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Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions
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  1. Climate variability and predictabilityover South Eastern European regions

  2. Overview • Main types of regional climate variability • Regional predictability • Indicators for the winter 2013-2014

  3. Sources of climate variability and predictability in winter1st and 2nd EOFs of winter temperature From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

  4. Sources of climate variability and predictability in winter1st EOF of winter precipitation From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

  5. Coupled modes of variabilitytemperature and precipitation anomalies coupled with SLP anomalies1st CCA modes for temperature and precipitation From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

  6. ROC maps for above normal tercile of temperatute From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

  7. ROC maps for above normal below of temperatute From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

  8. ROC maps for above normal tercile of precipitation From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

  9. ROC maps for below normal tercile of precipitation From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

  10. ROC maps for above normal tercile of precipitation From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

  11. What about next winter? • No clear NAO signal…