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Crime Prevention and Perception (CP 2 ). Camila Alvarado, Cal Burton, Vivey Chen, Jessica Cutler, Sasha Derkacheva, Luciana Debenedetti, Valentina Lopez, Stephanie von Numers. Mentor: Dr. Charles Wellford . Property Crime. Burglary Breaking and entering to commit felony or theft Larceny
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Crime Prevention and Perception (CP2) Camila Alvarado, Cal Burton, Vivey Chen, Jessica Cutler, Sasha Derkacheva, Luciana Debenedetti, Valentina Lopez, Stephanie von Numers Mentor: Dr. Charles Wellford
Property Crime • Burglary • Breaking and entering to commit felony or theft • Larceny • Theft • Taking away of property • Robbery • Theft by force or threat of force
District I College Park April - September Source: Prince George’s Police Department Crime Report
The Diamondback November 11, 2008 “Incidents of violent and property crime so far this year have fallen well below the six-year averages, but improving statistics have not necessarily translated into a greater perception of safety.” • "Perception can't be discounted even though crime rates are down." - University Police Spokesperson Paul Dillon
The Importance of Perception • Research has shown that fear of crime may lead to: • Psychological effects • Avoidance behavior • Fear of crime negatively affects neighborhood cohesion. • Interpersonal distrust • Leads to greater amount of crime
Source: http://professionals.collegeboard.com/data-reports-research/trends/studentpoll/millennial/college-choice
Routine Activity Theory There are three aspects that converge to create a direct contact crime:
Research Questions 1. What is the relationship between a routine activity-based intervention that addresses target vulnerability, and the rate of property crime and robberies in off-campus student residential areas? 2. What is the relationship between a routine activity-intervention based that addresses target vulnerability and student’s perception of crime?
Beat Map- District 1 Source: http://www.princegeorgescountymd.gov/Government/PublicSafety/Police/pdfs/Dist-I-Beats.pdf
ArcGIS Map of College Park, MD Property crimes reported from Jan 07 – Apr 08 Larceny Burglary Robbery
Clustering Kernel Density Estimation Nearest Neighborhood Hierarchical Clustering
Methodology Overview • Longitudinal case study • Quasi-experimental nonrandomized control group pretest-posttest design
Contact UMPD and • PGCPD C • Obtain crime data C • Plot crime data on map C • Highlight areas of high • crime C Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Spatial analysis of hot spots C • Select potential intervention sites C • Contact landlords 6 Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Develop physical site assessment survey 6 • Research and enroll in relevant courses: • CPTED evaluation C • Survey design C • Interview techniques Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Physical site assessment of selected area • Survey design C • Submit final thesis proposal C • Submit proposal to IRB C Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Door-to-door volunteer recruitment • Conduct pre-survey • Demographic info • Security concerns • Crime awareness • Social cohesion • Bias identification • Recruitment for focus • group Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Problem Oriented Policing (POP) • Determine appropriate intervention set • Physical • Social Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Implement physical intervention Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Implement and maintain physical intervention • Implement social intervention Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Continue to collect crime data • Conduct post-intervention survey • Final focus group Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Data analysis • Survey Results • Focus Results • Crime Data • Begin Writing Thesis Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Final Thesis Presentation Spring 2009 Fall 2009 Spring 2010 Fall 2011 Spring 2011 Fall 2008
Expert Opinions • Susan Riesling • University of Wisconsin, Chief of Police • Bob Ryan • City of College Park, Director of Public Services • Stephen Kowa • UMD Police, Lieutenant • Larry Voltz • UMD Police, Major • Dr. John Morgan • Deputy Director, National Institute of Justice • Dr. Jean McGloin • UMD Assistant Criminology and Criminal Justice Professor • Phil Canter • Chief Statistician, Analysis Unit, Baltimore County Police Department • Dr. Richard Valliant • UMD Joint Program in Survey Methodology