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INDIA’S WATER FUTURES TO 2025/2050 ISSUES AND SCENARIOS. India’s Water Futures to 2025/2050 – Scenarios and Issues. Phase I Workshop of the “The Strategic Analysis of India’s River Linking Project [NRLP]” Project is part of the Challenge Program for Water and Food [CPWF]

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slide2

India’s Water Futures to 2025/2050 – Scenarios and Issues

  • Phase I Workshop of the “The Strategic Analysis of India’s River Linking Project [NRLP]”
  • Project is part of the Challenge Program for Water and Food [CPWF]
  • IWMI is lead center of the project
  • Tushaar Shah - Poject leader
  • Upali Amarasinghe – Coordinate the activities from IWMI Delhi office
  • Project Web site - http://nrlp.iwmi.org
slide3

Duration Objectives Time line

IWMI-CP project - NRLP analysis

Phase I

India’s Water Futures Analysis

April 2005-

April 2006

3

Y

E

A

R

S

Phase II

Analysis of NRLP- How adequate is it?

January 2006-

March 2007

Phase III

Alternative water sector perspective plan

April 2007-April 2008

slide4

Why another Water Futures analysis?

  • NRLP is based on Water Futures projections of NCIWRD commission
  • Hardened positions with inadequate analysis:
    • Against NRLP- says there is inadequate analysis of alternative options
    • For NRLP- says that considering the magnitude of the water crisis, NRLP is the only option
  • Key Missing Issues:
    • What is the magnitude of crisis itself?
    • Why interlinking was chosen as the best option?
    • What is the scope of the alternatives?
slide5

Phase I Research Activities

  • Water Availability, Potentially utilizable water resources of river basins
    • Mr. AD Mohile / BK Anand
  • Environmental water Demand of Indian River Basin
    • Vladimir Smakhtin / M.Anputhas/WWF/
  • Regional demographic projections
    • Aslam Mahmhood / Amitabh Kundu
  • Regional economic growth/Industrial and service sector water demand
    • KV Raju / RS Deshapande
slide6

Phase I Research Activities

5. Changes in regional consumption patterns – Implications for food and feed demand

    • OP Singh/Sanjive Phansalkar
  • WTO - Increasing world trade – Implications for irrigation water demand
    • Charlotte de Fraiture/RPS Malik/Shilp Verma

7. Future of irrigation/Agriculture

    • Anik Bhaduri/Upali Amarasinghe/Tushaar Shah

8. Potential of rainfed agriculture in India

    • Bharat Sharma/ K.P.R.VIttal/K.J.Rao
slide7

Phase I Research Activities

  • Spread of Water saving technologies/ Water productivity improvements/ Rainwater harvesting
    • Dinesh Kumar/Madar Samad/OP Singh/K Palanisamy/

10. Intensification of groundwater irrigation- Environmental impacts and implications for water supply and demand

    • Sundar Krishnan,

11. Water Supply and Demand of India – Scenarios and Issues

    • Upali Amarasinghe/Tushaar Shah/Shilp Verma/Frank Rijisberman
slide8
Grain and non-grain crop demand projections

Regional demographic patterns

Regional economic growth

Food consumption patterns

Feed demand

Increasing food trade/National self sufficiency targets

India’s water futures scenario analysis

  • Water availability assessments
    • Total/Potentially utilizable water resources
    • Environmental water demand
  • Water Demand projections
    • Irrigated water demand
      • Water saving technologies
      • Water productivity growth
      • Rain water harvesting
    • Domestic water demand
    • Industrial/Service sector water demand
  • Grain and non-grain crop production projections
    • Future of irrigation/ agriculture
    • Rainfed potential
    • Water productivity improvements
    • Groundwater irrigation
slide9

Second Phase - Analysis of NRLP

  • Inception workshop in April
  • Advisory committee meeting in May
  • Workshop 1, Phase II in December
  • Workshop 2, Phase II in March 2007