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MULTI-DIMENSIONAL SECURITY

Explore the complex security landscape through Herbert Braun's framework, identifying causes of major disruptions and strategies to protect against diverse threats like cyberterrorism and climate change. Prioritize concerns, assess damages, and strategize resource allocation for effective risk mitigation. 8 Relevant

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MULTI-DIMENSIONAL SECURITY

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  1. MULTI-DIMENSIONAL SECURITY Headaches for public policy

  2. EXAMPLE: THE HERBERT BRAUN DIAGRAM ON EFFECTS OF A MAJOR ENERGY BREAKDOWN (EG, NATION-WIDE OR VERY LARGE ELECTRICITY FAILURE) (Who is Herbert Braun??)

  3. THINGS BRAUN SAYS CAN CAUSE THIS • Storm or drought (eg, caused by climate change) • Nuclear accident • Cyberterrorism • Internal political/economic crisis (how?) • THINK OF MORE!

  4. THINGS BRAUN SAYS THIS CAN LEAD TO • Breakdown of economy/banking • Ditto IT networks • Ditto ‘international competitiveness’ • Ditto health system • THINK OF MORE!!

  5. IN SUM: • Military, terrorist, internal-political, human accident and natural forces can cause the problem • Military, law and order, economic, technological, and human dimensions of security can suffer as a result

  6. WHAT REMEDIES? (a) PRIORITIZING CAUSES • Which are more likely/frequent? • Which are likely to have bigger impact than others (always bigger, or wider range)? • Which are likely to have multiple impacts? • WHICH CAN WE DO ANYTHING ABOUT??

  7. CAUSES: WHAT CAN WE DO? • State alone or with other states/institutions • State alone or with other kinds of actors • Eliminate, deter, divert, reduce (motive, target, impact, frequency) • GIVE EXAMPLES relevant for (i) cyber-terrorism (ii) climate change

  8. DAMAGE: PRIORITIZING CONCERNS • Vulnerability/exposure • Robustness - survival, functioning • Nature of (direct) consequences • Seriousness/scale of consequences for (a) the state, (b) people, (c) the environment ((d) allies if any) • Likelihood, number and seriousness of secondary consequences (dominos)

  9. DAMAGE: WHAT CAN WE DO? • Reduce exposure (harden, disperse and diversify, find substitutes etc) • Increase robustness (material + human, objective + psychological) • Block/reduce direct losses • Block/reduce domino effects (firewalls, redundancy etc) • GIVE EXAMPLES for (a) health system (b) transport networks

  10. IS IT REALLY POSSIBLE? • Too complicated • Needs too much coordin’n/centraliz’n • Difficulty of relying on others (external, non-state) • Constantly changing patterns and priorities: objective and subjective (problem of democracy!) • The real devil:money

  11. HOW TO DISTRIBUTE RESOURCES? • Traditional defence or new violence • All violence vs. accidental+natural risks • All ‘security’ probs vs permanent needs • Frequent or exceptional risks • Short-term or long-term risks • Obvious or creeping/invisible risks • Just for ourselves or for the world as a whole??

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