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Explore supply challenges in the printing market and their varying impacts on TV and print firms. Discover insights on industrial capacity, ad pages, and commercial shipments. Gain CSFB's real print demand projections based on GDP and input cost changes, along with a forecast for 2003 GDP growth. Delve into coated paper price trends and the need for consolidation in the sector.
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Printing Market Discussion for Primex Conference Randal Rudniski, CFA 416-352-4588 randal.rudniski@csfb.com
Media Advertising Profile Supply Issues Have Created Opposite Impacts For Television and Printing Companies
CSFB Print Demand Projection Real Print Demand = 2.2 x (y/y Δ in Real GDP) – 0.7 x (y/y Δ in Input Costs) CSFB 2003 Real GDP Growth Forecast: 2.5% Scenarios: Paper price y/y Δ Real Print Demand 0% 5.5% 5% 2.0% 10% -1.5%
Summary Difficult environment remains ahead for 2003 Cyclical rather than structural issues predominate Consolidation imperative