Professeur Dr. André MAÏSSEU WONUC

1. Professeur Dr. André MAÏSSEU WONUC INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE

2. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Left hemisphere: activities such as Analyzing, calculating, Classifying... 1 Right hemisphere: in a more comprehensive way and referring to symbols 2 None hemisphere superior to the other Two hemispheres on equal footing and endowed with good connections 3 Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

3. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE FACTS 1 SYMBOLS 2 Man is an amphibious living simultenaously in two different worlds Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

4. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Rational persons As scientists or engineers, live closer to the dry world of facts Judgement of value based on elaborate and differenciated quantitative analysis World of facts Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

5. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Majority of mankind Judgement of value formulated on basis of overall comparison with pre-existing symbols Majority live in an ocean of symbols World of Symbols Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

6. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE 2 4 3 1 Magic transmutation of matter (Alchimists’ dream) Prometheus punishment due to appropriation of energy which is a prerogative of god or the sun Tremendous power stored in a small amount of matter Production of infinitely toxic waste In the past, thosesymbolswerebasedexclusively on mere fiction. Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

7. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE 6 5 Insidious nature of invisible radiation likely to destroy everything (the « death » radiation), likely the geneticpotential Sorcerer’sapprenticeovertaken by hisown invention Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

8. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Hiroshima and Chernobyl have awakened in mankind these symbols stemming from religion, magic, superstition, mythologies, frightening or fascinating humanity since millenniums. In a view of someevents, unconscious contents mayinvade and evenoverwhelmconsciousness and inducestrangebehaviour. For nuclearenergy, the problem lies in thosebrainactivitieswhich are not under the control of consciousness. Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

9. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Value perceptions of “Dread” and “Unknown” Voluntary risks are accepted Involontary risks are not Risk perception and Public opinion Text Text Text Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

10. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Crowd acts by the expression of a common emotion Public acts by discussion Mass acts by simultaneous and independant actions of the participants

11. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Mass “choices” can have powerful effects on society More than fifty years of unconscious constructivism with movies, press articles, TV programmes, etc… have built up a pseudo-reality for Chernobyl, people will then unconsciously endeavour to make reality coincide with their own preconceptions Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

12. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE We enter in an aera of uncertainty, which is characterized by an increasing overload of contradictory or misinterpreted information. People won’t know any more either whom or what to believe Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

13. « FEW PEOPLE REALLY THINK, BUT EVERYONE HAS AN OPINION» Berkeley INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE It is no longer necessary to be a learnedperson to participate in a scientificdebate. It issufficient to be arrogant. Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

14. SELF ORGANIZATION OF COLLECTIVE MIND INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE 1 5 3 2 4 4 Self-organizing of social mamalsfollows simple mathematical structures whichsuggestthatitcouldbealsoexpected in human society. Mathematical structures Crowds are composed of small groups From facts to symbols and “vice versa” Scale of levels structured system complexity Minority is able to change majority’s opinion Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

15. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE ◆Someauthorsused the Shannon definition of entropy to value the increasedorganization of « collective information » ◆Initial non-organized structure mindmightbedescribed by analogywith the random motion of gasmolecules. Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

16. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Average information has no sense for organization of collective mind. SIMILITUDE of Clausius’sentropy formula and Shannon’sentropy formula givesNO VALIDITY to someidentitybetweenthesetwodifferenttopics Shannon definition of entropymeasures the uncertaintyassociatedwith a random variable. It is a valuation of the average (missing) information Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

17. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE What Is Entropy ? The total loss of efficiency is a measure of the increase in entropy. (de Rosnay) E = W ∆ S = 0 ORDER = 1 E = W + Q ∆ S  ORDER = n Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

18. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Maxwell « devil » paradox « Maxwell » devilmayincreaseorderentropy (Clausius definition) withoutwork. Maxwell forgot his devil must know the colour of the ball !!! Information! Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

19. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE A direct valuation of the entropy of information sets in the framework of thermodynamics laws will found a direct identity between Clausius “entropy” and Shannon “entropy” Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

20. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Every knowledge quantum has an “intrinsic originality” Qi. The total value of the amount of information is The increase dU of information of the paradigm is equal to Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

21. C = [(Ni + Gi – 1)]! / (Ni)! (Gi - 1) ! C = [(Ni + Gi – 1)]! / (Ni)! (Gi - 1) ! C = [(Ni + Gi – 1)]! / (Ni)! (Gi - 1) ! C = [(Ni + Gi – 1)]! / (Ni)! (Gi - 1) ! C = [(Ni + Gi – 1)]! / (Ni)! (Gi - 1) ! E = i Gi Qi e- Qi INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE • Let’s add a second parameter Gi, as the relative creativity of information stored in Archimedes, Beethoven, Champollion, etc... or Joe Public, « the man in the street » • E = f(Ni, Qi, Gi) The number of possible collision may be valued by in Combinational Analysis C = [(Ni + Gi – 1)]! / (Ni)! (Gi - 1) ! -Qi E = i Gi Qi e Expression of negentropy of information Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

22. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Faced with the no-ordered distribution mood about nuclear risks (Bose Einstein distribution), the Demon – information system - introduces order (homogeneous opinion grouping) which is described by negentropy of information Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

23. From a «virgin» information system to an «organized» information system INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

24. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE The expected number of clusters in a “virgin” public mood (without previous information) is ni  is the number of cluster i gi  is the information status of the cluster εi  is the position on the friendly/hostile attitude scale share by the i-th state μ is the relative creativity of the cognitive framework of the cluster i Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

25. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE When information flows to the grand public, regarding the value of the relative creativity of every cluster, it will move step by step to a Fermi Dirac distribution. For each information status, there is one and only one position on the friendly/hostile attitude scale, which does mean every level is occupied Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

26. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE The expected number of clusters in an “perfect informed” public mood is ni  is the number of cluster i gi  is the information status of the cluster εi  is the position on the friendly/hostile attitude scale share by the i-th state μ is the relative creativity of the cognitive framework of the cluster i Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

27. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE The evolution from the Bose Einstein distribution to the Fermi Dirac distribution can be valued by the valuation of the fuzzy entropy of the transient state. Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

28. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE In the FCM, under the normalization constraint of c,i=1uik=1, k, We may introduce fuzzy entropy LLE to the Lagrange function LFCM with the Lagrange multiplier  and rewrite the Lagrange function as L = LFCM - LLE The distribution function becomes: Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

29. Valuation of entropy the public mood INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Let use the Fermi Dirac statisticsto value the entropy of an perfect organized public mood Let use the Bose Einstein statistics to value the entropy of a virgin public mood The reality will be between Bose-Einstein and Fermi-Dirac distributionMeasured by BEETWEN  is a fuzzy number which measured the distance between the intrinsic quality of information and its relative creativity

30. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE This approach to the negentropy of the perception of individuals is in line with the framework of systemic analysis considering the concept of negentropy, which Norbert Weiner described as a physical result of information and as descriptive of the cohesion of a group. Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

31. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE From individual behaviour to collective behaviour The insertion of agents into societal networks is not a rigid phenomenon but rather a phenomenon that evolves with the respective culture and life experiences of the persons. The social network, constituting the end result of individual relationships, is thus the object of a general dynamic, generated by the progressive/changing nature of individual learning behaviours. Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

32. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE From individual behaviour to collective behaviour From the moment of the appearance of centres of governance, the system evolves progressively according to continuous modifications of state, which may be qualified as microscopic, until a critical state is reached; the system will brutally swing into a new state. The continuous suite of microscopic modifications is succeeded by a macroscopic upheaval. THERE WILL BE PERCOLATION Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

33. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE Three models of Internet communication NETWORK COMMUNITY MEDIA CONVERGENCE CLOUD COMPUTING Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

34. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE NETWORK COMMUNITY ANTI-NUCLEAR PRO-NUCLEAR NEUTRAL Reducing transaction cost of self-organization for virtual anti-nuclear communities reinforcing and extending considerably the existing network making the public communication dynamic and very interactive Moderately reinforcing the existing network, bringing forth an interactive dimension to public communication Moderately reinforcing the existing network making interactive discussion possible Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

35. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE MEDIA CONVERGENCE ANTI-NUCLEAR PRO-NUCLEAR NEUTRAL Reducing the cost of media-rich and high-quality knowledge reproduction and distribution, Reinforcing the existing position by communication optimization in a full set of possibilities Increasing channels of public communication to reach more audience moderately improving the communication capability Little influence, communication audience have more media choice for the scientific nuclear information Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

36. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE CLOUD COMPUTING ANTI-NUCLEAR PRO-NUCLEAR NEUTRAL Systematic public communication and lobbying thanks to new organization of information market Systematic public communication and lobbying thanks to new organization of information market Scientific knowledge more accessible and personalized, strong capability of public communication owing to the objectivity of information content Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

37. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE The pro-nuclear group, often directly or indirectly financed and supported by big nuclear organizations, tends to minimize the level of nuclear risk perception held by the public. Their argument includes need of (alternative) energy, reduction of greenhouse gas emission, national pride of mastering an advanced technology, statistical evidence... Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

38. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE The neutral group, without motivation to color information, tries to communicate nuclear knowledge in a relatively objective way, whatever their implication in the political game. The main problem regarding this information version is that the objectivity means difficult scientific causal reasoning, so that its communication capability may be greatly attenuated when extended from the scientific context to the public background. Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

39. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE The anti-nuclear group, for example, Greenpeace, tries to maximize the level of public perception of nuclear risk by producing and communicating knowledge which can trigger fear and feeling of disaster of the public. The anti-nuclear arguments involve catastrophic consequences of nuclear disaster, the inter-temporal or even inter-generational problems of radioactive waste disposal Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

40. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE CONCLUSION ◆The public perception of nuclear risk can sensibly sway political decision and policy making related to nuclear energy» ◆ Information is generally considered as an important variable to change public perception. Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

41. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE CONCLUSION ◆The era of internet information is marked by the emergence of three models, which drive the information communicated by pro-nuclear, anti-nuclear and scientific stakeholders: network community contributes to further self-organization of anti-nuclear individuals; media convergence helps to optimize the communication efficiency of pro-nuclear groups; cloud computing facilitates the communication of scientific nuclear knowledge. . Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

42. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE CONCLUSION ◆These information flows cluster society within a percolation no-reversible process even. ◆ Clustering agents are the key-points of anynuclear information policy, whichcould move in the mind of Joe Public, anyhazardinto a devastatingcataclysmic. Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

43. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE CONCLUSION • ◆Clustering agents are : • SchoolTeachers • Web Bloggers • MedicalDoctors • TV speakers • Trade-unionists • Entertainment Stars • ◆Anti-Clustering agents are : • Bankers, Lawyers, Industrials & Politicians Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010

44. INFORMATION MANAGING NUCLEAR RISKS IN INTERNET AGE MERCI DE VOTRE ATTENTION André Barthelemievich MAÏSSEU Saint Petersbourg Octobre 2010