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Rethinking Security: The Environmental Connection

Rethinking Security: The Environmental Connection. Gregory D. Foster National Defense University March 2, 2005. The Conceptual Problematique. Defining Security Establishing Environmental Causation. Strategic Effectiveness = f(Goal Attainment

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Rethinking Security: The Environmental Connection

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  1. Rethinking Security:The Environmental Connection Gregory D. Foster National Defense University March 2, 2005

  2. The Conceptual Problematique • Defining Security • Establishing Environmental Causation

  3. Strategic Effectiveness = f(Goal Attainment Perceptions Management) STRATEGY Strategic Systems • Philosophy ofThinking Thinking Global Conduct • Perceptions Management • Marriage Ends-Means • Exercise of Power

  4. Being Strategic • Big Picture • Long View • Residual/Hidden Consequences • Causation • Prevention

  5. Environment Humanity Societies Institutions Individuals

  6. Why Be Strategic? • Moral Obligation of Government • Crisis Inoculation • Sustainable Consensus • Strategic Leadership

  7. Question: What should humanity’s relationship to the environment be? • Master? • Steward? • Servant?

  8. Revisiting Some Basics? Sovereignty? Territorial Integrity? Aggression? Intervention?

  9. World Order Values Peace Human Rights/Social Justice Economic Well-Being Humane Governance Ecological Balance

  10. Democracy’s Strategic Aims • Assured Security • Crisis Prevention • Civil Society

  11. Security < Defense? Security = Defense? Security > Defense?

  12. The Essence of Security Freedom from: • Harm and Danger • Threat and Intimidation • Doubt and Fear • Need and Want

  13. Self-Evident Truth All human beings, from birth, equally deserve to enjoy the same natural rights—including, but not limited to, life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. It is the purpose of government (of, by, and for the people) to secure these rights.

  14. From Needs to Rights Rights Food Food Security Water Water Security Air Climate Security Needs Fuel Energy Security

  15. Toward Assured Security • National Unity (a More Perfect Union) • Justice • Domestic Tranquility • Common Defense • General Welfare • Liberty

  16. Security: Deductive or Inductive? Global Security National Security Domestic Security Individual Security ? ?

  17. The Environment-Security Linkage Effects Environment Security Effects

  18. Cause – Effect – Symptom Cause Effect (Cause) Effect (Cause) Effect Symptom (Cause) Symptom Symptom Cure Treatment Diagnosis

  19. What is a Threat? That* which endangers/ harms/degrades security. *Conditions? Events? Actors?

  20. Environmental Environmental Insecurity? Degradation? Threat?

  21. Judging Threat Worthiness • Deaths? • Injuries? • Destruction? • Costs? • Violence? • Intentionality?

  22. Chicken or Egg? •Population? or• Environmental • Poverty? Degradation? • Ignorance? • Resource • Resource Scarcity? Inequity? • Government Incapacity? • Infrastructure Deficiency?

  23. A Masking Phenomenon? Ostensible political, social, military, and economic causes of unrest, violence, conflict, destabilization (e.g., turmoil, repression, incompetence, deprivation, exploitation, dislocation) may mask underlying, less visible, less obvious environmental sources of dissatisfaction, discontent, alienation (e.g., diminished quality of life, threats to safety/well-being).

  24. Four Strategic Imperatives • Targeted Causation Management • Appropriate Situational Tailoring • Institutionalized Anticipatory Response • Comprehensive Operational Integration

  25. Exercising Power • Coercive • Persuasive • Inspirational Ideational

  26. The Cosmic Pecking Order Superpowers f(Possessions/Resources •Knowledge/Ideas Great Powers• Wealth • Viable Institutions Major Powers• Productive Territory • Productive Population Minor Powers• Strategically Effective Military Leadership/Example Credibility/Stature Reach Unity)

  27. Integrated Sustainability • Sustainable Development • Sustainable Energy • Sustainable Consumption • Sustainable Business • Sustainable Security

  28. To Rethink, Reorganize Initially, we organize the way we think. How How We We Think Organize Thereafter, we think the way we’re organized.

  29. Institutional Leapfrogging • U.S. Security Council • Secretary of Energy/ Environmental Affairs • Regional Super Ambassadors • Regional Collective Security Regimes • UN Under Secretary General • Operational UNEP

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