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No Impact

METOC Impacts. VT: 07/21Z (06/06L) JANUARY 05 – 08/21Z (07/06L) JANUARY 05. Utapao, Thailand. Dawei, Burma. Madras, India. Kadena AFB, Okinawa. Male, Maldives. Colombo, Sri Lanka. Manila, Philippines. Phuket, Thailand. Banda Aceh, Indonesia. Impact Legend. No Impact.

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No Impact

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  1. METOCImpacts VT: 07/21Z (06/06L) JANUARY 05 – 08/21Z (07/06L) JANUARY 05 Utapao, Thailand Dawei, Burma Madras, India Kadena AFB, Okinawa Male, Maldives Colombo, Sri Lanka Manila, Philippines Phuket, Thailand Banda Aceh, Indonesia Impact Legend No Impact Marginal Impact Significant Impact Remarks: 1. Colombo Sri Lanka : Marginal impacts on aviation - Isolated Thunderstorms, eastern side of Sri Lanka increased Thunderstorm and rain shower activity and possible flash flooding. 2. Banda Aceh: Marginal Impacts on aviation - Scattered Thunderstorms, rain showers, low ceilings. 3. U-Taphao and Dawei: Marginal Impacts on aviation – 1 - 3 NM visibility in haze and morning fog. 4. Phuket: Marginal impacts on aviation – Isolated afternoon Thunderstorms, low ceilings, and visibility. 5. All areas in the AOR will have Marginal IMPACTS ON PERSONEL with daytime temperatures exceeding 85F.

  2. Indonesia • UN-resourced camps to house 500K IDPs vic Banda Aceh (PIR 1-3) • All hospitals shown operational, but need supplies(PIR 1,2) • Medan – Meulaboh road now open (PIR 3) • Passes through GAM stronghold territory • TNI is less than fully cooperative with CSF operations, but not threatening CSF forces (PIR 4) • GAM kills 3 TNI relief soldiers vic Banda Aceh, fires on soldiers & tsunami victims (PIR 4) Kesden (Military) Known Obstacle IDP Camps Banda Aceh Cut Meutia Sigli Lamno Calang Meulaboh Medan Blangpidie Sibolga Assessment: GAM & Islamic extremists unlikely to interfere with CSF forces in near term. Attacks on relief efforts (theft) remains greatest threat to IDPs and HA organizations. UNCLASSIFIED

  3. Indonesia • Laskar Mujahidin – Extremist group with Al-Qaida links • Established a camp vic Banda Aceh • Camp sign posted in English: “Islamic Law Enforcement” • Killed 9,000 Christians from 1999-2001 in Indonesia’s Maluku Islands • From Indonesia’s main island of Java Jakarta Malukus Java Sumatra Assessment: Laskar Mujahidin will use humanitarian mission to gain support from fiercely independent Acehnese who have driven out similar groups in recent years. Laskar Mujahidin will attempt to “stoke anti-western sentiment” and wait for signs of waning public support to outside relief efforts before seeking opportunities to attack.

  4. Sri Lanka • Sri Lankan Govt: Massive aid influx drops number of IDPs sharply from 800,000+ (PIR 1) • All four hospitals vic Ampara destroyed/ damaged beyond use (PIR 1) • 798 total IDP camps, conc. along E coast and vic Galle (PIR 1) • Infectious disease spread reporting - acute diarrhea, conc. in 30 camps vic Batticaloa. Possible Cholera(PIR 2) • Pro LTTE Tamil accuses US Marines sent to Sri Lanka of a spying mission (PIR 4) • LTTE denies access of SLA troops supplying aid to IDPs (PIR 4) 0 30 60 nm Jaffna LTTE Controlled Trincomalee Most Damaged Districts Prev LTTE Atk Batticaloa Colombo Ampara Hambantota Galle Matara Assessment: Disease outbreaks expected in near future. Greatest threat remains inadvertent involvement in LTTE attacks against SLA targets.

  5. Thailand • Transition from body recovery to clearing and reconstruction in Khoa Lak, Phangnga, & Phuket (PIR 1,3) • Search for bodies transitions to outlying islands (PIR 2) • 6 provinces experiencing increased disease levels: (PIR 2) • Phuket, Phangnga, Krabi, Ranong, Satun and Trang Ranong Krabi Phangnga Phuket Trang Satun

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