match 2000 calendar) – 103 households are fully intact with requisite data Follow up in September 2002 for land use and production data Follow up in December 2002 - January 2003 for market and credit transactions

2. Comparison of Chronic Poverty Using Different Measures in Siaya-Vihiga Villages

3. Comparison of chronically poor under the protein intake and non-food expenditure definitions (% of households)

4. Comparison of chronically poor under the protein intake and asset coverage definitions (% of households)

5. Identifying the Chronic Poor Obviously dependent on measures and criteria What to do when there are large trends – for instance a general worsening in poverty (and consequence rise in importance of transitory poverty)? For qualitative sampling – best to use households that qualify under more than one definition? The 2-year panel seems to differ with qualitative case studies that seem to imply long-term transmission and reinforcement of poverty

6. Characteristics of the Chronic Poor Two factors were robust: secondary education and previous employment in formal sector Many other factors depended on measure of poverty: gender, ethnicity, family size Non-factors were: farm size

7. Agricultural Consequences of Chronic Poverty Significant differences are noted between the chronic poor and the non-poor; but chronic and tranistory poor appear to be similar in many respects Behaviour associated uniquely with the chronic poor: Use of fertilizer (amounts too) Behaviour associated with chronic and transient poor: Use of hybrids, use of credit, cultivation of cash crops, hiring of labour, use of animal manure

8. Adoption of improved fallows by poverty classification