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Trends and Prospects: Lifelong Learning in Digital Era

Trends and Prospects: Lifelong Learning in Digital Era. The 2 nd International Conference on Lifelong Learning for All, Sept 11-12 2014. Chulalongkorn University Bangkok, Thailand. Ichiro Miyazawa, Program Specialist UNESCO Bangkok. Key Point Why Lifelong Learning?

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Trends and Prospects: Lifelong Learning in Digital Era

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  1. Trends and Prospects:Lifelong Learning in Digital Era The 2nd International Conference on Lifelong Learning for All, Sept 11-12 2014 Chulalongkorn University Bangkok, Thailand Ichiro Miyazawa, Program Specialist UNESCO Bangkok

  2. Key Point Why Lifelong Learning? What are shifts in work and life? How could Lifelong learning support? Contents

  3. Key Point Why Lifelong Learning? What are shifts in work and life? How could Lifelong learning support? Contents

  4. Lifelong Learning LIFE WORK

  5. Key Point Why Lifelong Learning? (Background and Reality) What are shifts in work and life? How could Lifelong learning support? Contents

  6. 2.1 Economic/social progress and implications 2.2 Demographic dynamics and challenges 2.3 Conflicts and Natural disasters 2.4 Technological Shifts

  7. Increased Share in World GDP (Constant 2005 USD) North America Source: World Bank Databank (http://databank.worldbank.org/data/views/variableselection/selectvariables.aspx?source=world-development-indicators)

  8. Asian Resilience in Recent Economic Crises • Real GDP, 2012H1 (Percentage points, relative to pre-crisis peak) Source: International Monetary Fund (2014), IMF Working Paper WP/14/38: Why Was Asia Resilient? Lessons from the Past and for the Future. (http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2014/wp1438.pdf)

  9. Rising Middle Class Population The middle class in the Asia-Pacific is projected to continue to grow 11 Source: Brookings Institution (2012)

  10. Rising Middle Class Consumption of China and India Source: OECD

  11. Large shifts in the GINI coefficient 14 Countries in Asia Pacific have seen widening income disparities. Income inequality is a problem that many developed countries face as well. Source: Brookings Institution (2012)

  12. Economic growth and structural changes 9 • Value-added by sector (% of total value added) – 1990 and 2009 Source: United Nations (2011), Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific. (http://www.unescap.org/stat/data/syb2011/ESCAP-SYB2011.pdf)

  13. Structural shifts in the economy across Asia Share of Employment by Sector (% (2009), % change past decade (1999-2009)) 10 Source: ILO (2011), Global Employment Trends. (http://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/@dgreports/@dcomm/@publ/documents/publication/wcms_150440.pdf)

  14. Jobless Recovery

  15. 2-2. Demographic dynamics, challenges and migration

  16. Changes of Life Expectancy and Fertility Age Source: World Bank Database 2012

  17. Population Pyramid Across Time: Aging Asia-Pacific Source : UNESCAP (2013), Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific 2013. (http://www.unescap.org/stat/data/syb2013/ESCAP-syb2013.pdf)

  18. (%under 15) +( %over 65 ) % between 15 and 65 = X 100 Dependency Ratio (%) Source: World Development Indicators.

  19. Migration: Facts Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA), IOM World Migration Report 2010

  20. Mobility and migration of international migrants 25 • Origin and destination of international migrants Source: IOM (2012), Global estimates and trends: Facts and figures. (http://www.iom.int/jahia/Jahia/about-migration/facts-and-figures/lang/en) UNDP (2009), Human Development Report 2009 – Overcoming barriers: Human Mobility and development.

  21. 2.3 Conflicts and Natural Disasters

  22. Armed conflicts Armed Conflicts in the Asia and Pacific Region (2014) Source: conflicstmap.org

  23. Source: Peace and Conflict 2012

  24. Natural disasters around the globe: how is Asia-Pacific doing? 33 • Number of the occurrence of natural disasters over time Source: UNESCAP (2013), Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific 2013. (http://www.unescap.org/stat/data/syb2013/ESCAP-syb2013.pdf)

  25. 2.4 Technological Shifts

  26. Connecting the world through ICT 2.3 Billion Internet users 6 Billion mobile phone subscribers Source: Measuring the Information Society, ITU, 2012

  27. By 2020, the primary device for Internet is the Mobile Device Source: Future of the Internet report, 2008 By 2025, 5 Billion people will be connected Source: Monitor Group's Global Business Network and Cisco, 2012

  28. Digital Divide: Households with Internet Usage 29 *CIS refers to Commonwealth of Independent States (e.g. Russia and Armenia) Source : ITU (2013), The world in 2013: ICT facts and figures.

  29. Source: Singularity is Near http://www.singularity.com/charts/page70.html

  30. YES, Android took/will take our Jobs Andrew McAfee: What will future jobs look like? http://youtu.be/cXQrbxD9_Ng

  31. Key Point Why Lifelong Learning? What are shifts in work and life? How could Lifelong learning support? Contents

  32. “The element is the point at which natural talent meets personal passion. It is also an essential strategy for transforming education, business, and communities to meet the challenges of living and succeeding in the twenty-first century” Ken Robinson

  33. Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs

  34. Source: Hiroyuki Naganuma, Work Design 2013

  35. Key Point Why Lifelong Learning? What are shifts in work and life? How could Lifelong learning support? Contents

  36. 4.1 Trends in Lifelong Learning in Formal Education System

  37. Higher Education Source: UNESCO (2014), EFA Global Monitoring Report 2013/4. (http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0022/002256/225660e.pdf) UIS (http://data.uis.unesco.org/index.aspx?queryid=142&lang=en) G.J. Kim Asian Education in a Changing World: Emerging Trends and Policy Responses 12 June 2014

  38. Gross enrolment ratios for Bachelor’s programmes by country or territory, 1980-2011 Access to higher education has expanded • Most middle and low income countries in the region have made much progress in widening access to Bachelor’s degree programmes • In China, Lao PDR, Malaysia, Nepal and Sri Lanka, the gross enrollment ratios for Bachelor’s programmes have increased over 10 times over the past four decades Lao PDR Bhutan Pakistan Bangladesh Brunei Darussalam China Myanmar Cambodia Sri Lanka India Nepal Timor-Leste Indonesia Malaysia Philippines China, Hong Kong Iran, Islamic Rep. Thailand China, Macao Japan Korea, Rep. Source: UNESCO UIS (2014), Higher Education in Aisa

  39. Higher Education Graduates by Field Source: UIS (2012), Global Education Digest 2012 – Opportunities lost: The impact of grade repetition and early school leaving. G.J. Kim Asian Education in a Changing World: Emerging Trends and Policy Responses 12 June 2014

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