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Total Lightning Collaborations with NASA SPoRT and the National Weather Service. Christopher Darden, Brian Carcione , Geoffrey Stano * (And many others) *ENSCO, Inc./NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition Center Huntsville, AL. Southern Thunder Workshop 11-14 July, 2011

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total lightning collaborations with nasa sport and the national weather service

Total Lightning Collaborations with NASA SPoRT and the National Weather Service

Christopher Darden, Brian Carcione, Geoffrey Stano*

(And many others)

*ENSCO, Inc./NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition Center

Huntsville, AL

Southern Thunder Workshop

11-14 July, 2011

Norman, OK

history of program

History of Program

  • Began in 2003
  • Expanded initially to Birmingham and Nashville
  • Next to Morristown
  • Incorporated Atlanta sensors
  • 2010 – Efforts expanded to KSC LDAR

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011

from the forecasters

“Directly contributed to several warning decisions”

  • “…LMA often helps ‘tip the scales’ towards issuing a warning”

From the Forecasters

  • WFO Morristown
  • Entering Marion County, TN
  • Weak rotation
  • Source Density – 80
  • POSH – 40%
  • Favorable environment
  • Evaluated below severe
  • Should warning be issued?
  • No change through 0350
  • Wait for another scan?
  • Lightning jump to 200 sources
  • Warning issued
  • 20 minute lead time

0346 UTC

0352 UTC

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011

from the forecasters1

From the Forecasters

  • “LMA spikes correlate well with updrafts…sound meteorology”
  • “…LMA gives a good map on where to concentrate attention”
  • “Very good for aviation”

2232 UTC

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011

awips ii collaborations

AWIPS II Collaborations

  • Direct partnership with WFO Huntsville
  • Ingest and display plug-in
  • One plug-in, many products
  • SPoRT can support AWIPS I or AWIPS II simultaneously
  • Can test on SPoRT’s or WFO’s machines

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011

success from training

Success From Training

  • “Demonstrates use in marginal events”
  • “LMA started as a curiosity, but is now a procedure for many in the office”
  • Initial training just on what the product is

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011

super tuesday

“Super Tuesday”

  • “LMA indicates where to concentrate attention”
  • “LMA was not a 1st decision aid but led to stronger wording and increased confidence”
  • More than just lightning jumps!

February 6, 2008

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011

april 27 2011

April 27, 2011

  • Primary emphasis on radar
  • 37 confirmed tornadoes
  • 3 EF-4s at one time
  • LMA used
    • Available time limited
    • Network suffered damage
    • Power outages

Huntsville Warnings

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011

looking forward

Looking Forward

  • LMA was not an institutional product originally
  • Forecasters now want more detailed examples
  • Big challenge
    • Quantify values
    • What is “significant”
  • New training starts this

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011

improve lightning safety

Improve Lightning Safety

From WFO Melbourne

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011

new products

New Products?

  • Improve utility
  • Rapid accessibility
  • Quantify output
    • Important GLM ability?
    • Less constrained detection efficiency

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011

questions

Questions?

  • Geoffrey Stano
  • geoffrey.stano@nasa.gov

2011 Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, Oklahoma 11-14 July, 2011