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Bayesian Believer. Brought to you by the. Lyrics : Brad Carlin Music : Neil Diamond/The Monkees/Smashmouth. I thought inference was just a fairy tale,. Confused by stats and probability. Frequentist approaches made no sense to me. Summarizing evidence by p ?!. Then I saw Tom Bayes

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Bayesian Believer


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    Presentation Transcript
    1. Bayesian Believer Brought to you by the Lyrics: Brad Carlin Music: Neil Diamond/The Monkees/Smashmouth

    2. I thought inference was just a fairy tale,

    3. Confused by stats and probability.

    4. Frequentist approaches made no sense to me. Summarizing evidence by p?!

    5. Then I saw Tom Bayes Now I'm a Believer!

    6. Without a trace of doubt in my mind!

    7. I’m a Bayesian! Oh, I’m a believer, I couldn’t p now if I tried!

    8. I thought likelihood was just the only thing.

    9. Turn the crank and get the MLE.

    10. What's the use of thinking? Disconnect your brain. Play along and minimize the pain. MLE!

    11. Then I saw Tom Bayes Now I'm a Believer!

    12. Without a trace of doubt in my mind!

    13. I’m a Bayesian! Oh, I’m a believer, I couldn’t p now if I tried!

    14. GIVE IT UP FOR DON HEDEKER!!

    15. SAS was out to get me. That's the way it seemed. Fixed effects and forced normality!

    16. Then I saw Tom Bayes Now I'm a Believer!

    17. Without a trace of doubt in my mind!

    18. I’m a Bayesian! Oh, I’m a believer, I couldn’t p now if I tried!

    19. Then I saw Tom Bayes Now I'm a Believer!

    20. Without a trace of doubt in my mind!

    21. Oh, I’m a believer, yeah, yeah I’m a believer! Bayes Rules!