1 / 19

Col Dan Stockton, USAF System Program Director, IPO Mr Dave Ryan, VP Program Director, NGST

2. . Weather, OceanographyClouds, temperature, wind, precipitation, currents, tides, land use . Nowcasting, Forecasting Routine weather, disasters, military ops Imagers, sounders, [active and passive]. NPOESS Environmental Regimes. 3. Top requirements. Operational Needs. . Soil moisture. Army.

Download Presentation

Col Dan Stockton, USAF System Program Director, IPO Mr Dave Ryan, VP Program Director, NGST

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


    1. 1

    2. 2 Nowcasting, Forecasting Routine weather, disasters, military ops Imagers, sounders, [active and passive]

    3. 3 Top requirements

    4. 4

    5. 5 NPOESS Certified Program 2 EMD Satellites plus 2 production Bus sized to carry all sensors VIIRS, CrIS, ATMS, CERES, OMPS-N, SEM, ADCS, SARSAT remain APS, TSIS, OMPS-L, ERBS, Alt, SuS, SESS de-manifested from C1 & C2 [accommodation remains] CMIS deleted from C1, MIS planned for C2 and beyond Ground architecture essentially unchanged

    6. 6 Orbit Benefits Afternoon [13:30 LTAN] Critical input [>90%] for worldwide weather forecast models Example of products: Northern coverage [Alaska for cloud, fire, and volcano detection] Tactical air, sea, and ground operations IR and Micro-wave temperature and moisture profiles Tracks size and location of Ozone hole Measures radiation threat to airline passengers and astronauts Impact on space-based communications and GPS operations Early Morning [17:30 LTAN] Critical input for global cloud forecast models Example of products: Supports short term forecast models Traditional support to IC mission Tactical support to air, sea, and ground operations Hurricane intensity and accuracy at landfall Mid Morning [21:30 LTAN] Enhances worldwide forecast models Supports short term forecast products

    7. 7 Concept of Operations Unchanged

    8. 8 NOAA Satellite Operations Facility

    9. 9 DoD is not only dependent on data from DMSP in the 0530 and 0930 orbit for direct military support but also the NOAA POES the 1330 orbit for data into both DOC and DoD global NWP models which form the basis of every DoD weather forecast NCEP statistics show roughly a 25% improvement in forecast accuracy attributable to over 150M observations/day from polar orbiters POES and DMSP are not only crucial for weather forecasting but for oceanography, space weather, short and long term climate science, emergency search and rescue, data retrieval from remote environmental observing sensors, and ozone monitoring. Interruption in these missions have broad reaching implications including failure of the USG to meet international treaty obligations Removal of the either microwave or Infrared sounders from the polar orbiters will significantly degrade 1-3 day hurricane forecasts 15% of the time (JCSDA Study). Result: on average, 2-3 Atlantic hurricanes forecasts per year will be substantially erroneous USN is particularly susceptible to tropical storms both in the Atlantic and around the world. Errors in hurricane forecasts lead to incorrect resource protection actions at the major naval ports. Fleet sorties cost millions. Polar satellites provide key role in storm center location, track and intensity forecasts especially in the Pacific and Indian Ocean regions. $7M savings from one accurate hurricane forecast that allowed USN to avoid fleet sortie from Norfolk Reliance on DMSP is even more critical in the Pacific basin where vast expanses of ocean make manned weather reconnaissance flights impractical DMSP high spatial resolution is used for short term target weather forecast needed for aircraft weapons load out, mission execution and recovery operations. DoD precision guided munitions have weather sensitivities which, if not forecasted, can cause guidance failure, mission failure and heavy collateral damage. POES and DMSP are the only platforms for monitoring space weather conditions in LEO which impacts spacecraft operations, astronaut safety, and the location of the aurora which is critical to navigation, communications, and national missile defense DoD is not only dependent on data from DMSP in the 0530 and 0930 orbit for direct military support but also the NOAA POES the 1330 orbit for data into both DOC and DoD global NWP models which form the basis of every DoD weather forecast NCEP statistics show roughly a 25% improvement in forecast accuracy attributable to over 150M observations/day from polar orbiters POES and DMSP are not only crucial for weather forecasting but for oceanography, space weather, short and long term climate science, emergency search and rescue, data retrieval from remote environmental observing sensors, and ozone monitoring. Interruption in these missions have broad reaching implications including failure of the USG to meet international treaty obligations Removal of the either microwave or Infrared sounders from the polar orbiters will significantly degrade 1-3 day hurricane forecasts 15% of the time (JCSDA Study). Result: on average, 2-3 Atlantic hurricanes forecasts per year will be substantially erroneous USN is particularly susceptible to tropical storms both in the Atlantic and around the world. Errors in hurricane forecasts lead to incorrect resource protection actions at the major naval ports. Fleet sorties cost millions. Polar satellites provide key role in storm center location, track and intensity forecasts especially in the Pacific and Indian Ocean regions. $7M savings from one accurate hurricane forecast that allowed USN to avoid fleet sortie from Norfolk Reliance on DMSP is even more critical in the Pacific basin where vast expanses of ocean make manned weather reconnaissance flights impractical DMSP high spatial resolution is used for short term target weather forecast needed for aircraft weapons load out, mission execution and recovery operations. DoD precision guided munitions have weather sensitivities which, if not forecasted, can cause guidance failure, mission failure and heavy collateral damage. POES and DMSP are the only platforms for monitoring space weather conditions in LEO which impacts spacecraft operations, astronaut safety, and the location of the aurora which is critical to navigation, communications, and national missile defense

    10. 10 DoD is not only dependent on data from DMSP in the 0530 and 0930 orbit for direct military support but also the NOAA POES the 1330 orbit for data into both DOC and DoD global NWP models which form the basis of every DoD weather forecast NCEP statistics show roughly a 25% improvement in forecast accuracy attributable to over 150M observations/day from polar orbiters POES and DMSP are not only crucial for weather forecasting but for oceanography, space weather, short and long term climate science, emergency search and rescue, data retrieval from remote environmental observing sensors, and ozone monitoring. Interruption in these missions have broad reaching implications including failure of the USG to meet international treaty obligations Removal of the either microwave or Infrared sounders from the polar orbiters will significantly degrade 1-3 day hurricane forecasts 15% of the time (JCSDA Study). Result: on average, 2-3 Atlantic hurricanes forecasts per year will be substantially erroneous USN is particularly susceptible to tropical storms both in the Atlantic and around the world. Errors in hurricane forecasts lead to incorrect resource protection actions at the major naval ports. Fleet sorties cost millions. Polar satellites provide key role in storm center location, track and intensity forecasts especially in the Pacific and Indian Ocean regions. $7M savings from one accurate hurricane forecast that allowed USN to avoid fleet sortie from Norfolk Reliance on DMSP is even more critical in the Pacific basin where vast expanses of ocean make manned weather reconnaissance flights impractical DMSP high spatial resolution is used for short term target weather forecast needed for aircraft weapons load out, mission execution and recovery operations. DoD precision guided munitions have weather sensitivities which, if not forecasted, can cause guidance failure, mission failure and heavy collateral damage. POES and DMSP are the only platforms for monitoring space weather conditions in LEO which impacts spacecraft operations, astronaut safety, and the location of the aurora which is critical to navigation, communications, and national missile defense DoD is not only dependent on data from DMSP in the 0530 and 0930 orbit for direct military support but also the NOAA POES the 1330 orbit for data into both DOC and DoD global NWP models which form the basis of every DoD weather forecast NCEP statistics show roughly a 25% improvement in forecast accuracy attributable to over 150M observations/day from polar orbiters POES and DMSP are not only crucial for weather forecasting but for oceanography, space weather, short and long term climate science, emergency search and rescue, data retrieval from remote environmental observing sensors, and ozone monitoring. Interruption in these missions have broad reaching implications including failure of the USG to meet international treaty obligations Removal of the either microwave or Infrared sounders from the polar orbiters will significantly degrade 1-3 day hurricane forecasts 15% of the time (JCSDA Study). Result: on average, 2-3 Atlantic hurricanes forecasts per year will be substantially erroneous USN is particularly susceptible to tropical storms both in the Atlantic and around the world. Errors in hurricane forecasts lead to incorrect resource protection actions at the major naval ports. Fleet sorties cost millions. Polar satellites provide key role in storm center location, track and intensity forecasts especially in the Pacific and Indian Ocean regions. $7M savings from one accurate hurricane forecast that allowed USN to avoid fleet sortie from Norfolk Reliance on DMSP is even more critical in the Pacific basin where vast expanses of ocean make manned weather reconnaissance flights impractical DMSP high spatial resolution is used for short term target weather forecast needed for aircraft weapons load out, mission execution and recovery operations. DoD precision guided munitions have weather sensitivities which, if not forecasted, can cause guidance failure, mission failure and heavy collateral damage. POES and DMSP are the only platforms for monitoring space weather conditions in LEO which impacts spacecraft operations, astronaut safety, and the location of the aurora which is critical to navigation, communications, and national missile defense

    11. 11 Global Earth Observation System of Systems [GEOSS]

    12. 12 A coordinated Earth observation system is an excellent example of science serving society. Rather than building observation systems for a specific application and adapting it to other uses as we have in the past, we are now looking at an integrated approach focused on these nine societal benefit areas: Weather Forecasting Reduce Loss of Life and Property from Disasters Protect and Monitor Our Ocean Resources Understand, Assess, Predict, Mitigate, and Adapt to Climate Variability and Change Support Sustainable Agriculture and Combat Land Degradation Understand the Effect of Environmental Factors on Human Health and Well-Being Develop the Capacity to Make Ecological Forecasts Protect and Monitor Water Resources Monitor and Manage Energy Resources A coordinated Earth observation system is an excellent example of science serving society. Rather than building observation systems for a specific application and adapting it to other uses as we have in the past, we are now looking at an integrated approach focused on these nine societal benefit areas: Weather Forecasting Reduce Loss of Life and Property from Disasters Protect and Monitor Our Ocean Resources Understand, Assess, Predict, Mitigate, and Adapt to Climate Variability and Change Support Sustainable Agriculture and Combat Land Degradation Understand the Effect of Environmental Factors on Human Health and Well-Being Develop the Capacity to Make Ecological Forecasts Protect and Monitor Water Resources Monitor and Manage Energy Resources

    13. 13

    14. 14

    15. 15

    16. 16 Integrated Polar Constellations

    17. 17 NPOESS Preparatory Project IPO-NASA Cooperative Program

    19. 19

    20. 20 Way Forward Nunn-McCurdy validated the national security need for NPOESS Stakeholders unanimous – “No operational data gap” is top priority Program plan for the future Technical baseline understood Detailed planning complete Baseline in place Spring ’07 Good Momentum from FY06 into FY07 World-class team assembled to get the job done Ity Ity

More Related